Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth, WV

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 5:04PM Sunday December 8, 2019 3:26 AM EST (08:26 UTC) Moonrise 3:09PMMoonset 3:41AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, WV
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location: 39.07, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 080815 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 315 AM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure exits today/tonight. Rain develops early Monday with a strong cold front Tuesday. Sharply cold air and snow showers for Wednesday. Break until the weekend, then unsettled.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 225 AM Sunday .

High pressure departs to the east while low pressure gets organized in the lee of the Rockies. Strong baroclinic zone will develop with the flow aloft turning southwesterly later today into tonight. Counterclockwise flow will bring milder conditions ahead of the frontal system with the main surface low staying to the west of the CWA while it moves southwest to northeast. Expecting a moisture surge from the deep south that will get caught up ion the aforementioned southwesterly flow in the lower levels. Multiple disturbances in the flow aloft will trigger showers mainly after 00Z Monday, leading to wider coverage by 12Z Monday morning. The nature of the surface low tracking towards Quebec and a significant lag in a trough aloft to push the system out results in what will be a longer event, stretching into the short term time frame.

Southerly flow brings a warming trend for the near term well ahead of the cold front. Expecting winds to be on the gradual increase with a strengthening pressure gradient and stronger flows aloft.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 230 AM Sunday .

This period begins with rain spread across the region associated with a southern stream low pressure system prog to advect a warm frontal boundary into the area as the track of the low moves north just west of the area. An abundant moisture transport will take place from the gulf and with the moisture vectors coinciding with the upper level flow this will provide PWAT values of 2 standard deviations above climatological norm to traverse overhead for a prolonged period of time. With a southwest to northeast track over the area, a low level jet of 60KT and PWAT values of 1.25 inches (at the climate max) persisting through Tuesday we can expect light to moderate and at times, heavy showers. Due to the lows parent trough and surface front ingesting a short wave disturbance (moving into the gulf from the west) moisture supply will increase and rainfall amounts will be even be more enhanced into Wednesday making total QPFs from 1.25 to 2.25 inches, with the most in the northeastern parts of the CWA. By Tuesday night, a wintry mix is feasible for the mountain terrains and the Ohio Valley as cold air advects in during fropa dropping 850mb temps down to -10C by the early morning. Snow shower chances will make its way across areawide later Wednesday morning. Show shower chances will continue into the afternoon when finally the feature will have moved out of the area.

Anticipating how much rainfall is capable of dropping over this lengthy time frame raises concerns for potential flooding. A watch may need to be issued in later shifts. WPC has already issued a marginal threat for excessive rainfall for Monday morning into Tuesday morning.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 300 AM Sunday .

The good news is that the precipitation will have ended to start this period and the aforementioned cold front will be long past the area although making us very cold in its wake ending the short short warming trend from the previous few days. Even though models diverge there is a slim chane for wrap around snow showers due to a possible wave developing on the backside of the front which will mostly just affect the mountains through Wednesday if it even materializes. High pressure will build in fast and most likely cut chances of precipitation off at that point anyways. Temperatures will fall drastically below seasonable for Wednesday and Thursday with cold Canadian air advecting in causing Wednesday nights forecast to be almost 15C below norm. However, these temps will level out to normal starting Friday and continue through the weekend.

High pressure will maintain briefly into the beginning of the weekend when models hint of the next system to affect the area developing to the south. It is forecast to approach on the eastern side of the mountains which would imply a northern stream starting off as snow an then transitioning to all rain as it moves north. However, models do diverge significantly at this point and we cannot put too much weight on them. The take away here is that next weekend is becoming more likely to be unsettled.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 1230 AM Sunday .

Clouds on the increase through the period with ceilings lowering as a low pressure system begins a slow trudge towards the area. Ceilings stay VFR through the period, and precipitation holds off until after the scope of this forecast. Lowest ceilings by the end of the period should be in the 4-6kft range. CKB and EKN could see gusts 15-25kts between 17Z and 20Z, while BKW deals with gusts from the onset through the mid morning hours 20-25kts.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY . FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE SUN 12/08/19 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EST 1HRLY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 06Z MONDAY . IFR expected Monday/Tuesday in rain. IFR possible Tuesday night and Wednesday in snow showers, more likely in the mountains.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WV . None. OH . None. KY . None. VA . None.

SYNOPSIS . 26/JZ NEAR TERM . 26 SHORT TERM . JZ LONG TERM . JZ AVIATION . 26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Parkersburg, Mid-Ohio Valley Regional Airport, WV23 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair26°F21°F81%1027.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPKB

Wind History from PKB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E5E4CalmE3CalmSE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE3CalmCalm
1 day agoS5S5S3S4S5S7S10SW11
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W7W7SW7SW5SW5NW5NW6N6N9N6N5N4N4NW4CalmCalm
2 days agoNW11
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W5W7W7W4W6NW6W6W8W6W66SW7SW4S6S4S3CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.