Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Beverly, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 5:53PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 8:35 AM EST (13:35 UTC) Moonrise 11:00PMMoonset 9:36AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 703 Am Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.gale warning in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of light freezing spray early this morning. SWell mainly from the nw with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the nw with a dominant period of 5 seconds, becoming mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 5 seconds after midnight.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 4 seconds, becoming mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
ANZ400 703 Am Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will progress through the eastern u.s. Today and tonight. A cold front will move southeastward through the northeast Wednesday and Wednesday night. Strong and broad high pressure will build southeastward from canada late this week into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly, NJ
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location: 40.03, -74.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 021100 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 600 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will progress through the eastern U.S. today and tonight. A cold front will move southeastward through the Northeast Wednesday and Wednesday night. Strong and broad high pressure will build southeastward from Canada late this week into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 600 am update: Winds continue to howl both in the higher elevations of the Poconos and far northwest New Jersey, and on and near the Atlantic coast. As a result, have extended the wind advisory for Sussex County in New Jersey and all coastal counties of New Jersey (and the Atlantic beaches in Delaware) through 10 am.

Winds will continue to be strong elsewhere as well (and may actually increase a little bit this morning) but are expected to remain below advisory criteria henceforth. Thus, the advisory was allowed to expire for the rest of southeast PA, New Jersey, and northern Delaware Previous discussion follows.

Today . A cold a blustery day is in store for the area as the center of the cold air mass will be just north of the area this morning. Northwest winds will continue to gust over 30 mph at times with some 40 mph gusts for the higher elevations of the southern Poconos and northern NJ. Higher gusts will also be founds along the shore areas. Winds will decrease this afternoon. Under sunny skies, highs will only reach the upper 20s and low 30s across the north and upper 30s to around 40 for the S/E areas.

Tonight . The ridge of high pressure will extend across the Middle Atlantic, so fair weather with mostly clear skies will continue. The coldest air will have already begun to retreat, but it will still be cool since the clear skies and rather light winds will promote good radiational cooling. Lows will range from the low/mid 20s for the southern Poconos and Lehigh Valley, to the upper 20s to low 30s for the Philly suburbs, urban ares and also Delmarva.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. A lengthy quiet period is in store for the northern Mid- Atlantic, with an increasingly amplified upper-level pattern across North America ensuring this.

A southern-stream perturbation will be approaching the Southeast coast at 12z Wednesday, with a northern-stream vort max shifting southeastward through New England quickly as a strong upper low in the Canadian Maritimes continues its stalling process. Little phasing will occur between the two perturbations before exiting eastward off the coast, eliminating any threat of precipitation posed by the southern-stream system for our region. The northern-stream system will bring a dry cold front through the area Wednesday and Wednesday night, though its timing will likely permit a warmer day Wednesday before cold advection takes over. Guidance is in reasonable agreement regarding temperatures across the area, despite some uncertainty with frontal timing, with highs in the 40s north of I-78 and 50s to the south.

Temperatures on Thursday will be noticeably colder, probably by around ten degrees, as cold advection begins in earnest. There are indications of a reinforcing surge of colder air on Thursday morning, as well, attendant to a weak vort max in the northwest midlevel flow. This surge should be accompanied by stronger winds, with speeds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible by afternoon. The stronger winds will likely continue Thursday night, preventing a temperature plummet owing to continued mixing precluding more idealized radiational cooling.

The Thursday morning vort max may be accompanied by some flurries or snow showers in the Poconos, but currently think the potential is too low for mention in the forecast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. An unusually long period of dry weather will continue for the region through early next week. Main forecast concern this period is winds and fire-weather potential on Friday.

Despite the active past month, we are approaching fire-weather season in the northern Mid-Atlantic, and with dry conditions expected all week (along with breezy conditions on multiple days), think that the first reasonable taste of fire-weather conditions will be on Friday for our area.

With high pressure well to the northwest in south-central Canada on Thursday night and languishing low pressure in the Maritime Provinces, a strong quasi-zonally-oriented pressure gradient will persist across the Northeast on Friday. Cold/dry advection will continue for a prolonged period in the northern Mid- Atlantic. Models typically keep dew points too high in such a pattern, and with northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts expected, think that winds and relative humidity will readily meet fire-weather thresholds on Friday. Though fuels will likely remain high enough to preclude the need for fire-weather products (not to mention chilly temperatures), they should be drying through the week, so will need to at least monitor given the favorable setup expected.

High pressure will take its sweet time moving through the region, likely taking the entire weekend to do so. This will keep temperatures several degrees below seasonal averages Friday through Sunday. The period should be dry, but cannot rule out a flurry or snow shower in the north to northwest flow in the Poconos as a series of vorticity maxima race through the region.

