Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shark River Hills, NJ
November 2, 2024 12:51 AM EDT (04:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:26 AM Sunset 5:53 PM Moonrise 8:39 AM Moonset 6:12 PM |
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1002 Pm Edt Fri Nov 1 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm edt this evening - .
Overnight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and nw 2 ft at 3 seconds.
Sat - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 2 ft at 6 seconds.
Sat night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 foot at 5 seconds.
Sun - N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 foot at 6 seconds.
Sun night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 1 foot at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 11 seconds.
Mon - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 1 foot at 11 seconds.
Mon night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
ANZ400 1002 Pm Edt Fri Nov 1 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure builds in tonight and holds influence over the region into Monday. A warm front lifts north of area during the Monday to Tuesday time frame. Thereafter, a cold front from the west slowly approaches. This cold front looks to cross through during the Wednesday to Thursday time frame.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Shark River Hills Click for Map Fri -- 02:03 AM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide Fri -- 07:26 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 07:34 AM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT 5.07 feet High Tide Fri -- 08:48 AM EDT New Moon Fri -- 02:38 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT Moonset Fri -- 05:52 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT 4.30 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Shark River Hills, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
1.2 |
1 am |
0.5 |
2 am |
0.2 |
3 am |
0.5 |
4 am |
1.5 |
5 am |
2.7 |
6 am |
3.8 |
7 am |
4.7 |
8 am |
5.1 |
9 am |
4.8 |
10 am |
4 |
11 am |
2.9 |
12 pm |
1.8 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
0.2 |
4 pm |
0.8 |
5 pm |
1.9 |
6 pm |
2.9 |
7 pm |
3.8 |
8 pm |
4.3 |
9 pm |
4.2 |
10 pm |
3.6 |
11 pm |
2.7 |
Manasquan Inlet Click for Map Fri -- 01:48 AM EDT 0.20 feet Low Tide Fri -- 07:26 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 07:34 AM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 08:08 AM EDT 4.62 feet High Tide Fri -- 08:48 AM EDT New Moon Fri -- 02:23 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT Moonset Fri -- 05:52 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT 3.92 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Manasquan Inlet, USCG Station, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
0.4 |
2 am |
0.2 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
1.5 |
5 am |
2.6 |
6 am |
3.5 |
7 am |
4.3 |
8 am |
4.6 |
9 am |
4.4 |
10 am |
3.6 |
11 am |
2.6 |
12 pm |
1.5 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.2 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
1.9 |
6 pm |
2.8 |
7 pm |
3.5 |
8 pm |
3.9 |
9 pm |
3.8 |
10 pm |
3.2 |
11 pm |
2.3 |
Area Discussion for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 020127 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 927 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds in tonight and holds influence over the region into Monday. A warm front lifts north of area during the Monday to Tuesday time frame. Thereafter, a cold front from the west slowly approaches. This cold front looks to cross through during the Wednesday to Thursday time frame.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
925 PM...There is a low stratus deck making its way southward through portions of upstate NY into northern PA and this is likely to make it into the Poconos within the next few hours.
This isn't really being handled well explicitly by the forecast models but soundings indicate this so we beefed up cloud cover in the grids for tonight over the southern Poconos with the mid evening update. Otherwise, expect mainly clear skies farther south for the rest of our forecast area. Lows will be much closer to normal for early November, dropping into the upper 30s for the N/W areas and 40s elsewhere. Winds will be West to Northwest at 5 to 10 mph much of the night.
On Saturday, with zonal flow aloft and surface high pressure in control, a sunny day is expected. High temperatures will scale back close to normal with maxs reaching the upper 50s/low 60s most spots. Winds will be lighter than Friday with North winds mostly 8 to 12 mph during the day.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
High pressure gradually shifts east and settles overhead through the weekend. This high will usher in a cooler and drier airmass yielding fair and seasonable weather through the period.
As a result, mostly clear skies are expected on Saturday Night with only an increase in clouds for Sunday night as some shortwave energy passes by to our north and west. Regardless, another dry weekend is in store.
