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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Alexandria, OH

July 17, 2025 3:22 PM EDT (19:22 UTC)
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Sunrise 6:15 AM   Sunset 8:59 PM
Moonrise 11:39 PM   Moonset 12:40 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
LEZ144 Expires:202507172015;;596739 Fzus51 Kcle 171252 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 852 am edt Thu jul 17 2025
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-172015- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 852 am edt Thu jul 17 2025

.low water advisory in effect until 2 pm edt this afternoon - .

.small craft advisory in effect until 2 pm edt this afternoon - .

Today - Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Friday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.

Friday night - East winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday.
the water temperature off toledo is 81 degrees, off cleveland 75 degrees, and off erie 79 degrees.
LEZ100
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alexandria, OH
   
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Area Discussion for Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 171831 AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 231 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

SYNOPSIS
Stalled frontal boundary draped across the upper Ohio Valley will result in episodic shower and thunderstorm activity today and through the weekend. While storms may be strong to severe at times, the repeated rounds of efficient rainfall will increase the potential for flooding, especially as we progress into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Coverage in showers and thunderstorms beginning to increase this afternoon with the help of diurnal heating. Cold frontal boundary is currently draped around the I-71 corridor, with majority of convection expected SE of this interstate. Moderate MLCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg have developed, but overall shear values remain marginal at best. This will result in mainly single cell or mult-cell clusters today, with damaging straight-line winds being the primary severe threat. However, DCAPE values appear to remain capped at ~700-900 J/kg, so the downburst environment isn't overly impressive.
Thus, severe storm potential will be limited, but a handful of storms may still produce localized gusts of 40-50 mph.

The primary concern with these storms will shift to flash flood potential. Synoptic/mesoscale environment remains conducive to flooding through this period, along with the next couple of days given the quasi-statoinary front, humid air mass, anomalous PWATs of 1.75"-2.00" and the signal for repeated rounds of thunderstorms.
Locations that receive multiple rounds of storms will have their soils primed to shorten the amount of rainfall needed to cause flash flooding. Best flooding potential for this period will be through the late evening hours, although this threat still remains fairly isolated today.

A bit of a lull in convective activity is expected during the middle of the night, but there is a signal in CAMs to show a complex of storms developing near the Tristate region early Friday morning.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Complex of storms expected near/south of the OH River Friday morning as the cold front sinks southward. Eventually, this boundary will stall near or just south of the river and remain there for majority of the daytime hours. This will result in a relative minimum in convective activity for our CWA However, keep in mind that isolated showers/storms may still develop during the daytime hours, but coverage should be lower. Daytime highs trend a couple degrees cooler in the lower to middle 80s.

The quasi-stationary boundary will begin to shift back northward as a warm front Friday night. This will bring renewed chances for shower and thunderstorm activity, especially near the Ohio River. Severe storms are not expected Friday night, but we will have to keep an eye on any training storms or efficient rainfall over hard hit areas.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Extended period starts with pretty good ensemble agreement of high convective precip potential and PWs at 2.0+ Sigma anomalies/above the 99th percentile across much of the area, creating a more focused flood threat through the weekend. Where the uncertainties lie are where any MCS activity sets up/tracks, as this would affect latter convective system initiation and further prime ground conditions for additional rounds of convection.

While Saturday begins with overall zonal flow, ridging across the southern plains sets the region up for NW flow and, combining with the high PWATs, sets up a ridge rider pattern with the potential for bouts of repeated heavy rain. Still fairly modest confidence in where this sets up. While potential for localized flooding and some areas of flash flooding exists area-wide, current thinking is the greatest risk will be especially across IN/Southern Ohio/Northern KY Saturday and Sunday.

While Monday could bring a relative lull in convective activity with the convective focus further south of the Ohio River, still potential for at least scattered showers and storms especially across the southern forecast area.

Beyond Monday, increasing convergence on a ridge building solution with 590+ H5 heights pushing into the forecast area, which could increase heat indices toward 100 in the Tue/Wed timeframe.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Thunderstorms will develop during the day. Vsbys will be reduced at times with the thunderstorms. Additional thunderstorms will be possible near the end of TAF period. MVFR cigs will be possible at times, especially at the end of the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are likely through Monday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ073-074-077>082-088.
KY...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for INZ075-080.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KVTA NEWARKHEATH,OH 12 sm28 minWSW 1010 smPartly Cloudy84°F72°F66%29.98
KCMH JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTL,OH 14 sm31 minWNW 0810 smMostly Cloudy84°F70°F62%29.99
KOSU OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY,OH 22 sm29 minWNW 10G2110 smMostly Cloudy84°F70°F62%30.00
KLHQ FAIRFIELD COUNTY,OH 24 sm29 minW 0910 smPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%30.00

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Wilmington, OH,





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