High pressure will settle into the western Atlantic early next week, leading to ridge amplification in the eastern U.S. as a large-scale trough begins to enter the West. This will set the stage for much warmer temperatures but will likely keep the area dry well beyond the end of the forecast period.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today . Gusty NW winds will continue much of the day with gusts 25 to 30 knots this morning and 15 to 25 knots into the afternoon. Skies will be mostly clear. VFR. High confid.

Tonight . VFR continues with mostly SKC. W to NW winds 5 to 10 knots. High confid.

Outlook .

Wednesday through Saturday . High confidence in VFR conditions through the period Regarding winds.

Wednesday . West to southwest winds 5 to 15 kt.

Wednesday night . Northwest winds up to 10 kt.

Thursday through Friday . Northwest winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt (especially during the daytime hours).

Friday night and Saturday . West to northwest winds 5 to 10 kt.

MARINE. 600 am update: The gale warning was extended for upper portions of Delaware Bay through 10 am, as buoys and coastal observations continue to indicate gusts of 35 to 40 kt.

In addition, low tides reached blowout in Raritan Bay this morning and were quite close at Sandy Hook. The next low tide may be similar, but we are expecting the storm surge to become less negative with time (as offshore winds slowly diminish), so we do not expect the need to issue a low water advisory for the Atlantic coast at this time Previous discussion follows.

Looks like the Gales will continue for a few hours into the morning before they begin to diminish. There are no plans to change the Gale winds flags with the morning fcst. Later today as the ridge extends across the waters, the winds and seas will then decrease back below Gale then SCA criteria. Fair weather is expected today and tonight. Some freezing spray could occur this morning, mostly across the nrn NJ coastal waters.

Outlook .

Wednesday . Lingering advisory conditions possible in the morning, but mainly sub-advisory conditions expected.

Wednesday night . Sub-advisory conditions expected.

Thursday through Friday . Advisory-level northwest winds likely (especially Thursday night and Friday). Cannot rule out gale- force gusts, though advisory conditions seem more probable at this point.

Friday night . Lingering advisory conditions possible.

Saturday . Sub-advisory conditions expected.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for PAZ060>062- 070-071-101>106. Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for PAZ054-055. NJ . Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for NJZ007>010- 012-015>019-021. Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for NJZ001-013-014- 020-022>027. DE . Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for DEZ001. Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for DEZ004. MD . None. MARINE . Gale Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ431-450>455. Gale Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ430.

Synopsis . DAD Near Term . DAD/O'Hara Short Term . DAD Long Term . DAD Aviation . DAD/O'Hara Marine . DAD/O'Hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 5 mi59 min WNW 11 G 20 24°F 39°F1023.4 hPa
BDSP1 9 mi47 min 26°F 42°F1024.4 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 12 mi47 min NNW 11 G 17 25°F 39°F1024.1 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 13 mi47 min 27°F 39°F1024.2 hPa
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 30 mi47 min 40°F
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 42 mi65 min SSE 11 27°F 1023 hPa4°F
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 47 mi47 min NNW 11 G 17 28°F 1025.1 hPa
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 47 mi47 min 38°F

Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Philadelphia, Northeast Philadelphia Airport, PA6 mi41 minNW 16 G 2310.00 miFair26°F4°F38%1024.4 hPa
Mount Holly, South Jersey Regional Airport, NJ7 mi41 minNW 13 G 2310.00 miFair26°F4°F38%1024.1 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ18 mi39 minNW 14 G 2610.00 miFair26°F2°F36%1023.1 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ18 mi42 minWNW 12 G 2310.00 miFair23°F3°F42%1022.3 hPa
Philadelphia - Wings Field Airport, PA19 mi40 minNW 12 G 1910.00 miFair23°F5°F44%1023.7 hPa
Philadelphia, Philadelphia International Airport, PA20 mi41 minNW 13 G 2910.00 miFair26°F3°F37%1024.8 hPa
Doylestown, Doylestown Airport, PA23 mi41 minWNW 16 G 2410.00 miFair23°F2°F40%1023.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNE

Wind History from PNE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE8NE4NE6E6SE4E6E10E8E7E6--NE6NE5E4NE5NE5CalmN3N3CalmNW4SW3SW3SW5
2 days agoNE5N4NE5W3SW7W10W15W10
G18
W13W8W6W5SW3SW4SW3CalmW4W4NW3W3CalmNE4NE5E4

Tide / Current Tables for Bridgeboro, Rancocas Creek, New Jersey
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Bridgeboro
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Tue -- 04:54 AM EST     6.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:36 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 12:12 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     6.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-01.23.55.46.56.86.35.142.91.80.7-0.10.42.54.76.16.76.55.54.23.121

Tide / Current Tables for Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current
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Philadelphia
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Tue -- 01:16 AM EST     2.18 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:30 AM EST     -0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:00 AM EST     -2.23 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:36 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:36 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:37 PM EST     2.17 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:50 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:19 PM EST     -2.26 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:58 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.32.121.60.7-0.7-1.6-2.1-2.2-2.1-1.8-0.90.722.11.71-0.2-1.4-2-2.2-2.2-1.9-1.3

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