Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Beverly, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 8:30PM Sunday July 12, 2020 7:50 PM EDT (23:50 UTC) Moonrise 12:29AMMoonset 12:56PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 702 Pm Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers after midnight. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers early in the morning. A chance of showers late. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed..NE winds around 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds around 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..S winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 702 Pm Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak cold front will pass through the region tonight, then high pressure builds in from the west for Monday. SEveral upper level disturbances will pass through the region Monday and Tuesday, and then a backdoor cold front slides through on Wednesday as the high moves offshore. A series of cold fronts will then affect the region late this week and into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly, NJ
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location: 40.03, -74.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 121933 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 333 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will pass through the region tonight, then high pressure builds in from the west for Monday. Several upper level disturbances will pass through the region Monday and Tuesday, and then a backdoor cold front slides through on Wednesday as the high moves offshore. A series of cold fronts will then affect the region late this week and into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/. The frontal boundary offshore is now expected to begin to dissipate this evening as an area of low pressure moves northward toward the area, combining with a cold front that is approaching the area from the west. Showers and isolated thunderstorms associated with the cold front approaching from the west will continue to move spread across eastern Pennsylvania late this afternoon into this evening as a short wave/vorticity impulses moves into the area. As the low approaches from the south and merges with the cold front, additional short waves/vorticity impulses will move into the area from the south, leading to additional showers and possible thunderstorm development this evening. As the surface low passes to the north and the front moves toward the coast overnight, the shower/thunderstorm activity will diminish later in the night and toward daybreak Monday. CAPE values are forecast to build to as much as 1,000 J/kg later this afternoon into this evening, so some thunderstorms will be possible, as many of the CAMs are indicating mainly between 4 pm - 10 pm. However, shear is only 25 knots or less and mid level lapse rates are less than 6 C/km, so severe weather is not expected. Although DCAPE values approach 700-800 J/kg, so if any thunderstorms do develop, some stronger gusty winds could occur. PW values will range between 1.5-1.75 inches, so heavy rainfall will also be possible.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/. On Monday, the surface low will continue to lift to our north, while the cold front will stall out near the coast during the day. Meanwhile, another surface trough will move across the area during the day as it circles the low to our north. Most of the guidance keeps the forecast dry for much of the day Monday, although some guidance indicates some showers or thunderstorms possible across northern New Jersey and northeast Pennsylvania. We kept a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms everywhere due to the front near the coast and the surface trough moving in from the west. But overall, a drier forecast in store for much of our area as the majority of precipitation looks to remain north and south of the area. It will be another seasonably warm day, but dewpoints will be highest in the morning before lowering through the day, so it will become less humid by the afternoon.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Any lingering showers and thunderstorms will taper off Monday evening as the surface cold front and mid-level trough and shortwaves lift east of the region. Conditions dry out by midnight and high pressure centered over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley will begin to push east.

Tuesday looks to be dry across the majority of the forecast area. There should be decent mixing due to a downsloping northwest flow, and expecting surface dewpoints to drop into the upper 50s/low 60s. Generally pleasant, despite it being warm with highs into the mid to upper 80s, probably near 90 along the urban corridor. One of those dry summer days where although it is warm, the Heat Index is actually a bit lower than the air temp.

With the base of upper trough just south of Long Island, some strong shortwave energy will dive through the southern Poconos and northern New Jersey in the afternoon. Will mention slight chance PoPs, as a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in the far northern zones, but moisture will be limited, so not expecting much convection.

High pressure continues to build east Tuesday night and slides offshore on Wednesday. This allows a backdoor cold front to slide through the region. Onshore flow sets up, and with some weak shortwave energy passing through the region, some showers are possible east of the I-95 corridor. Models showing minimal QPF, but will mention a slight chance for showers Wednesday afternoon, mainly for the eastern half of the forecast area. Really not expecting many showers and not much QPF at all, but a few could pop up as some convergence develops between the urban corridor and the New Jersey shoreline.

Conditions then get active for the late week period. Low pressure passing north of the region drags a cold front through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Thursday, and the front slowly works its way across the Northeast Thursday night and Friday. Progression seems fairly slow, so will keep highest PoPs in the western zones Thursday afternoon and Thursday night before ramping up on Friday.

