Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Foxfield, CO

DISCUSSION /Through Wednesday/
Issued at 1136 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

Observations and cameras are showing light snow falling across some of the mountains at this time. Temperature progs continue to show a pretty warm airmass over the CWA tonight and Thursday...with 700 mb temperatures not really getting below -4 C. Most of the models, including the high resolution versions, continue to show decent enough orographic enhancement overnight, but limited QPF & snowfall amounts. Will leave the current highlights alone for now, after all, it is still snowing.

Strong west-southwesterly flow aloft will be in place for the CWA Thursday through Friday. There is very weak synoptic scale energy over the CWA Thursday and Thursday night, but a bit stronger upward motion on Friday. For Thursday, there is decent moisture around in the morning, but some drying in the low levels by afternoon. Moisture is pretty deep over the mountains Thursday night, enough so as to keep the likely light snow going there. Low level pressure and wind fields point to some weak upslope over the plains on Thursday so will leave a chance of light precipitation going there mainly over the western plains and Palmer Ridge Thursday. This will continuing into Thursday evening. The rest of the plains will see nothing Thursday and Thursday night.

On Friday, the southwesterly flow aloft weakens late in day then models are still show a weaken upper trough to push across the CWA Friday night. Moisture is pretty deep in the mountains Friday night, but over the plains, cross sections show it only in the mid and upper levels; not much down low. The synoptic scale energy is very weak with this trough as it crosses the CWA with the strongest lift well south of us in New Mexico. There will be light snow in the mountains, and a chance of precipitation mainly over the southern half of the plains Saturday night. The precipitation could mainly be rain over the plains as it never cools down significantly.

There is upper ridging west of the CWA early on Saturday with moderate northwesterly flow aloft. The ridge axis is over Colorado by Saturday night. Moisture is sparse Saturday and Saturday night, so no pops.

Temperatures continue to stay above seasonal normals Thursday, Friday and Saturday with highs in the lower 50s to 60 degrees over the plains all three days.

For the later days, models are in good agreement showing upper ridging over Colorado on Sunday with moderately strong zonal flow aloft. Southwesterly flow aloft moves in Monday continuing into Tuesday with a 160 knot jet maximum getting into Colorado. Broad upper troughing develops over the state later on Tuesday continuing into Wednesday with 130-170 knot jet level flow aloft. Cross sections show dry conditions Sunday and Monday with some upper level cloudiness around. There is some increased low level moisture in the mountains Tuesday, decreasing Wednesday. The plains are dry all four days with some upper level moisture indicated on the cross sections Sunday night, Monday and Wednesday. Temperatures are progged to be well above seasonal normals Sunday and Monday, cooling down Tuesday and Wednesday, yet still above normals. There looks to be critical fire weather conditions Monday through Wednesday during the afternoon hours each day and mainly over the plains.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday/
Issued at 1038 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

Winds will stay light drainage overnight and then change to more light and variable by 12z. By 18z, a sfc will form over the Palmer Divide. This will allow winds to become easterly for the aftn and early evening hours. By 03z or 04z Thu evening the winds will become southeast except at BJC where winds will be from the north.
VFR conditions will be in place thru 21z. After 21z, there will be a slight chance of rain showers with brief ceilings down to 6000 ft thru 04z Thu evening.

BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM MST Thursday for COZ031.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST Thursday for COZ033-034.