L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar   TAF  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elizabeth, WV

June 25, 2024 5:34 AM EDT (09:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 8:58 PM
Moonrise 11:06 PM   Moonset 8:40 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  News
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, WV
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
703 FXUS61 KRLX 250722 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 322 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Warmer today. Chance for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and with a cold front Wednesday. Chances of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday with another cold front.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 245 AM Tuesday...

Very comfortable temperatures this morning with lower humidity as high pressure remains overhead. These temperatures will be a bit on the cooler side and below normal for this time of year.
Expecting lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s for the lowlands and 50s in the mountains. Dense river valley fog will likely form this morning as winds are going calm and temperatures fall under clear skies. Models however are starting to suggest this activity will be confined to the mountain valleys.

Temperatures today look to rise back above normal with this surface high in place and southwesterly flow picking up after sunrise. Highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s will be common across the lowlands; while the mountains will range anywhere from the mid 70s to the high 80s.

While the forecast area will remain dry through the morning, a complex of storms over the Upper Midwest associated with a southward moving disturbance will approach the area by afternoon. Models are starting to hone in on increasing chances for some showers and thunderstorms later this morning/early afternoon as the energy approaches. This activity looks to be mostly confined to southeastern Ohio.

The main question is reserved for late this afternoon and into the evening. CAMs are starting to suggest that the aforementioned complex of storms will hold together as it moves southward across Ohio. High pressure at the surface will allow a bit of defense providing a slight cap, even as it shifts off eastward, but MLCAPE values look to be between 1,000 and 2,000 J/Kg during peak heating. If the cap is lost and no showers early today disrupt the environment, then thunderstorms (a few could be severe) will be more of possibility later this afternoon and evening.

The main threats with any storms that form will be damaging winds and small hail. SPC has hoisted a marginal risk for severe weather this afternoon for a part of southeastern Ohio which includes Perry and Vinton counties, as well as portions of Athens, Jackson and Morgan.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 225 AM Tuesday...

A cold front and an upper level trough will bring showers and thunderstorms for Wednesday into Wednesday night. Models still differ on the handling of prefrontal energy and precipitation.
This prefrontal convection could be critical to whether enough energy builds for severe weather. MesoNAM soundings showing many soundings with over 2000 effective layer CAPE with some dry air in the mid levels and freezing levels of 13000 to 13500. This indicates a good potential for damaging winds and large hail, if the prefrontal energy allows for sufficient heating.

Some models indicate enough remaining moisture for scattered showers and thunderstorms in the mountains on Thursday, while others indicate a drier solution. Will keep some small mountain POPs, with a bit better chances in Virginia. More seasonable temperatures will return for Thursday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 225 AM Tuesday...

With a high pressure system shifting off to the east on Friday, temperatures will again climb back above normal for this time of year. A few mountain showers and thunderstorms are once again possible, although most of the region will remain dry.

A southerly wind flow and an approaching cold front will increase the chances of showers and thunderstorms area wide on Saturday. Models have a cold front pushing through Saturday night or Sunday, with continued differences in timing between the models.

More seasonable air can once again be expected on Monday behind the cold front. Once again, some models indicate enough remaining moisture for scattered showers and thunderstorms in the mountains on Monday, while others indicate a drier solution.

AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 120 AM Tuesday...

High pressure nearby keeping the area dry and mostly clear through the morning until early afternoon. Most locations have already decoupled this morning as winds are calm at most locations. River valley fog is expected to form this morning and have included MVFR/IFR restrictions at most sites. Models however are starting to back off on coverage, keeping it confined to the mountains versus across all of the river valleys.

VFR takes back over by ~12-13Z this morning under clear skies.
There is a chance for some showers and storms this afternoon with a passing disturbance, but this looks to remain confined to southeastern Ohio until tonight into Wednesday morning.

Winds will be mostly calm this morning, picking up out of the southwest at a light pace after sunrise. Could be breezy at times mid-morning with mixing.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing, location and intensity of fog may vary form forecast. Showers and thunderstorms could be more numerous and cover more locations than advertised this afternoon.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE TUE 06/25/24 UTC 1HRLY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 EDT 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 CRW CONSISTENCY L L L L L H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY L M M M M M H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY L L L L L H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY L L L L L H H H H H H H

AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY...
Brief IFR possible with thunderstorms Wednesday into Wednesday night, and again on Saturday.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help




Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KUSW BOGGS FIELD,WV 19 sm--no data--
KPKB MIDOHIO VALLEY RGNL,WV 22 sm41 mincalm10 smClear57°F55°F94%29.99
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPKB
   
NEW Forecast page for KPKB (use "back" to return)

Wind History graph: PKB
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help

Tide / Current for
   EDIT      HIDE   Help

Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
EDIT   HIDE



Charleston, WV,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE