Monday, September20, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Newfield, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:01PM Monday September 20, 2021 4:25 PM EDT (20:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:17PMMoonset 5:08AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ430 Delaware Bay Waters North Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 404 Pm Edt Mon Sep 20 2021
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..SE winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog early in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of tstms. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Sat..N winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 404 Pm Edt Mon Sep 20 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will build offshore of the canadian maritimes tonight and remain for much of the upcoming week. A cold front is expected Thursday into Thursday night. High pressure may briefly affect the area late Friday into early Saturday, before another weak disturbance may affect the area around Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newfield , NJ
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location: 39.57, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 201856 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 256 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build offshore of the Canadian Maritimes tonight and remain for much of the upcoming week. A cold front is expected Thursday into Thursday night. High pressure may briefly affect the area late Friday into early Saturday, before another weak disturbance may affect the area around Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. It was interesting early this morning to not only see the birds leave their roost shortly after sun-up, but to also see a boundary working east to west across the I-95 corridor. The assumption was a marine layer butting up against some very dry air. Within the next three hours, there was a small rise in dewpoints and CU all over the place. With the onshore push expected to persist, this is likely just the beginning of marine-influenced clouds.

That said, clouds are expected to thicken overnight. We could see them dissipate this evening for a short time before reappearing once again. But the expectation is more clouds by Tuesday sunrise vs. what we experienced this morning. With more clouds in play and a change in wind direction, overnight lows will be about 5 degrees warmer compared to last night/early this morning.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. After two very nice days, broken to overcast skies will be the rule on Tuesday. A morning low overcast will lift a bit and break as the day wears on, but more clouds than sun can be expected. And as the moisture increases and pools across the coastal plain, light precipitation cannot be ruled out either during the afternoon. With the clouds, afternoon high temperatures are expected to be at or below where they end up today. If the forecast is too pessimistic and the sun makes a more significant appearance, temperatures could be a couple degrees warmer. Winds will remain out of the east/southeast, mainly in the 5 to 10 mph range.

As we head through Tuesday night, low clouds and fog will develop and rain chances will increase. Highest chances appear to be west of I-95 as the low-level onshore flow interacts with terrain. Lows Tuesday night will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than what we'll see tonight. Winds will be from the southeast around 5 mph.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A return of unsettled weather is expected for the middle of the week, followed by quiet weather for the end of the week.

After Sunday's models came into better agreement with regards to the mid-week frontal system, unfortunately, there is once again a fair amount of spread between various model guidance and their solutions. The GFS remains the slowest model, about 24-36 hours slower than the rest of the guidance in regards to the cold front, bringing it through the area Wednesday night. The rest of the model guidance, NAM, ECMWF, Canadian, and others, have the front coming through the area later Thursday into Thursday night. An area of low pressure will develop near the Ohio River Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday along a cold front as it moves eastward. As the mid-level closes off Wednesday and drifts northward through the end of the week, the surface low meanders northward across the Great Lakes as well, which will slow the frontal progression across the east coast. We have continued to shift the highest POPs to be centered more on the Thursday and Thursday night time period, with some higher POPS overlapping in Wednesday night. There could be some showers through the day Wednesday as moisture increases and several short wave/vorticity impulses move across the area in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the main system. There may also be some lingering precipitation Friday depending on how fast the front moves offshore. There is some instability forecast from Wednesday through Thursday evening, so there will be the potential for at least isolated thunderstorms. There is some enhanced shear values due to elevated mid-level winds, so depending on the timing of the convective activity, some stronger storms could develop, more likely on Thursday. Precipitable water values also increase during this period to at least 1.50-1.75 inches, so periods of moderate to heavy rainfall could also become a concern.

Behind the cold front, drier weather is expected to return to the area as high pressure briefly builds in for late Friday into Saturday. However, the ECMWF brings an disturbance across the Mid Atlantic region along the slow moving cold front as it stalls out near the coast Saturday int Saturday night, so there will remain a small chance of showers into the weekend. Cooler air will also move in behind the cold front, and temperatures may actually fall close to or slightly below normal by the end of the week into next weekend.

AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Starting VFR. Becoming MVFR between 04z and 10z. The stratus should settle into KMIV and KACY before the interior terminals. Winds will be out of the E/SE, generally 5 kts or less. Moderate confidence.

Tomorrow . Starting off mainly MVFR and may stay MVFR through the laste morning and into the afternoon. Winds will remain E/SE, generally in the 5 to 10 kt range. Can't rule some light rain later in the day, especially at KMIV and KACY. Moderate confidence.

Outlook .

