Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Highland Holiday, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 5:45PM Saturday January 25, 2020 9:03 AM EST (14:03 UTC) Moonrise 8:29AMMoonset 6:34PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland Holiday, OH
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location: 39.21, -83.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 251132 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 632 AM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. A low pressure system will bring precipitation to the area today and tonight, Cooler air working into the region later today will change the rain chances to snow. Weak high pressure will affect the region for the beginning of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Stacked H5 low near the southern edge of Lake Michigan will spiral northeast into lower Michigan today. Current area of rain associated with one of the vort lobes will lift through eastern sections of the fa early this morning.

Latest mesoscale models are indicating that part of the morning should be dry. Moisture wrapping around the H5 low will work into the western counties around noon, and will spread east during the afternoon. Best chance of precipitation will be along and north of I-70, with decreasing PoPs as you head toward the Ohio River. Ptype looks like a rain/snow mix in the northwest counties as the pcpn comes in, but diurnal heating will warm the column enough that the pcpn will fall as mainly rain during the early afternoon. However as we head toward the end of the day, snow will begin to mix back in.

High temperatures are forecast to range from the mid 30s in the Whitewater Valley to around 40 in the far eastern counties.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/. The upper low will continue to spin its way through the eastern Great Lakes tonight. Rain/snow mix will quickly change to snow during the early evening hours. An inch or less of accumulation is expected across the nrn counties. A few tenths of an inch will be possible elsewhere. As the H5 low pulls away during the second half of the night, pcpn chances will be ending from west to east. Lows tonight should bottom out around 30.

Region looks like it will be between systems on Sunday. Weak westerly flow should keep the flow off the lakes and cold advection should be minimal, so removed pcpn. Low level moisture should linger however keeping the region cloudy. Highs are expected to range from the mid 30s in West Central Ohio to the lower 40s in nrn KY.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. With the much talked about mid-level low now well into the Northeast, a rather lackluster long-term forecast follows. Several weak shortwave troughs move through the region, the first sliding south of the area late Sunday night. The second follows on Wednesday with the final trough moving through on Friday. Despite these weak features moving through the Ohio Valley, overall PoP forecast is fairly low (20-30%). No significant airmass changes are anticipated with temperatures about 5-10 degrees above normal.

Sunday night, the first shortwave dives into the lower Ohio Valley, keeping clouds and a low pop chance of mixed rain and snow showers in the forecast into early Monday, mainly in the south. Temperatures look to be close to normal with Mondays highs forecast between 35 and 40.

Northwest flow with surface high pressure building into the area offering dry weather into Tuesday. Although dry weather is expected, clouds look to linger Tuesday with highs from the mid/upper 30s north to the lower 40s south.

Mid level flow backs westerly with weak shortwave passing through the Great Lakes late Wednesday into Thursday. Model spread exists regarding timing and strength of this s/w. QPF looks rather light. PoPs remain limited to slight chance category. Expect highs Wednesday and Thursday from the upper 30s northwest to the lower/mid 40s southeast.

Models solutions diverge and therefore do not offer high confidence heading into the end of the week. Previous model output from Friday afternoon showed an attempt of phasing two separate shortwaves into a mid level low impacting the Ohio valley. This morning output reveals the separation of the two pieces of energy, decreasing the likelihood of a stronger low pressure. These solutions will continue to vary from day to day as the timing of these features is evaluated further. Until confidence increases, low PoPs are forecast with temperatures still above normal.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Upper low continues to spiral over the region providing enough upper support for the scattered light rain across the region. Ceilings have generally dropped to IFR/lower MVFR.

Expect the current rain to lift northeast out of the region this morning, but it will be replaced by another during the afternoon. Ceilings will remain a mix of MVFR/IFR. The pcpn will start as rain and change to a rain snow mix in the northern tafs, before changing to all snow after 00Z. Winds will pick up this afternoon with gusts up around 20kt.

The snow will begin to pull out to the east of the region after 06Z. Visibilities will slowly recover, but ceilings will remain restricted.

OUTLOOK . MVFR/IFR ceilings will continue into Sunday. MVFR ceilings may persist at times through Wednesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. KY . None. IN . None.

SYNOPSIS . Campbell/Sites NEAR TERM . Sites SHORT TERM . Sites LONG TERM . McGinnis AVIATION . Sites


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington, Airborne Airpark Airport, OH24 mi70 minWSW 117.00 miOvercast36°F34°F93%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILN

Wind History from ILN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9E7SE6SE7S7S7S6SE7SW7S4S7SW3S3SW11SW4S6SW7SW6SW5W7SW6SW6SW10SW11
1 day agoS3S6S6S6S7S5S3E5E6E5E6E7E7E6E6E7SE9SE11SE12SE11SE6SE9SE7SE9
2 days agoS5S7S764S8S9S7SE4SE3SE5SE5SE5SE4SE3SE4SE6SE5SE6SE5CalmE3SE3SE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.