Sunday, January17, 2021
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Beverly, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:02PM Sunday January 17, 2021 5:09 AM EST (10:09 UTC) Moonrise 11:17AMMoonset 10:49PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 405 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 8 seconds, becoming mainly from the nw with a dominant period of 6 seconds after midnight.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of snow and rain in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
ANZ400 404 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure will continue to move away from the region today through Monday. High pressure builds in for the new week and lasts into about Wednesday. Low pressure and its associated fronts will affect the region Thursday and into early Friday. More high pressure will arrive for next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly, NJ
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location: 40.03, -74.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 170833 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 333 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will continue to move away from the region Today through Monday. High pressure builds in for the new week and lasts into about Wednesday. Low pressure and its associated fronts will affect the region Thursday and into early Friday. More high pressure will arrive for next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Objective 00z upper-air analysis depicted a strong upper low in the Saint Lawrence Valley with an intense jet streak offshore the East Coast. Transient ridging was located in the Midwest, with another shortwave trough and digging upstream jet streak moving into the northern Plains. An intense (100+ kt) 500-mb jet streak was nosing offshore the Carolina coast, with low-level cold advection in the wake of the cold front moving through the region yesterday. The attendant surface low was moving through New England, with a strong pressure gradient evident on the southwest side. As insolation commences today, west winds will mix to the surface readily, with model soundings indicating gusts of 25 to 30 kt are attainable should mixing reach to near 850 mb. Thus, I bumped up winds (particularly gusts) today with this in mind.

Sky cover will be challenging to forecast today, as the strength of mixing may permit the development of ceilings around 5000 feet by this afternoon. Better coverage of cloudiness should be in the northwestern CWA (as usual), but there may be periods where this extends well southeast. Cloud cover will temper warming today where the cloud deck ends up, so did not stray too far from consensus for highs. The result was max temps in the 30s in the Poconos and the 40s to around 50 southeast of the urban corridor.

For tonight . the aforementioned digging vort max in the Plains will pivot quickly eastward then northeastward into the Appalachians by this evening. Should see an uptick in snow shower coverage to our west, and the proximity of the perturbation and associated lift suggest a few of these showers may move into the southern Poconos. For now, just added a mention of flurries to this area, but should model trends continue, may need to include mentionable PoPs for more substantial snow showers. Low temperatures should be near or below freezing, though increased cloud cover with the glancing perturbation may prevent a more noteworthy drop in temperatures, especially northwest of the Fall Line.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. A weak front to the north will keep some lingering snow showers across the southern Poconos early Monday. Other than that, dry weather is expected Mon and Tue as high pressure begins to build over the area. An upper trough will swing across the area Mon afternoon. Partly to mostly sunny skies with gusty winds expected both Mon and Tue with seasonable temperatures.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/.

Except for the period beginning Thu and ending early Fri, dry weather will remain across the region for the long term. The system for Thu/Thu night does not look very strong and the precipitation pattern looks disorganized in many of the models. Still, we will continue with the chance pops in the forecast for this period. Precip type will favor snow across northern NJ and the southern Poconos of PA while Delmarva and srn NJ have mainly rain.

Temperatures will be mostly below normal for Wed and then again for the weekend. Thu will have near normal readings while Fri will be 2 to 4 degrees above normal. Normal high temperatures for this time of year range from the low 40s for metro Philadelphia and Delmarva to the mid/upper 30s for the Lehigh Valley, northern NJ and Berks county. Mount Pocono has normal highs close to 30 degrees.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of tonight . VFR with west winds around 10 kt. High confidence.

Sunday . VFR with west winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts 20 to 25 kt. High confidence.

Sunday night . Mainly VFR with west to southwest winds up to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Outlook .

Monday thru Wed night . Generally VFR conditions. Gusty winds mostly during the daylight hours.

Thursday . Generally VFR conditions, but lower CIGS/VSBYS with scattered rain or snow showers.

MARINE. Advisory conditions are occurring across the area waters early this morning, with west to northwest winds 15 to 25 kt and higher gusts. Cannot rule out a gale-force gust or two, but coverage/duration do not appear sufficient anywhere to warrant a product upgrade. The peak wind gusts should occur through mid morning before a gradual decline through the day. Advisory conditions may cease on Delaware Bay before advisory expiration early this evening, but will keep the end timing the same for now just in case. Seas should lower below 5 feet on the Delaware Atlantic waters by this evening, so the advisory end time here looks fine for now as well.

However, I did extend the advisory for the New Jersey waters through the evening hours, as seas may hover near 5 feet through this time. Additionally, winds may diminish more slowly in this area.

Sub-advisory conditions should occur for all waters by late tonight.

Outlook .

Generally winds and seas will remain close to SCA conditions through the period with occasional gusts 20 to 25 kts. Seas will be mostly 3 to 5 ft on the ocean. Fair weather is expected with only a chance for some showers on Thu.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ450>453. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ430- 431-454-455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . CMS Short Term . O'Hara Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . CMS/O'Hara Marine . CMS/O'Hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 5 mi94 min WSW 11 G 15 36°F 37°F1002.5 hPa
BDSP1 9 mi52 min 36°F 38°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 12 mi52 min 36°F 39°F
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 13 mi52 min 35°F 39°F
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 30 mi52 min 36°F 40°F
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 42 mi100 min SW 7 35°F 1004 hPa28°F
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 47 mi52 min 36°F 31°F
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 47 mi52 min 35°F 40°F

Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Philadelphia, Northeast Philadelphia Airport, PA6 mi76 minWSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy36°F24°F62%1003.6 hPa
Mount Holly, South Jersey Regional Airport, NJ7 mi76 minWSW 1010.00 miFair35°F25°F67%1003.6 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ18 mi74 minSW 1010.00 miFair34°F26°F71%1002.7 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ18 mi77 minWSW 7 G 1710.00 miFair34°F25°F70%1001.7 hPa
Philadelphia - Wings Field Airport, PA19 mi75 minWSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy34°F24°F68%1003.4 hPa
Philadelphia, Philadelphia International Airport, PA20 mi76 minWSW 1510.00 miFair35°F24°F64%1003.9 hPa
Doylestown, Doylestown Airport, PA23 mi76 minSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds35°F24°F64%1002.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNE

Wind History from PNE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3SW3SW3SW5W8W10W10W12W11W12W7W6W8W8W9W14W8W8W10W10W9W11SW11SW12
1 day agoNE5NE5NE6E7E8E10E13E13E14
G20
SE14E10E12E12E7E11E9E9CalmN3CalmS4E3SE5Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmN3N3N3NW3N4CalmN5NE3CalmNE3CalmCalmNE3N3NE4NE8N3CalmNE6CalmNE6

Tide / Current Tables for Bridgeboro, Rancocas Creek, New Jersey
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Bridgeboro
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:30 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EST     5.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:38 PM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:01 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:03 PM EST     6.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:49 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.31.63.24.55.55.75.14.13.22.31.40.50.41.63.54.95.96.4653.92.92

Tide / Current Tables for Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current
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Philadelphia
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:27 AM EST     1.37 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:40 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:34 AM EST     -1.78 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:38 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:33 PM EST     1.63 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:46 PM EST     -1.80 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 09:50 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.31.31.10.7-0.4-1.3-1.7-1.8-1.5-1.1-0.60.41.51.61.20.7-0.2-1.2-1.7-1.8-1.6-1.3-1.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.