Loch Arbour, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Loch Arbour, NJ

April 12, 2024 4:42 PM EDT (20:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:19 AM   Sunset 7:33 PM
Moonrise 8:37 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Edt Fri Apr 12 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .

.gale warning in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon - .

Tonight - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. S swell 3 to 4 ft at 4 seconds.

Sat - W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. S swell 2 to 4 ft at 4 seconds.

Sat night - W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. S swell 2 to 3 ft at 3 seconds.

Sun - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Sun night - SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SE swell 2 to 4 ft at 4 seconds. A chance of showers.

Mon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SE swell 2 to 5 ft at 6 seconds.

Mon night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.

Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon and evening, then becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.

ANZ400 402 Pm Edt Fri Apr 12 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - A secondary cold front will cross the region tonight as an area of low pressure will continue to move into eastern canada tonight through Saturday. SEveral weak surface troughs will move across the area mid atlantic region into Saturday. High pressure will build across the southeast states over the weekend, before an area of low pressure moves out of the great lakes region and into the northeast states Sunday into Sunday night, bringing a cold front to the mid atlantic region. High pressure briefly builds across the region Tuesday, before a series of frontal boundaries and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through Friday of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Loch Arbour, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 121930 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 330 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
A secondary cold front will cross the region tonight as an area of low pressure will continue to move into eastern Canada tonight through Saturday. Several weak surface troughs will move across the area Mid Atlantic region into Saturday. High pressure will build across the southeast states over the weekend, before an area of low pressure moves out of the Great Lakes region and into the northeast states Sunday into Sunday night, bringing a cold front to the Mid Atlantic region. High pressure briefly builds across the region Tuesday, before a series of frontal boundaries and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through Friday of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Latest analysis shows the surface low is now near the border of southern Ontario and southern Quebec, with the main surface cold front now off to our east. A secondary cold front lies in wait to our northwest, and this boundary crosses the region tonight accompanied by another shortwave rounding the bottom side of the closed low in southern Canada. Thus, while precip coverage has diminished presently, some spotty showers may refire over the next few hours, with more widespread showers particularly from I-95 north and west and especially across the Poconos later tonight into early Saturday. Temps likely even cool enough for a change to snow in the higher elevations of the Poconos, but little if any accumulation is expected. As high pressure starts to build in and the upper low pushes off the northeast Saturday into Saturday night, precip will dwindle and then clouds will gradually break. Winds will remain elevated through Saturday evening, with relatively high gusts of 25-35 mph this afternoon, a bit of a drop off this evening ahead of the secondary front, then gusts increasing again behind the front and with increased mixing on Saturday. We may be close to wind advisories across much of the area, with currently forecast gusts around 40 mph being just shy of criteria (46 mph/40 kts).
For now, will punt that decision to future shifts as confidence is low. As high pressure builds to our south Saturday night and the gradient relaxes, should see winds drop off below 10 mph overnight with clearing skies. Temps will be near 60 rest of today, dropping into the 40s tonight and rising only into the 50s on Saturday before dropping into the 40s again Saturday night. The Poconos will be about 10 degrees colder than these numbers, however.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Sunday will begin dry as slight surface ridging moves offshore, before a warm front clips the area later in the day, followed by a cold front overnight. Precipitation chances increase later in the day and into the night Sunday. Guidance is indicating some instability across the area later in the day and into the night, so there will be a chance for a few thunderstorms. There is a fair amount of shear due to a belt of 50-60 knot 700-500 mb winds, so if there are any thunderstorms, so locally strong winds could develop, mainly over northeast Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey. Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish during the night.

The cold front will push to our south by Monday, before weak high pressure approaches from the northwest overnight. Dry weather is expected to be in place for the start of the work week into Monday night.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
On Tuesday, the weak high pressure will briefly build across the Mid Atlantic region, keeping dry weather through the day.
However, this will only be temporary as shower chances will increase overnight as a warm front approaches from the south.

The warm front will likely linger across the forecast area through the day Wednesday and into Wednesday, keeping elevated chances for showers, and even a few thunderstorms. A cold front is forecast to move across the area Thursday into Thursday evening, keeping chances of showers in the forecast through Thursday night. Yet another cold front could bring another round of showers during the day Friday into Friday evening.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Rest of today...Generally VFR but a stray shower may briefly reduce cigs/vsby to MVFR, most likely NW of I-95 terminals.
Winds mainly west 15-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...Mainly VFR to start but dropping to MVFR overnight with passing front and some showers about. Worst conditions likely KRDG, best KACY. Will lose the gusts for the most part overnight with sustained remaining 10-15 kts, though gusts may kick back up upon frontal passage overnight. Moderate confidence.