Tuesday night . MVFR or IFR conditions expected in fog/stratus/light rain. E winds 5 kts or less. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday through Wednesday night . Morning MVFR or IFR in fog/stratus/light rain, then mainly VFR with scattered SHRAs/TSRA possible in the afternoon. SHRAs becoming likely Wednesday night with sub-VFR conditions. SE winds 10-15 kts, with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Low confidence.

Thursday and Thursday night . SHRAs likely with sub-VFR conditions. TSRA possible in the afternoon/evening. SE winds 10-20 kts. Low confidence.

Friday and Saturday . Mainly VFR. W/NW winds 10 to 15 kts. Moderate confidence.

MARINE.

Tonight . Sub-SCA conditions expected. High pressure nosing in from the north will result in E-SE winds 10-15 kt and seas 3-4 feet.

Tuesday . Sub-SCA conditions expected. E-SE winds 10-15 kt. Seas 3-4 feet.

Tuesday night . Sub-SCA conditions expected. E-SE winds 10-15 kt. Seas 3-4 feet.

Outlook .

Wednesday-Wednesday night . Generally VFR during the day, before conditions become MVFR or lower overnight for many areas. A chance of showers and thunderstorms which could lead to lower conditions at times. Southeast winds 10-15 knots, with gusts 20-25 knots possible at times. Low confidence.

Thursday-Thursday night . A period of showers, and possible thunderstorms likely, with MVFR or IFR conditions expected. South winds 5-10 knots ahead of a cold front, shifting to west or northwest behind the front. Low confidence.

Friday-Friday night . A chance of showers early in the day with lower conditions possible, lifting to VFR through the afternoon and into the evening. Northwest winds 5-10 knots. Moderate confidence.

Saturday-Saturday night . VFR conditions expected. Winds become south to southwest 5-10 knots. Moderate confidence.

Rip currents .

With onshore flow generally 10-15 kt and elevated seas and tide levels due to a full moon today, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents both today and Tuesday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Spotty minor tidal flooding is possible centered around the high tide this evening/overnight. The combination of higher astronomical tides with the full moon today and developing onshore flow will result in higher tide levels. Tide levels with last night's high tide fell below minor flooding thresholds. With increased (and a longer duration) of onshore flow today, expect the water levels to be slightly higher for tonight's high tide. However, even with that, water levels should fall just shy of advisory criteria.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.



Synopsis . Robertson Near Term . Kruzdlo Short Term . Kruzdlo Long Term . Robertson Aviation . Kruzdlo Marine . Kruzdlo/Robertson Tides/Coastal Flooding . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 26 mi55 min 76°F 73°F1025.7 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 27 mi55 min SE 19 G 21 73°F 76°F1026.8 hPa
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 28 mi55 min 76°F 76°F1025.5 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 29 mi55 min ENE 9.9 73°F 1028 hPa59°F
BDSP1 29 mi55 min 75°F 73°F1026.2 hPa
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 30 mi55 min 80°F 76°F1025.3 hPa
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 31 mi55 min S 7 G 9.9 76°F 1025.9 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 34 mi55 min 71°F 73°F1027.8 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 36 mi49 min S 7 G 9.9 75°F 72°F1026.1 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 41 mi55 min ESE 13 G 17 1026.7 hPa
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 41 mi55 min ESE 6 74°F 1026 hPa62°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi55 min SE 8.9 G 13 74°F 71°F1027 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 42 mi55 min E 16 G 19 72°F 74°F1026.1 hPa
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 43 mi55 min SE 5.1 G 11 76°F 76°F1026.1 hPa

Wind History for Philadelphia, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ14 mi31 minE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F56°F54%1026.1 hPa
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ24 mi31 minE 9 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F56°F57%1026.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMIV

Wind History from MIV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4E4SE6SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmNE3E7SE10E11
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1 day ago5W5W5W4W6W5W4W5NW4CalmN4N4N4N5N5N8N14N12
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NE9NE6NE5NE6NE7N4CalmN3N4NW4N5N3NW4N4N5N5NW6N6CalmN3W6NW7

Tide / Current Tables for Millville, Maurice River, New Jersey
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Millville
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Mon -- 12:08 AM EDT     6.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:19 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:32 PM EDT     5.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:27 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.365.13.72.10.80.30.41.12.43.74.85.55.54.93.72.210.30.312.23.75

Tide / Current Tables for Menantico Creek entrance, Maurice River, New Jersey
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Menantico Creek entrance
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Mon -- 05:52 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:05 PM EDT     5.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:00 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.75.24.12.71.30.40.20.61.52.73.94.75.14.842.81.50.50.20.51.42.63.95

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