Wednesday, October28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth, WV

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:49AMSunset 6:30PM Wednesday October 28, 2020 10:20 PM EDT (02:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:32PMMoonset 3:49AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, WV
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location: 39.07, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 290150 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 950 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Significant rain event begins tonight with Zeta passing close by and other systems converge. Drier Friday and Saturday. Next cold front to arrive on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 948 PM Wednesday .

Sent a quick update to increase PoPs per latest radar imagery mainly across southern and central cwa. Also, lowered hourly temperatures resulting in steady trend and expanded areas of dense fog further north through Thursday morning.

As of 245 PM Wednesday .

Warm front pushing up from the south is already spreading a rain shield into the southern zones, marking the beginning of an extended period of rain across the CWA. The rain over the next 24 to 36 hours will be driven by a combination of this warm front, a land falling Zeta accelerating northeastward into the southern Appalachians, a desert southwest upper low ejecting into the southern plains, and a weaker northern stream upper level trough moving into the Great Lakes. The forcing mechanisms will be plentiful. Expecting multiple waves aloft to ripple through tonight and several bands of strong deformation/f-gen to push through tonight and Thursday, including a stronger one north of the Ohio River. There will be some elements of larger scale ascent combined at times with overrunning/isentropic lift. High PWAT/saturated atmosphere provides plenty of moisture for the whole event, although the bulk of the tropical moisture transport will stay to the south of the CWA. The same holds true for the leftover wind with the tropical system. Plenty available from a pressure gradient standpoint, so some wind is possible area wide, but off the deck, it is clear that the bulk of the tropical system winds will be more of an issue further south and east as evidenced by the 925mb flow. Still could be gusty in the highest elevations of the southern CWA such as Flat Top where 20-30mph is not out of the question, but for the most part, the CWA on the whole is looking at 10-20mph, again with slightly higher gusts in the mountains.

Flood Watch pushed for the mountains where the highest QPF of 2-3 inches is possible into Thursday night as the systems depart. Lowlands will be closer to 1-2 inches, but will need to monitor the state of the ground as basins fill over time. Minor high water impacts are possible CWA wide, and will be constantly evaluating those lowland areas. The relatively dry period over the last few weeks leaves room in the creeks and main stem rivers which will be needed in a rainfall that will hit most/all of the basins.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 230 PM Wednesday .

Light rain will likely continue into Thursday night, gradually tapering off from west to east as a low pressure system moves offshore. By Friday morning, rain should be over though some showers may linger over the mountains. Drier air will filter in during the day as surface level high pressure builds in from the southwest. This will allow dry weather to continue through Saturday when high pressure will begin to drift off towards New England.

Northwest flow will bring cold air into the area, lowering temperatures on Friday with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s in the lowlands and upper 30s to 40s in the mountains. Friday night lows will likely fall near to or just below freezing. Warmer air returns on Saturday though temperatures will still remain just below normal.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 230 PM Wednesday .

The next chance for precipitation will be Sunday through Sunday night when an upper level trough brings a cold front across the area. Temperatures are projected to drop considerably as cold air flows in behind the front. Monday's high temperatures may very well be a good 15 to 20 degrees below season normals and lows both Sunday and Monday night are projected to settle at or below freezing areawide.

During the day Monday, high pressure will return to the area and then settles in for the duration of the long term period. Warm air advection in the lower levels is expected to begin by Tuesday and will gradually allow temperatures to rise back to normal for the middle of the week.

AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 725 PM Wednesday .

Conditions will begin to deteriorate shortly after TAF issuance mainly across the southern and central terminals as abundant low level moisture and areas of stratiformed rain advects into the local region. Long periods of IFR ceilings and visibility will start to affect BKW first by 00Z, then spreading north to affect CRW and HTS overnight tonight. This reasoning comes along with the LAMP and NAM guidance with IFR/LIFR conditions developing overnight into Thursday. AMD NOT SKED could be coded later if HTS ASOS stops sending METARs per communication issues.

Tropical moisture from remnants of Zeta, combined with moisture pulled by a low pressure system from the west with move across the southern Appalachians Thursday. Ceilings should remain IFR for most part of day Thursday mainly across the central and southern sites. Northern sites could also see IFR conditions but it will depend how far north the moisture travels on Thursday. Winds will generally be light and variable through the period.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY . FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of rain rain and category changes could vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE THU 10/29/20 UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 EDT 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 CRW CONSISTENCY M M M M L L M H L H M H HTS CONSISTENCY H H L M L L L M L H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H M L L L L L L M M L L EKN CONSISTENCY M H M M L L L M M M M M PKB CONSISTENCY M M M M H H M M M H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H L L M L H L H M

AFTER 00Z FRIDAY . IFR to LIFR conditions continue in rain on Thursday after 18Z.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WV . Flood Watch through Thursday evening for WVZ033-034-515>526. OH . None. KY . None. VA . Flood Watch through Thursday evening for VAZ003-004.

SYNOPSIS . 26/JLB NEAR TERM . 26/ARJ SHORT TERM . JLB LONG TERM . JLB AVIATION . ARJ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Parkersburg, Mid-Ohio Valley Regional Airport, WV23 mi27 minSE 49.00 miOvercast55°F51°F87%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPKB

Wind History from PKB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS43SW3SW63NW6N63CalmS3SW3CalmN3CalmSE4
1 day agoN4NW3CalmCalmNE3N4N4E3NW4CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmSW3CalmW34CalmCalmCalmN4CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmW3CalmSW4CalmCalmS4SW4W4CalmW3CalmNW4NW8NW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.