Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ship Bottom, NJ
October 4, 2023 1:38 AM EDT (05:38 UTC)
Sunrise 6:54AM Sunset 6:36PM Moonrise 9:55PM Moonset 12:58PM
ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Am Edt Wed Oct 4 2023
Rest of tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. E swell around 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 3 to 4 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. SE swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds in the evening. A chance of showers.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon and evening, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely through the day, then a chance of showers through the night.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Rest of tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. E swell around 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. E swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SE swell 3 to 4 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. SE swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds in the evening. A chance of showers.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon and evening, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely through the day, then a chance of showers through the night.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
ANZ400 102 Am Edt Wed Oct 4 2023
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. An expansive area of high pressure will remain over our region overnight, then it weakens and shifts northeast Wednesday into Thursday. A cold front moves through on Saturday, which brings a colder and much drier air mass into our region over the weekend and early next week.
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. An expansive area of high pressure will remain over our region overnight, then it weakens and shifts northeast Wednesday into Thursday. A cold front moves through on Saturday, which brings a colder and much drier air mass into our region over the weekend and early next week.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 040438 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1238 AM EDT Wed Oct 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
An expansive area of high pressure will remain over our region overnight, then it weakens and shifts northeast Wednesday into Thursday. A cold front moves through on Saturday, which brings a colder and much drier air mass into our region over the weekend and early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
A robust surface high pressure will remain over our region into Wednesday, continuing our stretch of sunny, dry, and warm weather.
A light and variable wind is anticipated. The overnight lows should favor the 50s with another round of valley fog developing.
With a surface high pressure system and a strong ridge aloft, we are set for what will likely be the warmest day of the week.
Highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s. This would not be enough to challenge daily record high temperatures that are mainly in the upper 80s, but will be well above average for October 4th. A sea breeze will likely be enhanced on Wednesday as the low-level synoptic flow becomes more southeasterly. This coupled with ocean water temperatures in the mid to upper 60s will result in noticeably cooler temperatures at the beaches.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure will remain in control of our weather through Thursday, with another mostly clear night with similar temperatures to the previous few nights. Along with calm winds, conditions will once again be favorable for some patchy valley fog early Thursday morning, mainly around eastern PA and northwest NJ outside of the urban corridor. This should tend to be reduced in coverage compared to the previous nights though, as the past couple warm and sunny days help to evaporate some of the soil moisture. We will begin to see some signs of change on Thursday, as there may be at least some increase in clouds by the end of the day. Overall though, expect one more warm and generally sunny day for most areas with highs only stepping back slightly from Wednesday...still in the upper 70s to near 80 outside of the immediate coast and Appalachians.
Thicker clouds will overspread our region on Thursday night into Friday morning. The low-level flow will be onshore, east to southeast. There has been a consistent signal for some low clouds if not even some light rain or drizzle potential Friday morning. Confidence is low on coverage, so kept the POPs through midday Friday below 20 percent in most areas. Models generally agree that a weak shortwave will be approaching our areas from the west-southwest Friday afternoon, well in advance of the main upper-level trough and associated surface cold front tracking across the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley. Deep moisture and forcing as well as instability looks like it will be lacking at that time, so while I would not completely rule out thunder, we have kept fairly low chances for showers around through the day Friday. Conditions will still be warm and even somewhat humid, with highs well into the 70s, accompanied by dew points rising through the 60s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The better chance for rain continues to look like it will precede and accompany the main cold front passage. While we will continue to refine the exact timing, at this point it looks like it will come through from west to east at some point during the day Saturday. As the main trough takes on a negative tilt and closes off near the eastern Great Lakes or southern Ontario late Saturday into early Sunday, some fairly dynamic forcing may accompany the front. With that in mind, despite a lack of instability in the model guidance, decided to toss in a slight chance for thunderstorms over northern portions of our region Saturday afternoon. That could just as easily occur earlier in the day or elsewhere depending on just how much instability there is and the exact timing of the front. Otherwise, this pattern does not look to favor heavy rainfall, and the severe weather potential looks very low at this time. Southerly winds ahead of the front do not look strong, but could become rather gusty from the west through Sunday, with strong cold air advection in the wake of the front.
Through early next week, an upper-level low will gradually lift northward near Quebec. Cyclonic flow along with colder air aloft may result in stratocumulus developing overhead or spreading in from the west. Shortwaves rotating around the low may help a few showers to reach the Poconos or northwest NJ, otherwise expect dry and cool weather for most of our region. A gusty westerly wind on Sunday should diminish through Monday, but will add to the chill after the previous warm week. High temperatures both days in the 50s to low 60s, and low temperatures each night down into the 40s (even some mid/upper 30s in the Poconos).
