Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Baltimore, OH
September 20, 2024 2:29 AM EDT (06:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 7:32 PM Moonrise 7:54 PM Moonset 9:22 AM |
Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 200554 AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 154 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain in place across the region through Friday. A fast-moving disturbance will offer scattered showers and a few storms Friday night as it pushes east through the Great Lakes. After a warm and dry weekend, a frontal boundary will move into the area early next week, bringing somewhat cooler temperatures and a chance for showers.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Update was insignificant this evening regarding changes to the current forecast. Dropped temps just a bit and lowered sky cover which was already pretty minimal.
Weak high pressure and a mid-level ridge will continue to provide dry weather and light winds tonight. Outside of some river valley fog, mostly clear skies are expected. Guidance is picking up on a slightly higher potential for patchy fog in central Ohio in the vicinity of the Licking and Hocking Rivers, so have added this to the grids in the near term period.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/
After another quiet day on Friday, the mid level ridge axis will flatten a bit late in the day into overnight as a disturbance pushes east through the Great Lakes states. The latest guidance has come in more energetic with this system.
Consistent with the CAMs (including forecast soundings), have added a chance of showers and isolated storms from late Friday evening through Friday night. The best chance of measurable rain will be north of I-70, but can't rule out a brief shower anywhere in the CWA Either way, QPF will be light due to the scattered nature of the precipitation.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
The Ohio Valley will be between systems this weekend while anomalous upper level ridging remains in place. Light winds can be expected on Saturday and Sunday with above average temperatures and above average PWATs. Forecast highs are near 90 both days Forecast lows are in the lower to middle 60s. Humidity may be somewhat noticeable with dew points near 60. Although an isolated shower or storm may be possible each afternoon, overall chances remain very low without much forcing in place.
Ensemble guidance is showing a possible increase in rain chances next week with the possibility of a low pressure system and cold front moving through the area. The resulting forecast shows a decrease in temperatures Monday through Wednesday with chances for rain. We will have to see if forecast QPF amounts can increase to provide some relief from the drought across the area.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Mostly clear skies and light winds early this morning may lead to some river valley fog with some MVFR to locally IFR vsbys possible at KLUK through daybreak. Otherwise, a few cu will be possible again later this morning and into this afternoon. Some mid level energy will approach from the west this evening and into tonight. This will result in some isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms through the tail end of the TAF period.
OUTLOOK...Hazardous weather is not expected.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 154 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain in place across the region through Friday. A fast-moving disturbance will offer scattered showers and a few storms Friday night as it pushes east through the Great Lakes. After a warm and dry weekend, a frontal boundary will move into the area early next week, bringing somewhat cooler temperatures and a chance for showers.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Update was insignificant this evening regarding changes to the current forecast. Dropped temps just a bit and lowered sky cover which was already pretty minimal.
Weak high pressure and a mid-level ridge will continue to provide dry weather and light winds tonight. Outside of some river valley fog, mostly clear skies are expected. Guidance is picking up on a slightly higher potential for patchy fog in central Ohio in the vicinity of the Licking and Hocking Rivers, so have added this to the grids in the near term period.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/
After another quiet day on Friday, the mid level ridge axis will flatten a bit late in the day into overnight as a disturbance pushes east through the Great Lakes states. The latest guidance has come in more energetic with this system.
Consistent with the CAMs (including forecast soundings), have added a chance of showers and isolated storms from late Friday evening through Friday night. The best chance of measurable rain will be north of I-70, but can't rule out a brief shower anywhere in the CWA Either way, QPF will be light due to the scattered nature of the precipitation.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
The Ohio Valley will be between systems this weekend while anomalous upper level ridging remains in place. Light winds can be expected on Saturday and Sunday with above average temperatures and above average PWATs. Forecast highs are near 90 both days Forecast lows are in the lower to middle 60s. Humidity may be somewhat noticeable with dew points near 60. Although an isolated shower or storm may be possible each afternoon, overall chances remain very low without much forcing in place.
Ensemble guidance is showing a possible increase in rain chances next week with the possibility of a low pressure system and cold front moving through the area. The resulting forecast shows a decrease in temperatures Monday through Wednesday with chances for rain. We will have to see if forecast QPF amounts can increase to provide some relief from the drought across the area.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Mostly clear skies and light winds early this morning may lead to some river valley fog with some MVFR to locally IFR vsbys possible at KLUK through daybreak. Otherwise, a few cu will be possible again later this morning and into this afternoon. Some mid level energy will approach from the west this evening and into tonight. This will result in some isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms through the tail end of the TAF period.
OUTLOOK...Hazardous weather is not expected.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KLHQ FAIRFIELD COUNTY,OH | 8 sm | 36 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 61°F | 55°F | 82% | 29.91 | |
KVTA NEWARKHEATH,OH | 14 sm | 35 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 61°F | 57°F | 88% | 29.91 | |
KCMH JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTL,OH | 15 sm | 38 min | ENE 03 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 70°F | 61°F | 73% | 29.90 | |
KLCK RICKENBACKER INTL,OH | 16 sm | 34 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 59°F | 73% | 29.90 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLHQ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLHQ
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLHQ
Wind History graph: LHQ
(wind in knots)Wilmington, OH,
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