Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elizabeth, WV

Page Links:   Change Location   One Page   HELP   Default setup   Tides Week   Tides   SF Current Maps   Save   Recall

---

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

---

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, WV

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Charleston WV

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KRLX 290242 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 1042 PM EDT Sun May 28 2023

SYNOPSIS
A coastal low brings rain to the area into Tuesday. Hot weather with limited rain/thunderstorm chances returns Wednesday through the end of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 1030 PM Sunday...

Some showers have extended further north recently, but most of the activity will slow down for a tonight and into the overnight across the lowlands. However, activity will likely not slow down up along the mountains as the upper low pushes east closer to the mountains. No changes were made this time around as the forecast remains on track.

As of 615 PM Sunday...

Most of the rainfall activity is still confined to the southern half of our CWA with some showers trying to advect in from the west along the northern portions, however they are having trouble crossing the mountains as most just slowly dissipate before entering our region. No thunderstorm activity has been observed since at least mid afternoon when I came on shift and looking over soundings there is not much there to fuel or support any storms, therefore took mention of them out of the forecast for tonight and for the overnight. Potential for storms will return Monday afternoon when more instability and with better chances for breaks in cloud coverage as the upper low slides across toward the east just south of us throughout Monday. Took PoPs and tweaked them slightly by adding in the latest guidance and cutting some out for Monday evening as most of the activity will taper off around that timeframe and wane from west to east.

As of 134 PM Sunday...

Areas of stratiformed rain will continue tonight as a surface low pressure moves slowly north across the Carolinas, advecting abundant Atlantic moisture west into eastern KY, southern WV and southwest VA through Monday. Rain can be moderate at times as ripples of vorticity crossing overhead as they rotate around an upper level low. Weather becomes more showery with possible thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening due to diurnal heating and stronger shortwaves adding to the mix.

The higher rainfall amounts should occur over southern WV, northeast KY and southwest VA with 1.0 to 1.3 inches, and locally heavier amounts possible. The northern half of WV should receive from a trace to few tenths of an inch. Flooding threat continues low, owing low rainfall rates and precedent dry conditions. Isolated thunderstorms will be able to develop Monday afternoon with better instability in the form of SBCAPE about 1,000 J/kg, PWATs near 1.3 inches and orographic effects. SPC suggest just general thunderstorms possible through the period.

Tonight's temperatures will remain near normal. Cloud cover and cooling showers will keep Monday's high temperatures in the upper 60s across the south, but warmer across the north, generally into the mid 70s. Adjusted down NBM MaxT for highs on Monday.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 235 PM Sunday...

Coastal low pressure off the Carolinas will slowly shift north and eastward Monday night into Tuesday, with likely/categorical shower and storm chances sliding out of the majority of the forecast area. The center of the H5 low will be off the DelMarVa coast Wednesday morning, with its westward flank driving precipitation into the Piedmont area and along the spine of the Appalachians. This will maintain at least the possibility of slight chance showers/storms for our mountain zones within the short term forecast period, especially during peak heating hours.

Outside of the mountains, upper level ridging sneaking in from the west will mitigate strong candidates for widespread convection through the course of the work week. However, as temperatures soar back into the 80s and higher by Tuesday and beyond, the possibility of afternoon cumulus evolving into pop up showers or thunderstorms increases as daily convective temperatures are likely to be reached. The likelihood of convection drops off quickly after sunset with the loss of daytime heating.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 235 PM Sunday...

Isolated showers and storms continue to sprout during peak heating hours beneath the upper level ridge for the second half of the work week. Greatest potential lies along the higher terrain for convection each day, but could stretch as far west as the Ohio River Valley depending on where the afternoon cumulus fields transpire. Contained the thunder potential to the afternoon and evening timeframe before dropping off with the loss of daytime heating after sunset.

Afternoon highs beyond midweek stretch into the warmest we've seen so far this season under the dirty ridge. Spots across southeast Ohio could face the first stretch of 90 degree temperatures by Friday and into the weekend, only driving home the possibility further for diurnally driven convection each afternoon. Dew points are projected to be in the upper 50s/low 60s during this time, capping the potential for heat indices below advisory thresholds.

AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 730 PM Sunday...

Chances of rain showers are possible at every terminal into late tonight. Overnight/early morning rain activity settles down and low stratus or fog may affect some terminals such as BKW and CRW. Outside some short lived VIS restrictions for CRW/BKW within rain showers and/or fog, terminals will become VFR by early morning and continue through this period as the rain tapers off from west to east by early Monday evening. BKW is the only one struggling with low stratus as of now which will affect them now and for tomorrow afternoon with CIGs hovering around FL 005-009FT at times. Weak surface flow will gradually pick up to around 5KT by tomorrow afternoon out of the southeast.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog/stratus could develop extensively across areas that received plenty of rain, however those areas are south of most terminals. Conditions at CRW/BKW are expected to get some fog/stratus and restrictions could become worse than what is stated in the TAFs.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE MON 05/29/23 UTC 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 EDT 1HRLY 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 CRW CONSISTENCY M M L M M L L L L L M M HTS CONSISTENCY M M L L L L L L L M H H BKW CONSISTENCY M M M M L L L L L L L M EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
Some occasional IFR cannot be ruled out in showers and thunderstorms through at least Tuesday.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

toggle option: (graph/table)

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Link to 5 minute data for KPKB

toggle option: (graph/table)
Wind History from PKB (wind in knots)

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of great lakes    EDIT
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East krlx, kpbz<---

---

Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.

---