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Overnight...VFR under a mostly clear sky. Areas of fog may impact some of our TAF sites after 06Z. Variable wind 5 knots or less. Medium to high confidence.
Wednesday...Some patchy early morning fog, otherwise VFR. Light and variable winds becoming east to southeast 5-10 knots during the day. Low confidence regarding early morning fog, high confidence for VFR thereafter.
Outlook...
Wednesday night...VFR under a mostly clear sky. Patchy fog possible. Variable wind 5 knots or less. Medium to high confidence.
Thursday...VFR. Light and variable winds becoming southeasterly 5-10 knots. Moderate confidence.
Friday...MVFR conditions possible with an increasing chance for showers by later in the day and especially at night. Southeast to south winds near 10 knots. Low confidence.
Saturday...MVFR/IFR conditions with showers. Southwest winds 5-10 knots becoming west to northwest 10-15 knots and possibly gusty. Low confidence.
Sunday...Mainly VFR conditions. Westerly winds 15-25 kt and gusty.
MARINE
Winds will be variable around 10 knots or less overnight and Wednesday. Seas will remain around 3 to 4 feet with waves on Delaware Bay at 2 feet or less.
Outlook...
Thursday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
Friday and Saturday...Small Craft Advisory possible, mainly due to seas on the ocean zones that may build to 5-6 feet Friday night into Saturday. Southerly winds will increase some, however the strongest winds (possibly gusting to 25 knots) should occur Saturday with a wind shift from the west and northwest in the wake of a strong cold front.
Sunday...Expect Small Craft Advisories for most of our coastal waters, with brisk westerly winds 15-25 kt and seas lingering around 5-6 ft.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1238 AM EDT Wed Oct 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
An expansive area of high pressure will remain over our region overnight, then it weakens and shifts northeast Wednesday into Thursday. A cold front moves through on Saturday, which brings a colder and much drier air mass into our region over the weekend and early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
A robust surface high pressure will remain over our region into Wednesday, continuing our stretch of sunny, dry, and warm weather.
A light and variable wind is anticipated. The overnight lows should favor the 50s with another round of valley fog developing.
With a surface high pressure system and a strong ridge aloft, we are set for what will likely be the warmest day of the week.
Highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s. This would not be enough to challenge daily record high temperatures that are mainly in the upper 80s, but will be well above average for October 4th. A sea breeze will likely be enhanced on Wednesday as the low-level synoptic flow becomes more southeasterly. This coupled with ocean water temperatures in the mid to upper 60s will result in noticeably cooler temperatures at the beaches.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure will remain in control of our weather through Thursday, with another mostly clear night with similar temperatures to the previous few nights. Along with calm winds, conditions will once again be favorable for some patchy valley fog early Thursday morning, mainly around eastern PA and northwest NJ outside of the urban corridor. This should tend to be reduced in coverage compared to the previous nights though, as the past couple warm and sunny days help to evaporate some of the soil moisture. We will begin to see some signs of change on Thursday, as there may be at least some increase in clouds by the end of the day. Overall though, expect one more warm and generally sunny day for most areas with highs only stepping back slightly from Wednesday...still in the upper 70s to near 80 outside of the immediate coast and Appalachians.
Thicker clouds will overspread our region on Thursday night into Friday morning. The low-level flow will be onshore, east to southeast. There has been a consistent signal for some low clouds if not even some light rain or drizzle potential Friday morning. Confidence is low on coverage, so kept the POPs through midday Friday below 20 percent in most areas. Models generally agree that a weak shortwave will be approaching our areas from the west-southwest Friday afternoon, well in advance of the main upper-level trough and associated surface cold front tracking across the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley. Deep moisture and forcing as well as instability looks like it will be lacking at that time, so while I would not completely rule out thunder, we have kept fairly low chances for showers around through the day Friday. Conditions will still be warm and even somewhat humid, with highs well into the 70s, accompanied by dew points rising through the 60s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The better chance for rain continues to look like it will precede and accompany the main cold front passage. While we will continue to refine the exact timing, at this point it looks like it will come through from west to east at some point during the day Saturday. As the main trough takes on a negative tilt and closes off near the eastern Great Lakes or southern Ontario late Saturday into early Sunday, some fairly dynamic forcing may accompany the front. With that in mind, despite a lack of instability in the model guidance, decided to toss in a slight chance for thunderstorms over northern portions of our region Saturday afternoon. That could just as easily occur earlier in the day or elsewhere depending on just how much instability there is and the exact timing of the front. Otherwise, this pattern does not look to favor heavy rainfall, and the severe weather potential looks very low at this time. Southerly winds ahead of the front do not look strong, but could become rather gusty from the west through Sunday, with strong cold air advection in the wake of the front.
