Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Neffs, OH

KEY MESSAGES
1) Early morning showers, then dry weather returns today through Tuesday

2) Active pattern returns for mid to late week

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front, and associated band of showers, continues to track east across the region, and should exit the area by sunrise. Stratus is expected behind the front through the morning, though any significant fog should be limited by a NW wind behind the front. The stratus should gradually mix out by late morning into early afternoon, with clearing skies then expected.

Dry weather is then expected to continue through Tuesday night as high pressure moves east across the Upper Ohio Valley region.
Lowering humidity levels are also expected with NW flow. Warm daytime temperatures, and overnight lows in the 50s, are expected through Tuesday.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Model ensembles indicate a broad trough will begin to approach from the northern Plains/Upper Midwest region Tuesday night into Wednesday. At the same time, a closed SE CONUS low is progged to phase with the trough as it approaches the Upper Ohio Valley region.

Increasing moisture and lift in southwest flow should return scattered shower and thunderstorm chances to the region on Wednesday. Individual shortwaves moving through the trough should then maintain daily shower and thunderstorm chances across the Upper Ohio Valley region into the weekend. The potential for locally heavy rain and strong storms will need to be monitored, though it is too early to determine those specifics at this time.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Improvements are expected throughout the day as cigs are expected to lift and scatter after erroding low-level moisture.
Because of this, ports are generally expected to improve from IFR/MVFR to VFR by this afternoon as winds motly remain out of the north-northwest. Skies are expected to clear overnight.

Overnight winds will calm and veer more northeasterly with chances of fog for river valleys and north of I-80, with the highest chance of restrictions if fog for DUJ and FKL where tempos were noted for now.

Outlook...
VFR is favored through Tuesday night. Thunderstorm and rain chances increase into Wednesday, along with the chances for restrictions. Daily restriction and thunder chances last through the rest of the week.

PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.