Marine Forecasts

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alexandria, OH

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KILN 091828 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 128 PM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will lift into southern Ontario, providing rain into the evening hours. A strong cold front will bring sharply colder temperatures on Tuesday as the low exits to the northeast. Wednesday and Thursday will be cold and dry before temperatures begin to rebound late in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Rain shield has developed some holes this morning as the initial shot of lift moves off the to northeast. Expect the rain to increase in coverage again for the afternoon hours as an area of H5 pva swings east up the Ohio River Valley, so kept PoPs near 100 percent.

Temperatures will warm into 50s, ranging from the lower 50s in the north to the upper 50s in nrn KY.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Monday night into Tuesday, a strong cold front will push southeast, ending precipitation across much of the area as drier air works in aloft from the northwest and upper support exits to the east. However, model consensus shows increasing confidence that the front will slow across central Kentucky as a wave develops along it. This provides impetus for a precipitation shield to potentially touch our far southeastern counties (Scioto and Lewis), where light snow may develop on the cold side of the boundary. Added up to an inch of wet snow there, though admittedly the uncertainty is high as to the exact cutoff of the precipitation.

Temperatures will fall starting late Monday evening, then continue falling through the day on Tuesday. Skies will likely remain cloudy through the period under strong CAA conditions.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Any lingering light snow across our extreme southeast should taper off through Tuesday evening. With surface high pressure building in from the west, we should see an overall decreasing cloud trend through Tuesday night. The surface high will continue to build east into the Great Lakes region Wednesday into Wednesday night, with the axis of coldest air aloft shifting east across our area. This will help keep highs on Wednesday generally in the low to mid 30s. With the high centered just off to our northeast by Thursday morning, will undercut temps a bit for Wednesday night and go with lows in the teens. Thursday will also be dry and continued seasonably cool as the high shifts slowly off to the east. Highs on Thursday will be in the mid to upper 30s.

Quasi-zonal flow aloft mid week will become somewhat more amplified heading into the weekend as a series of mid level short waves move east out of the Plains. This will lead to a developing surface low over the eastern US, but the models continue to struggle with timing and placement of this. Nonetheless, in developing southerly lower level flow across the region on Friday, we should see some moisture advection up into our area. With still some uncertainty though, will just allow for some chance pops to spread across the region, mainly from Friday night into Saturday. Temperatures will moderate some through the end of the week, with highs Friday through Sunday mostly in the 40s.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Tafs remain in the warm sector ahead of an approaching cold front. Ceilings across the region are a combination of MVFR/IFR and should remain that way into the evening. On and off rain will continue to affect the tafs.

Low level jet that has been the cause of LLWS, is beginning to shift to the northeast. Held on to mention of LLWS at CVG/LUK until 20Z . and CMH/LCK through 00Z.

Cold front is forecast to push through the tafs between 03-06Z. This will push the backedge of the rain through the tafs. Winds will turn to the west with fropa. Ceilings will come up a little, but are forecast to remain MVFR as low level moisture lingers behind the front.

The eastern edge of high pressure will begin to nose into the region Tuesday morning. Winds will be from the west to northwest. The backedge of the MVFR ceilings look like it wont reach the western tafs until around 18Z.

OUTLOOK . MVFR ceilings and visibilities possible Friday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. KY . None. IN . None.

SYNOPSIS . Hogue/Sites NEAR TERM . Sites SHORT TERM . Hogue LONG TERM . JGL AVIATION . Sites

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH	88 mi	65 min	SSW 5.1	52°F			1000 hPa	48°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH	89 mi	50 min	SSW 12 G 18	52°F			998.6 hPa (-4.8)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH	99 mi	50 min	SSW 6 G 15	51°F	38°F		999.4 hPa (-4.4)	48°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

Last 24hr

S9 G14

S6 G15

S11 G17

S7 G14

S10 G15

S10 G16

S9 G14

S9 G21

S6 G16

S8 G15

S8 G12

S5 G11

S5 G9

SE4 G8

S5 G10

S6 G11

S5 G11

S7 G11

S4 G10

S5 G10

S6 G15

SE6 G13

SE9 G14

S10 G17

1 day ago

SW4 G7

S4 G7

SW4

NE5

E5

E5

E4

SE3 G6

SE2

SE3

SE5

SE6

SE5

SE6 G10

SE4 G8

SE4 G7

SE4 G10

SE6 G10

SE5 G10

SE5 G10

S4 G8

S6 G11

S9 G16

S6 G16

2 days ago

NW18

NW15 G19

NW15

NW17

NW12

NW11

NW12 G15

NW17

NW15

NW13

NW12

NW12 G15

NW11 G14

NW11 G15

NW11

NW9

N4 G8

NE5

N4 G7

N3

N3

W1

NE2

S5

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark Heath Airport, OH	12 mi	56 min	SSW 10 G 18	5.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	53°F	48°F	86%	1002.7 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH	14 mi	59 min	S 10	3.00 mi	Heavy Rain Fog/Mist	51°F	48°F	92%	1002.9 hPa
Knox County Airfield, OH	17 mi	68 min	S 8 G 14	4.00 mi	Rain	48°F	48°F	100%	1003 hPa
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH	22 mi	57 min	S 11	4.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	52°F	48°F	89%	1002.1 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH	24 mi	55 min	S 13	5.00 mi	Rain	50°F	49°F	97%	1002.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVTA

Wind History from VTA (wind in knots)

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

Last 24hr

S9

S7

S7

S4

S4

S6

S5

S5

S5

S5

S6

S5

S4

S5

S7

S7

S7

S8

S7

S8

S12 G17

S8

S9

S10 G18

1 day ago

4

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NW3

Calm

S8

S7

S11

S10

2 days ago

NW10

N11

NW6

N7

N9

N5

N5

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NW3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

S4

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

---

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (13,3,4,5)

      (on/off)   Help

---

Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH

   (on/off)   Help

---

Cookie Policy: This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser. Privacy Policy: I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway. Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.