In the temperature department, seasonable temperatures shall be expected for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will mostly range in the mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday with lows in the 30s/40s on Saturday Night. Relatively light winds are expected throughout the weekend.
Turning the page into next week, the weather pattern seemingly will be comparable to much of October. Overall, high pressure will generally prevail through Monday Night as an upper level ridge begins to build over the eastern CONUS. A warm front will lift north of the Mid-Atlantic on Monday allowing southerly return flow to set-up across the region. Guidance has backed off on showers in the northern reaches of our CWA, with a completely dry forecast expected as showers should stay further north. Otherwise, mild with highs in the 60s on Monday and lows in the 40s/low 50s on Monday Night.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
The long term forecast is looking fairly uncertain. An upper- level ridge looks to be centered over or just offshore of the southeastern CONUS Monday night with a trough centered well to its west. With time, the ridge shifts eastward as a zonal pattern takes hold for the northeastern CONUS. Meanwhile, a classic Rex Block develops for the western CONUS. Overall, a messy upper-level pattern evolution looks to be in play for the term. Lots of areas of weakness will likely be present around main features (i.e, troughs and ridges); ensembles and deterministic models continue to struggle.
Given the upper-level pattern, confidence on timing and what exactly happens at the surface-level during the term is low.
Surface high pressure offshore of the northeastern CONUS Monday night looks to shift further offshore with time as a cold front from the west approaches. This cold front looks to slow down with time while undergoing frontolysis. The cold front could cross through during the Wednesday into Thursday time frame, but with ongoing frontolysis, will likely not bring anything needed in terms of precipitation. At best, a very light rain or set of sprinkles may be observed before the front completely drys out at this point. The dry pattern looks to continue overall for the long term.
Mainly slight chance to chance PoPs for the region Wednesday through Thursday night with the anticipated slow cold frontal approach and slow eventual passage; would not be surprised to see PoPs decrease during next forecast updates given the pattern though. Temperatures look to run well above average before the cold frontal passage, as significant warm air advection will likely occur. Some record- breaking warmth for locations looks to be possible Tuesday/Wednesday.
AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Tonight
VFR. Mostly clear skies. Gusty W/NW winds early this evening diminishing to around 5 knots overnight. High confid.
Saturday
VFR. Sunny skies. North to Northwest winds increasing to around 10 to 12 knots by mid-morning. A few gusts around 20 kts possible. High confid.
Outlook...
Saturday night through Wednesday...VFR. No significant weather expected.
MARINE
We still have an SCA in effect for our northern ocean zones until 11 PM where we could see some wind gusts up to 25 knots.
Overnight through Saturday all areas should then be sub SCA. Fair tonight and Saturday.
Outlook...
Saturday Night through Monday night...No marine headlines expected.
Tuesday...SCA conditions possible on the Atlantic coastal waters as wind gusts approach 25 kt and seas build to around 5 feet.
FIRE WEATHER
For the rest of the weekend, minimum relative humidity values are forecast to remain near 25-35% across the board, although winds will be lighter near 5-10 mph. Thus, we do not expect any significant fire spread danger over the weekend. That said, burning restrictions may still be in place, so check with your state and local fire authorities.
CLIMATE
Precipitation records:
SITE OCT 2024 RECORD RECORD DRIEST PRECIP DRIEST OCT CALENDAR MONTH 55N (AC Marina) 0.03 0.01/2000 0.01/Oct 2000 and Sep 1941 ABE (Allentown) 0.02 0.15/1963 0.09/May 1964 ACY (AC Airport) 0.02 0.06/2000 0.06/Oct 2000 GED (Georgetown) Trace 0.09/1963 0.01/Nov 2012 ILG (Wilmington) Trace 0.05/1924 0.05/Oct 1924 MPO (Mt. Pocono) 0.18 0.23/1963 0.20/Sep 1941 PHL (Philadelphia) Trace 0.09/1924 0.09/Oct 1924 RDG (Reading) 0.03 0.04/1924 0.04/Oct 1924 TTN (Trenton) Trace 0.05/1963 0.05/Oct 1963
A record stretch without measurable precipitation in progress in Philadelphia, beating the old stretch of 29 days from 1874.
