Timber Hills, PA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Timber Hills, PA

June 20, 2024 3:05 AM EDT (07:05 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:34 AM   Sunset 8:40 PM
Moonrise 6:53 PM   Moonset 2:56 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 134 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Overnight - S winds 5 kt. Waves flat.

Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves flat.

Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms through the night.

Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 228 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Synopsis - Fresh to strong east winds and building seas will result in hazardous boating conditions through at least Friday morning. As weak low pressure approaches the local atlantic waters, marine conditions deteriorate further into this morning. This disturbance currently has a 30% chance of tropical development before it arrives late tonight. Rain and lightning storm chances continue each day into the weekend, as waves of moisture push westward across the local waters.

Gulf stream hazards - East winds around 20 knots. Seas up to 8 to 9 feet, especially north of sebastian inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, june 19th.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Timber Hills, PA
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Area Discussion for - State College, PA
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FXUS61 KCTP 200601 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 201 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
The center of a subtropical upper level high over Pennsylvania will sink southward over the next few days. A weak cold front will approach and stall out over the region Friday and Saturday.
A more significant cold front is likely to push through Sunday night or early Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
A strong thunderstorm remains possible this evening along a weak northwestward drifting surface trough over parts of Warren, Mckean and Elk counties where the 03Z SPC mesoanalysis shows CAPEs near 2000J/kg and Downdraft CAPEs around 1000J/kg. Lack of large scale forcing should cause convection to dwindle as the boundary layer cools/stabilizes after midnight.

It will be another muggy night under a subtropical ridge parked over the Mid Atlantic. See no reason to deviate from NBM min temps, which are in the 65-70F range. Patchy fog is likely late tonight in any spots across the NW Mtns that received rain this evening. Upstream satellite imagery indicates skies will average mostly clear overnight.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
The upper level high that was located from Eastern PA to the Southern New England Coast today will shift slowly southward Thursday to a position just south of PA. The slight height falls associated with this shift will result in a better chance for ring of fire convection Thursday over the northern tier, closest to a weak cold front sagging south through upstate NY.

Progged wind shear remains weak in general across Central PA Thursday. However, slightly higher mid level flow to the north could support a few strong to severe PM tstorms near the NY border, where HRRR UHEL values near 75 indicate the potential of organized multicells/clusters. From I-80 southward, mid level capping will likely suppress any convection.

Ensemble mean 850mb temps remain very similar to today, supporting highs ranging from the upper 80s over the higher terrain of the Alleghenies and between 90-95F in the valleys further east. Moderate humidity with dewpoints in the mid 60s should translate to max heat indices in the 90s.

Lack of strong large scale forcing should result in convection over the N Mtns dying after sunset. Latest NAMNest and SREF prob charts indicate patchy late night valley fog is likely across the N Mtn, especially where any rain falls.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Medium range guidance indicates PA will remain under a low amplitude upper level ridge through the upcoming weekend with a strong surface high parked near Bermuda, resulting in a continuation of the heat and humidity. Ring of fire convection looks likely Friday and Saturday, especially along the northern tier of the state, closest a stalled front near the PA/NY border. Model 0-6km shear remains weak Friday, but a slight increase in mid level flow could result in a better chance of organized severe wx over Northern PA Saturday PM.

Current 2m and 850mb temps plumes indicate some of the hottest weather of this heat wave will occur between Friday and Sunday, so may need to extend the heat advisory, which currently only lasts through Saturday. Mean EPS 850 temps peak near 22C across Southern PA late in the weekend, supportive of max temps near 100F across the Lower Susq Valley.

Most locations should see a round of showers/tsra Sunday PM into Monday AM associated with the passage of the shortwave trough and attendant cold front. Behind this feature, expect a return to fair and more seasonable conditions early next week. A surge of warmer weather currently looks likely midweek ahead of an upstream cold front, which could also be accompanied by our next round of showers/tsra.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The few showers that were still ongoing across the northwest have dissipated and all of Central PA will remain dry for the rest of the night. MVFR visibilities have developed at BFD and will likely continue through around 12Z. Visibilities will improve to VFR quickly after sunrise.

Thursday will feature predominantly VFR conds once again.
Similar to today, there could be a few late-day SHRA/TSRA across mainly northern PA. At this point, it looks like BFD will be most likely to see showers and storms.

Outlook...

Fri-Sun...Predominantly VFR, with continued heat and iso aftn/eve SHRA/TSRA. Density altitude concerns possible.

Mon...Predominantly VFR, with brief reductions possible in scattered SHRA/TSRA as a cold front crosses the area.

CLIMATE
A period of warmer than average temperatures is expected across much of central Pennsylvania through the end of the week, with record high temperatures at multiple cities being challenged every day through Saturday.

Two records were either set or tied for sites on Tuesday: * A record high temperature of 92 degrees was set at Altoona on Tuesday Jun 18, which tied the old record of 92 degrees set back in 1994.
* A record high temperature of 90 degrees was set at Bradford on Tuesday Jun 18. This broke the e old record of 87 degrees set back in 1993.

One record was set on Wednesday: * A record high temperature of 88 degrees was set at Bradford on Wednesday Jun 19, breaking the old record of 87 degrees set in 1987.

The record high temperatures for some sites across central PA that could be challenged are outlined below:

Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun 21

Harrisburg 98/1994 98/1931 98/1923 Williamsport 96/1929 101/1923 97/1933 State College 94/1931 94/1953 94/1988

Highest Max Temperatures for Central Pennsylvania Observing sites for June (date of occurrence is in parentheses:

State College 96 in 1952 (26th) and 1933 (29th)
Harrisburg 100 in 1966 (27th), 1952 (26th), and 1934 (29th)
Williamsport 104 in 1925 (5th)
Altoona 97 in 1971 (28th) and 1953 (21st)
Bradford 93 in 2022 (22nd)

Longest run of consecutive days with max temp >=90 in June:

State College 6 (24-29th 1966)
Harrisburg 10* (19-28th 1943)
Williamsport 9 (18-26th 1923)
Altoona 8 (13-20th 1994)
Bradford 0 (has not occurred since POR started at site in 1957)

*Harrisburg had a run of 11 days with temperatures greater than 90 degrees that started on 26th and ended on July 6th in 1901.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for PAZ004>006-010>012- 017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Chesapeake City, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLNS LANCASTER,PA 14 sm12 mincalm10 smClear70°F64°F83%30.32
KMDT HARRISBURG INTL,PA 14 sm9 minESE 0310 smMostly Cloudy72°F63°F73%30.31
KCXY CAPITAL CITY,PA 18 sm9 mincalm10 smClear72°F61°F69%30.32
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Wind History graph: MUI
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Tide / Current for Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland
   
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Port Deposit
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Thu -- 03:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:57 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:15 AM EDT     3.77 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:50 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:20 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.2
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.7
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.8
6
am
1.3
7
am
2.1
8
am
2.9
9
am
3.5
10
am
3.8
11
am
3.7
12
pm
3.5
1
pm
3.1
2
pm
2.7
3
pm
2.2
4
pm
1.7
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
1.8


Tide / Current for Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland
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Havre de Grace
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Thu -- 03:01 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:10 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:49 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM EDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.2
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.7
5
am
1
6
am
1.6
7
am
2.1
8
am
2.5
9
am
2.7
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.3
12
pm
2
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.7


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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Philadelphia, PA,




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