Another round of convection is possible Saturday as the front gets hung up south of the region over the Mid-Atlantic and some shortwave energy passes through the region. There is a better chance for convection Sunday as another cold front passes through. Will keep PoPs capped at chance both days.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today-this evening . Mostly VFR conditions will continue outside of any showers or thunderstorms. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible for the rest of this afternoon into early evening. The most likely places for thunderstorms to affect the airport are for ABE and RDG. The rest of the TAF sites are expected to have showers this evening with little or no thunder. Generally VFR conditions are expected, although temporary locally lower conditions are possible with heaviest showers. Winds are mostly from the southwest 5-10 knots, with gusts 15-20 knots this afternoon. Winds gusts will diminish by sunset, then winds will be 5- 10 knots or less for the remainder of the evening.

This evening-Overnight . There will remain a chance of showers through much of the night, but showers will end from southwest to northeast through the night. Generally VFR conditions are expected, although temporary locally lower conditions are possible with heaviest showers. Winds will southwest 5-10 knots early, then become light and variable overnight, before shifting to the northwest behind a cold front.

Monday . Mostly VFR conditions are expected through the day. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms, but the chance is too small to include in the TAFS. Winds will start off northwest 5-10 knots, but may shift to the west during the day.

Outlook .

Monday night . Lingering showers taper off, otherwise, VFR. NW winds less than 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday . VFR. NW winds less than 10 kt. High confidence.

Wednesday . VFR. Shifting winds becoming SE less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Moderate confidence.

Thursday through Friday . Mainly VFR. Scattered SHRA/TSRA with locally sub-VFR conditions, especially Friday. S winds 10-15 kt during the day and less than 10 kt at night. Moderate confidence.

MARINE. Tonight-Monday . Conditions expected to remain below advisory levels through the period, although winds could gust around 20 knots at times. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms for tonight into Monday which could lead to locally higher winds and waves.

Outlook .

Monday night . Seas on the ocean may touch 5 feet in the evening, but will subside through the overnight. Showers and thunderstorms taper off in the evening. Winds become NW around 10 kt.

Tuesday through Thursday . Sub-SCA conditions expected with seas 2-4 feet. Chances for thunderstorms increase late Thursday.

Rip Currents . A moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is forecast through Monday. Breezy southerly winds will combine with a medium-period southeasterly swell. Surf heights will generally be 2 to 4 feet.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Robertson Near Term . Robertson Short Term . Robertson Long Term . MPS Aviation . MPS/Robertson Marine . MPS/Robertson Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 5 mi75 min WSW 8.9 G 15 87°F 80°F1005.9 hPa
BDSP1 9 mi51 min 86°F 1006.8 hPa (-0.0)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 12 mi51 min WSW 8.9 G 11 86°F 79°F1006.9 hPa (-0.0)
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 13 mi51 min 91°F 82°F1006.1 hPa (-0.0)
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 30 mi51 min 85°F 82°F1006.3 hPa (-0.4)
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 42 mi81 min SSE 9.9 86°F 1008 hPa66°F
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 47 mi51 min SW 2.9 G 7 84°F 78°F1006.7 hPa (-0.3)
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 47 mi51 min 84°F 84°F1006.3 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Philadelphia, Northeast Philadelphia Airport, PA6 mi57 minSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds86°F62°F45%1006.7 hPa
Mount Holly, South Jersey Regional Airport, NJ7 mi57 minno data10.00 miFair86°F63°F46%1006.3 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ18 mi1.9 hrsWSW 1210.00 miA Few Clouds88°F62°F43%1006.3 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ18 mi58 minSW 610.00 miFair86°F63°F46%1005.4 hPa
Philadelphia - Wings Field Airport, PA19 mi56 minSW 810.00 miFair86°F61°F45%1007.1 hPa
Philadelphia, Philadelphia International Airport, PA20 mi57 minWSW 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F61°F39%1006.6 hPa
Doylestown, Doylestown Airport, PA23 mi57 minSW 610.00 miFair87°F60°F40%1005.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNE

Wind History from PNE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW4SW7W12SW10SW9SW8SW7SW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4SW5S5SW6S7S7SW7SW8
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2 days agoSE9SE8SE6SE7E6E5NE5NE7NE7NE7NE9NE8NE9NE14NE12NE10NE13
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NE9NE9NE8N9N6

Tide / Current Tables for Bridgeboro, Rancocas Creek, New Jersey
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Bridgeboro
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     1.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:04 AM EDT     6.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:56 PM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:44 PM EDT     6.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.52.61.81.21.32.54.15.15.86.25.94.93.72.61.71.10.71.42.94.35.25.96.15.5

Tide / Current Tables for Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current
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Philadelphia
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:44 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:28 AM EDT     1.28 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:58 AM EDT     -1.60 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 12:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:18 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:33 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:39 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.3-1-0.60.31.21.20.80.5-0.1-1-1.5-1.6-1.5-1.2-0.9-0.30.71.10.90.70.4-0.4-1.1-1.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.