Baltimore, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Baltimore, OH

April 14, 2024 10:26 PM EDT (02:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM
Moonrise 10:04 AM   Moonset 1:17 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baltimore, OH
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 142347 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 747 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak front will drop south into the area this evening and stall out near the Ohio River overnight. Scattered showers and storms will be possible will this front tonight and then again in parts of northern Kentucky on Monday. Much above normal temperatures are expected through most of the week, with periods of showers and storms through at least midweek. Cooler and drier conditions should return by next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Northwest flow aloft with shortwave and surface low pressure passing well north of the area thru the Great Lakes. A weak front will drop south into ILN/s area this evening and stall out near the Ohio Valley overnight. Strong WAA has allowed temperatures to warm into the upper 70s and lower 80s. Strong CAP is inhibiting the development of deep convection over ILN/s area. As the front drops south there will be a window of overlap where the CAP erodes and moderate instability of 1000-1300 J/KG looks to exist. Latest CAM solutions suggest that the window is slightly delayed and the coverage of storms has trended further east.

With an overlap of the moderate instby, and sufficient deep layer shear - a few the storms could be strong to severe mainly over ILN/s northeast counties this evening. The main impacts will be damaging winds with favorable DCAPES >1000 J/kg and large hail due to the steep midlevel lapse rates.

As the front slips south and instability decreases storms will come to end by 06Z. A band of post frontal clouds will develop along and north of the front.

Mild lows to range from near 50 north to the upper 50s south.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
Stalled frontal near the Ohio River Monday with clouds along and north of the front. The extensive early day cloud cover is expected to scatter some as we head into the afternoon. South of the front, more favorable low level moisture and daytime heating will lead to the development of scattered convection.
ILN/s far southern counties across Northern KY look to be on the northern periphery of the instability axis and the potential for isold convection. Have a slight chance of a thunderstorm across the far south during the afternoon.

Highs Monday will range from the lower 70s north to near 80 south of the Ohio River.

Leading edge of 20-25 kt southerly 8H jet to offer isentropic lift and moisture increase across the far southwest overnight Monday. Better coverage of storms to remain to our west with a slight chance of storms encroaching north into southwest Ohio and southeast IN late. Mild temperatures to continue with lows from the upper 40s northeast to near 60 southwest.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
A warm front will be lifting north through the area on Tuesday east of a low in the central Plains. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible along and near the front throughout the day until the front lifts north of the area. Forecast soundings do not show a great overlap of shear and instability, thus the severe risk remains fairly low at this time. Winds shift to the south/southeast behind the front and forecast highs reach into the 70s.

Shower and thunderstorm chances grow once again Tuesday night through Wednesday evening when forcing increases ahead of the eastward-moving low. Forcing appears to be fairly strong with a cold front, a fairly strong vorticity max, and the poleward exit region of a jet streak moving through the Ohio Valley. In this setup, shear will be strong. If instability can overlap with diurnal heating, a chance for strong to severe storms may develop. However, given strong forcing and anomalously high PWATS, widespread rain may lower the chance for instability developing on Wednesday.

The cold front likely passes through on Wednesday night bringing chances for showers and storms to an end. Temperatures cool off behind the front for the end of the week. A few chances for showers are possible during the second half of the week as another reinforcing cold front is possible.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A weak cold front will slowly drift southeast into the region tonight. There could be a low chance of a shower or storm near the northern terminals early on (between 00Z and 06Z), but the threat should then diminish and shift southeast. VFR ceilings and visibilities are expected for the most part. There is some concern for lower clouds to form across southern terminals, but confidence is not high enough to go with any BKN ceilings at this time.

On Monday, the weak front will drift southward into northern Kentucky where it will likely stall out. There will be a low chance for an afternoon and evening shower/storm there.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected as the low level flow shifts to the north then northeast between 5 and 10 knots.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Tuesday night into Wednesday night. MVFR ceilings possible Thursday. MVFR conditions possible Friday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KLHQ FAIRFIELD COUNTY,OH 8 sm33 minWSW 0610 smClear70°F48°F46%29.82
KCMH JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTL,OH 15 sm35 minSSW 0510 smMostly Cloudy72°F52°F50%29.80
KLCK RICKENBACKER INTL,OH 16 sm31 minSW 0410 smClear66°F50°F56%29.81
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Wilmington, OH,



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