Through early next week, an upper-level low will gradually lift northward near Quebec. Cyclonic flow along with colder air aloft may result in stratocumulus developing overhead or spreading in from the west. Shortwaves rotating around the low may help a few showers to reach the Poconos or northwest NJ, otherwise expect dry and cool weather for most of our region. A gusty westerly wind on Sunday should diminish through Monday, but will add to the chill after the previous warm week. High temperatures both days in the 50s to low 60s, and low temperatures each night down into the 40s (even some mid/upper 30s in the Poconos).
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Overnight...VFR under a mostly clear sky. Areas of fog may impact some of our TAF sites after 06Z. Variable wind 5 knots or less. Medium to high confidence.
Wednesday...Some patchy early morning fog, otherwise VFR. Light and variable winds becoming east to southeast 5-10 knots during the day. Low confidence regarding early morning fog, high confidence for VFR thereafter.
Outlook...
Wednesday night...VFR under a mostly clear sky. Patchy fog possible. Variable wind 5 knots or less. Medium to high confidence.
Thursday...VFR. Light and variable winds becoming southeasterly 5-10 knots. Moderate confidence.
Friday...MVFR conditions possible with an increasing chance for showers by later in the day and especially at night. Southeast to south winds near 10 knots. Low confidence.
Saturday...MVFR/IFR conditions with showers. Southwest winds 5-10 knots becoming west to northwest 10-15 knots and possibly gusty. Low confidence.
Sunday...Mainly VFR conditions. Westerly winds 15-25 kt and gusty.
MARINE
Winds will be variable around 10 knots or less overnight and Wednesday. Seas will remain around 3 to 4 feet with waves on Delaware Bay at 2 feet or less.
Outlook...
Thursday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
Friday and Saturday...Small Craft Advisory possible, mainly due to seas on the ocean zones that may build to 5-6 feet Friday night into Saturday. Southerly winds will increase some, however the strongest winds (possibly gusting to 25 knots) should occur Saturday with a wind shift from the west and northwest in the wake of a strong cold front.
Sunday...Expect Small Craft Advisories for most of our coastal waters, with brisk westerly winds 15-25 kt and seas lingering around 5-6 ft.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ | 16 mi | 129 min | SSW 1 | 61°F | 30.21 | 61°F | ||
| ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 23 mi | 69 min | 66°F | 67°F | 30.11 | |||
| 44091 | 24 mi | 73 min | 67°F | 3 ft | ||||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 45 mi | 69 min | SW 4.1G | 64°F | 66°F | 30.17 | ||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 46 mi | 63 min | WSW 6G | 66°F | 65°F | 30.15 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KACY ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ | 24 sm | 44 min | SW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 59°F | 88% | 30.17 |
Wind History from MJX
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Manahawkin Drawbridge, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey
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Manahawkin Drawbridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT 1.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:49 AM EDT -0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:16 PM EDT 1.53 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:08 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 09:37 PM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT 1.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:49 AM EDT -0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:16 PM EDT 1.53 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:08 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 09:37 PM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Manahawkin Drawbridge, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 1.3 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0 |
| 9 am |
| -0 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.3 |
Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:34 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT -2.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:38 AM EDT 2.75 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 01:56 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:54 PM EDT -2.76 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:35 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:52 PM EDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:07 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 11:16 PM EDT 2.06 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:34 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT -2.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:38 AM EDT 2.75 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 01:56 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:54 PM EDT -2.76 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:35 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:52 PM EDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:07 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 11:16 PM EDT 2.06 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 1.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| -0.5 |
| 3 am |
| -1.4 |
| 4 am |
| -2.1 |
| 5 am |
| -2.5 |
| 6 am |
| -2.3 |
| 7 am |
| -1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 1.6 |
| 10 am |
| 2.6 |
| 11 am |
| 2.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| -2.5 |
| 6 pm |
| -2.8 |
| 7 pm |
| -2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 2 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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