Saturday...MVFR to start with a few lingering showers about, then gradually improving to VFR. Again, worst conditions KRDG and best KACY. Winds W to NW 15-25 kts with gusts to 35 kts, possibly 40 kts. Moderate confidence.

Saturday night...VFR. Winds W to NW 10-20 kts early diminishing to 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Outlook...

Sunday...VFR conditions expected most of the day, before Sub- VFR conditions possibly develop for northern areas late in the day as showers/possible thunderstorms approach the area.
Southwest winds 10- 20 knots, with gusts 20-30 knots. Moderate confidence.

Sunday night...Sub-VFR conditions could develop across the area as showers/possible thunderstorms move across the area. Winds become west and northwest 5-10 knots overnight behind a cold front. Moderate confidence.

Monday-Monday night...VFR conditions expected. Northwest winds 5-10 knots with gusts 15-20 knots during the day.

Tuesday-Tuesday night...VFR conditions exected. Northwest winds 5-10 knots early, become variable during the day, then south to southeast during the evening and overnight. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...Sub-VFR conditions likely with showers. Southeast winds 5-10 knots. Low confidence.

MARINE
Small Craft Advisory conditions presently with westerly winds gusting up to 30 kts and waves of 6 to 10 feet. Seas diminish overnight to 4 to 8 ft with winds diminishing a bit in the evening before increasing behind a secondary cold front late tonight. Gales then expected to redevelop across most waters on Saturday behind said front with W to NW gusts up to 35 kts for a fair chunk of the day. Winds wind down back to SCA levels by Saturday evening and then sub-SCA overnight, with waves dropping to 2-4 ft by late night as well.

Outlook...

Sunday-Sunday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions expected.

Monday-Tuesday night...Conditions expected to fall below and remain below advisory levels into early next week.

Wednesday...Conditions may return close to advisory levels on Wednesday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Tides have come down for the most part across the area, and for a large majority of the region, the coastal flood threat has ended.

The locales where coastal flooding remains a problem are within northern Barnegat Bay in Ocean County and Little Assawoman Bay in Sussex County, DE. Extended the Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM for these locations as some minor tidal flooding is possible within the back bays as water struggles to drain.
Further tidal flooding is NOT expected oceanside.

Guidance has come down at Burlington along the tidal Delaware River and the crest this morning underperformed slightly, still going into moderate, but not threatening major. As a result, have held off on issuing a Coastal Flood Advisory for lower Bucks/Burlington as only spotty minor flooding is currently forecast.

Monitor the latest total water level forecasts for future updates.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ020- 026.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for DEZ003- 004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ430-431- 450>454.
Gale Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ430-431- 450>454.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ455.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi55 min WSW 22G27 60°F 52°F29.44
MHRN6 30 mi55 min SW 19G26
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 30 mi55 min WSW 22G35 61°F 29.40
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 33 mi55 min 58°F 49°F29.36
44091 34 mi47 min 48°F9 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi55 min WSW 13G23 62°F 57°F29.45
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 42 mi55 min SW 18G26 59°F 50°F29.40
44022 - Execution Rocks 47 mi43 min SW 19 57°F 29.3649°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi67 min W 17G22 62°F 55°F29.43


Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ 8 sm46 minSW 17G2310 smOvercast63°F45°F52%29.45
Link to 5 minute data for KBLM


Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
   
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Belmar
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Fri -- 04:49 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:02 AM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:46 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:17 PM EDT     5.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
4.7
1
am
3.4
2
am
2.1
3
am
0.8
4
am
-0
5
am
-0.3
6
am
0.2
7
am
1.2
8
am
2.4
9
am
3.4
10
am
4.2
11
am
4.5
12
pm
4.2
1
pm
3.3
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
1.7
8
pm
2.9
9
pm
4
10
pm
4.8
11
pm
5.2



Tide / Current for Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey
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Gooseneck Point
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Fri -- 01:17 AM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:15 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:55 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
2.9
1
am
3.2
2
am
3.1
3
am
2.7
4
am
2.1
5
am
1.3
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.1
8
am
-0.2
9
am
-0
10
am
0.5
11
am
1.3
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.4
2
pm
2.6
3
pm
2.4
4
pm
1.9
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
1.6




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Philadelphia, PA,



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