Thursday, July9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Highland Holiday, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 9:02PM Thursday July 9, 2020 7:05 AM EDT (11:05 UTC) Moonrise 11:14PMMoonset 9:36AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland Holiday, OH
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location: 39.21, -83.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 091051 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 651 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. Hot and humid conditions will persist until a weak cold front moves through the region tomorrow. Temperatures will not be quite so warm over the weekend, but the heat builds again towards midweek.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Fairly stagnant pattern for one more day across the forecast area. Weak wind flow and weak forcing will lead to scattered diurnal convection with slightly better coverage probably occurring in the northwest. High moisture content in the atmosphere and deep warm cloud depths will lead to the potential of locally heavy rain, especially with little storm movement.

Temperatures will again be in the lower to mid 90s with dew points near 70. Some places will likely not get to the 100 degree heat index threshold, but nonetheless will continue with the Heat Advisory area wide.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. Showers and thunderstorms will linger into the early evening before dissipating. A short wave will approach the region tonight and move across on Friday. This could bring some showers into western counties late tonight and continue into Friday morning. But better chance of precipitation will hold off until Friday afternoon as a weak cold front moves through. High precipitable water and deep warm cloud depth could lead to some efficient rain, even though storms will be moving more on Friday. Lows will be near persistence. Clouds and precipitation should lead to high being a few degrees lower on Friday compared to today.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A respite is in store for the extended period, after a cold front passes Friday. Lingering showers and thunderstorms Friday evening will move eastward. A few models continue to keep a threat of a lingering shower on Saturday. Given the unlikely chances, had to cap the precip at 20% after some higher chances early in the morning. Bulk of models remain dry for this period. Saturday night will also be dry with a slight chance of some precip working into the northwest towards daybreak Sunday. Threat of rain Sunday increases as a longwave trough crosses the Ohio Valley. Models have a large discrepancy in how much rain will occur and even moreso on temperatures given the rain should occur through the course of the day. European is quite dry and warmer, while the GFS is profoundly wetter and cooler and continues the cooler temps into next week.

Since trying to determine which model is more credible is folly, even given the similar sensible weather patterns. Resolving temperature differences 10-15 degrees between models on any of the first 3 days of next week is better left at the initialization of the model blend in forecast builder.

If the cooler temperatures in the 80s and lower 80s prevail, it will last through Tuesday, with a return southerly flow expected Wednesday. If the european is correct and the region stays dry with a h5 trough and receptive airmass, the remainder of the forecast keeps a weak southerly flow over the region and hovers highs around 90, then warms back up to the mid or upper 90s from Tuesday onward.

Would think the middle of the road would be for the wet Sunday and cooler temperatures into Monday, returning to what we've been seeing lately by mid week. Propensity for afternoon thunderstorms will not be the norm given an upper ridge overtop of the Ohio Valley Wednesday and return to zonal upper flow beyond that.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Visibility restrictions at some of the terminals at the start of the period will quickly dissipate leaving VFR conditions. Few to scattered cumulus will develop through the day. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur with the better chance still looking to be from KDAY to KCVG/KLUK. Precipitation and then clouds will diminish around 00Z. Some mist will develop at KLUK and KILN late in the period.

OUTLOOK . Thunderstorms are possible Friday through Monday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082- 088. KY . Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for KYZ089>100. IN . Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080.

SYNOPSIS . NEAR TERM . SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . Franks AVIATION .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington, Airborne Airpark Airport, OH24 mi72 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist71°F69°F94%1012.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILN

Wind History from ILN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3E5S3CalmCalmCalmSE444SE4E3NE5NE3NE3CalmSW3CalmCalmNE3CalmNE5E3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S7S34SW8W7E9CalmCalmE6E6SE5CalmSW3CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmE4
2 days agoCalmCalmSE3SE4S4W6W6E12SE11
G15
SE85S3SW8SW5NW6CalmW5SW4CalmSW6SW5SW3CalmW4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.