Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wilkesville, OH

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 400 AM Friday...

Key Points: * Rounds of strong to severe storms will be possible today and tonight.
* Damaging winds are the main concern, though large hail and tornadoes are also possible. Heavy rain could also lead to localized high water issues.

Light precipitation is possible early this morning, then rounds of stronger showers and storms are expected to arrive from the southwest mid morning into the afternoon. Forecast soundings indicate a favorable environment in which severe storms may form during the day, particularly across central and southern portions of the CWA Activity may temporarily diminish this evening before another robust band of showers and storms arrives ahead of a cold front. Even better potential for severe weather is expected to occur as this band sweeps east overnight.

Most of the area falls under an enhanced risk of severe weather though tonight, with damaging winds as the primary concern.
however, large hail and tornadoes will also be possible. A slight risk of excessive rainfall is also present for today and tonight as heavy downpours could cause localized high water issues.

Temperatures are expected to reach upper 70s to mid 80s in the lowlands and 70s to low 80s in the mountains today. Lows remain fairly mild, with mid 50s to 60s expected overnight.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 245 PM Thursday...

Key Points:

* Ongoing outbreak of severe weather Friday night that could pose concerns for all hazards

* A succession of cold fronts will bring precipitation and severe weather to a close on Saturday

* Dry weather to round out the weekend

The forecast period opens up in the midst of severe weather brought forth by a bowing segment first originating in the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys Friday afternoon. Ongoing uncertainty with this evolving system will dictate the severity factor Friday night, but as of this issuance, strong wording for damaging wind gusts and large hail were included through midnight Friday night. The risk for tornadoes and heavy downpours will also be probable in activity.

The low pressure system orchestrating this severe weather will be progressing through the Great Lakes region at the start of the weekend, and will drive a cold front through the forecast area on Saturday. This will bring precipitation to a gradual end and will push the severe risk into the eastern seaboard on Saturday. A reinforcing cold front will yield dry weather to round out the weekend in addition to cooling temperatures.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 245 PM Thursday...

The start of the work week grows more active as shortwave energy rounding an upper level ridge ventures into the area starting late Monday. Guidance then enters into a realm of various solutions for next week, but all point towards a more active state as the ridge breaks down and low pressure blankets the area with showers and more potential for thunderstorms.
Seasonable temperatures round out the extended period, with daytime highs ranging in the 60s and 70s, then toppling down into the 40s and 50s during the overnight periods.

AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 140 AM Friday...

Most of the area should remain VFR this morning, though a few terminals could dip to MVFR due to lower ceilings. While showers will continue to graze the area before sunrise, better chances of rain and thunderstorms are expected to arrive mid morning into the afternoon. Activity should briefly diminish during the evening before a new line of storms passes west to east across the area Friday night. Periods of MVFR/IFR visibilities will be possible within any heavier showers or storms that develop during the TAF period.

Light to moderate southwest winds may gust into the teens at times this morning. Winds then strengthen for the afternoon when gusts into the 20 to 25 kt range will be possible. Even stronger gusts are expected to occur within storms.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and duration of thunderstorms may vary from the forecast. A brief period of LLWS could also be possible before wind gusts initiate later today.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE FRI 05/16/25 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H M H H H M M H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H M H H H M H H

AFTER 06Z SATURDAY...
IFR conditions are possible in heavy rain and storms Friday night, and then again Saturday afternoon.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.