The current length is 33 days, up to and including Thursday October 31. Other stations which may break their all-time non- measurable precipitation records include:
Georgetown, Delaware: Currently at 34 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from October and November 2001. This record has been tied. Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM Saturday morning (November 2).
Wilmington, Delaware: Currently at 33 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from January and February 1909. Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight)
Saturday morning (November 2). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM Sunday morning (November 3).
Trenton, New Jersey: Currently at 33 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 38 days from April and May 1903.
Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight) next Wednesday morning (November 6). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM next Thursday morning (November 7).
Atlantic City International Airport, New Jersey: Currently at 29 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from August and September 1995. Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight) next Wednesday morning (November 6). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM next Thursday morning (November 7).
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ450>452.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 927 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds in tonight and holds influence over the region into Monday. A warm front lifts north of area during the Monday to Tuesday time frame. Thereafter, a cold front from the west slowly approaches. This cold front looks to cross through during the Wednesday to Thursday time frame.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
925 PM...There is a low stratus deck making its way southward through portions of upstate NY into northern PA and this is likely to make it into the Poconos within the next few hours.
This isn't really being handled well explicitly by the forecast models but soundings indicate this so we beefed up cloud cover in the grids for tonight over the southern Poconos with the mid evening update. Otherwise, expect mainly clear skies farther south for the rest of our forecast area. Lows will be much closer to normal for early November, dropping into the upper 30s for the N/W areas and 40s elsewhere. Winds will be West to Northwest at 5 to 10 mph much of the night.
On Saturday, with zonal flow aloft and surface high pressure in control, a sunny day is expected. High temperatures will scale back close to normal with maxs reaching the upper 50s/low 60s most spots. Winds will be lighter than Friday with North winds mostly 8 to 12 mph during the day.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
High pressure gradually shifts east and settles overhead through the weekend. This high will usher in a cooler and drier airmass yielding fair and seasonable weather through the period.
As a result, mostly clear skies are expected on Saturday Night with only an increase in clouds for Sunday night as some shortwave energy passes by to our north and west. Regardless, another dry weekend is in store.
In the temperature department, seasonable temperatures shall be expected for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will mostly range in the mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday with lows in the 30s/40s on Saturday Night. Relatively light winds are expected throughout the weekend.
Turning the page into next week, the weather pattern seemingly will be comparable to much of October. Overall, high pressure will generally prevail through Monday Night as an upper level ridge begins to build over the eastern CONUS. A warm front will lift north of the Mid-Atlantic on Monday allowing southerly return flow to set-up across the region. Guidance has backed off on showers in the northern reaches of our CWA, with a completely dry forecast expected as showers should stay further north. Otherwise, mild with highs in the 60s on Monday and lows in the 40s/low 50s on Monday Night.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
The long term forecast is looking fairly uncertain. An upper- level ridge looks to be centered over or just offshore of the southeastern CONUS Monday night with a trough centered well to its west. With time, the ridge shifts eastward as a zonal pattern takes hold for the northeastern CONUS. Meanwhile, a classic Rex Block develops for the western CONUS. Overall, a messy upper-level pattern evolution looks to be in play for the term. Lots of areas of weakness will likely be present around main features (i.e, troughs and ridges); ensembles and deterministic models continue to struggle.
Given the upper-level pattern, confidence on timing and what exactly happens at the surface-level during the term is low.
Surface high pressure offshore of the northeastern CONUS Monday night looks to shift further offshore with time as a cold front from the west approaches. This cold front looks to slow down with time while undergoing frontolysis. The cold front could cross through during the Wednesday into Thursday time frame, but with ongoing frontolysis, will likely not bring anything needed in terms of precipitation. At best, a very light rain or set of sprinkles may be observed before the front completely drys out at this point. The dry pattern looks to continue overall for the long term.
Mainly slight chance to chance PoPs for the region Wednesday through Thursday night with the anticipated slow cold frontal approach and slow eventual passage; would not be surprised to see PoPs decrease during next forecast updates given the pattern though. Temperatures look to run well above average before the cold frontal passage, as significant warm air advection will likely occur. Some record- breaking warmth for locations looks to be possible Tuesday/Wednesday.
AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Tonight
VFR. Mostly clear skies. Gusty W/NW winds early this evening diminishing to around 5 knots overnight. High confid.
Saturday
VFR. Sunny skies. North to Northwest winds increasing to around 10 to 12 knots by mid-morning. A few gusts around 20 kts possible. High confid.
Outlook...
Saturday night through Wednesday...VFR. No significant weather expected.
MARINE
We still have an SCA in effect for our northern ocean zones until 11 PM where we could see some wind gusts up to 25 knots.
Overnight through Saturday all areas should then be sub SCA. Fair tonight and Saturday.
Outlook...
Saturday Night through Monday night...No marine headlines expected.
Tuesday...SCA conditions possible on the Atlantic coastal waters as wind gusts approach 25 kt and seas build to around 5 feet.
FIRE WEATHER
For the rest of the weekend, minimum relative humidity values are forecast to remain near 25-35% across the board, although winds will be lighter near 5-10 mph. Thus, we do not expect any significant fire spread danger over the weekend. That said, burning restrictions may still be in place, so check with your state and local fire authorities.
CLIMATE
Precipitation records:
SITE OCT 2024 RECORD RECORD DRIEST PRECIP DRIEST OCT CALENDAR MONTH 55N (AC Marina) 0.03 0.01/2000 0.01/Oct 2000 and Sep 1941 ABE (Allentown) 0.02 0.15/1963 0.09/May 1964 ACY (AC Airport) 0.02 0.06/2000 0.06/Oct 2000 GED (Georgetown) Trace 0.09/1963 0.01/Nov 2012 ILG (Wilmington) Trace 0.05/1924 0.05/Oct 1924 MPO (Mt. Pocono) 0.18 0.23/1963 0.20/Sep 1941 PHL (Philadelphia) Trace 0.09/1924 0.09/Oct 1924 RDG (Reading) 0.03 0.04/1924 0.04/Oct 1924 TTN (Trenton) Trace 0.05/1963 0.05/Oct 1963
A record stretch without measurable precipitation in progress in Philadelphia, beating the old stretch of 29 days from 1874.
The current length is 33 days, up to and including Thursday October 31. Other stations which may break their all-time non- measurable precipitation records include:
Georgetown, Delaware: Currently at 34 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from October and November 2001. This record has been tied. Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM Saturday morning (November 2).
Wilmington, Delaware: Currently at 33 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from January and February 1909. Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight)
Saturday morning (November 2). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM Sunday morning (November 3).
Trenton, New Jersey: Currently at 33 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 38 days from April and May 1903.
Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight) next Wednesday morning (November 6). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM next Thursday morning (November 7).
Atlantic City International Airport, New Jersey: Currently at 29 days up to and including Thursday October 31. Record is 34 days from August and September 1995. Record will be tied if we reach 1 AM (climate midnight) next Wednesday morning (November 6). Record will be broken if we reach 1 AM next Thursday morning (November 7).
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ450>452.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 19 mi | 52 min | NW 13G | 60°F | 61°F | 30.17 | ||
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 22 mi | 42 min | NNW 18G | 62°F | 62°F | 30.16 | 46°F | |
44091 | 32 mi | 56 min | 63°F | 3 ft | ||||
MHRN6 | 32 mi | 52 min | NW 12G | |||||
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 32 mi | 52 min | N 12G | 60°F | 30.14 | |||
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 35 mi | 52 min | 59°F | 61°F | 30.10 | |||
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 38 mi | 52 min | NNW 5.1G | 59°F | 58°F | 30.19 | ||
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 45 mi | 76 min | NW 4.1G | 60°F | 58°F | 30.15 | ||
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 45 mi | 52 min | NNW 14G | 59°F | 61°F | 30.15 | ||
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 46 mi | 42 min | NNE 14G | 61°F | 30.14 | 50°F |
Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBLM
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBLM
Wind History Graph: BLM
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of north east
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Philadelphia, PA,
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