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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sunbury, OH

June 25, 2024 11:41 AM EDT (15:41 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:02 AM   Sunset 9:07 PM
Moonrise 11:15 PM   Moonset 8:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:202406250230;;595213 Fzus51 Kcle 241946 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 346 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-250230- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 346 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 76 degrees, off cleveland 68 degrees, and off erie 73 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunbury, OH
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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270 FXUS61 KILN 251435 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1035 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
An unsettled pattern, with several chances for showers and storms, will persist through Wednesday before drier conditions briefly return for Thursday and Friday. However, rain and storm chances return once again on Saturday, with drier conditions favored for Sunday into early next week. Near to above normal temperatures are expected for the foreseeable future.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
MCS pushing south across northern Indiana and northern Ohio this morning has shown some signs of weakening over the last couple of hours along at least its eastern edge. This is due in part to an outflow boundary pushing out ahead of the convection as well as the fact that it is moving into a relatively stable airmass. We do expect this weakening trend to continue over the next few hours as it progress south into northern portions of our area.

A lot of uncertainty then remains for how things will progress as we head through this afternoon and into this evening. Better instability is forecast to advect eastward into our area through this afternoon but this will be complicated by the potential for some debris cloudiness overspreading our area from the north from the morning MCS. Meanwhile, the remnant outflow boundary will also be pushing south into our area through the afternoon hours. This will likely lead to a decent temperature gradient with highs ranging from the mid 80s north to the low to possibly mid 90s across our far south.

The 12Z CAMs are fairly sparse with redevelopment later this afternoon and into this evening. However, there is some concern that this may be underdone with the remnant boundary pushing south into the destabilizing airmass. Think the best chance for redevelopment would be for areas along and west of I-75/south of I-70 where the potential will exist for some better instability later this afternoon/evening, as the 12Z NSSL WRF may be suggesting. If storms do redevelop later this afternoon/evening, high dcapes in excess of 1000 J/KG would lead to mainly a damaging wind threat. Locally heavy rainfall would also be possible given the high PWs.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
The fcst for this evening through Wednesday following the expectation for daytime convection becomes even muddier, unfortunately. It seems plausible, given the latest data, that there will be a several hour lull in pcpn locally following the afternoon/early evening storms. This lull should stretch past midnight into the middle of the night before additional loosely- organized activity moves back in from the W by/after 06z-09z.
The storms tonight are likely to be much more disorganized and not pose such a potential for strong/severe activity. However, any of this activity will bring with it the potential for some lightning and very heavy downpours/localized ponding of water.

Coverage of SHRA/TSRA should be on the increase toward daybreak and beyond, but there are quite a few uncertainties in how things will unfold on Wednesday in terms of a hazardous-weather perspective.

There is likely to be better forcing moving E through the region Wednesday morning through the daytime, potentially too much so. In fact, in an uncapped environment, the focus for any organized storms appears rather nebulous (except along the SE- moving front very late in the day), potentially leading to a somewhat "grungy" environment characterized by poor LL (and midlevel) lapse rates. This would suggest that storms/updrafts may struggle to become particularly intense, with much more in the way of widespread storms, with only a few becoming strong to severe briefly. There will be slightly better LL and deep- layer flow fields to work with Wednesday, but the poor deep- layer lapse rates and slightly less unstable environment cast some doubt onto the coverage of /severe/ storms.

Rainfall through the period will be highly-variable, both in time and space, but would expect that some spots will pick up 1-2 inches between now and Wednesday evening, especially with the anomalously-high PWATs expected region-wide for the daytime Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The frontal boundary will be moving through the CWA at the start of the extended period and any lingering showers/storms will be moving southeast out of the region.

Post frontal air on Thursday indicates high temperatures in the low 80s with dew points in the lower 60s... will feel much drier than previous days. Weak ridging and surface high pressure take over and we`ll have mostly sunny skies with some CAA cu. Overnight lows in the upper 50s/ low 60s as we head into Friday.

Friday we see yet another disturbance on the horizon and return southerly flow helps pump warm, moist air back into the region. Mid and upper level clouds increase and highs reach back into the upper 80s. Precip from this system looks to move into the region sometime Friday into Saturday as the warm associated with this disturbance lifts through the area. This keeps temperatures on the warmer side, with highs in the upper 80s/ low 90s for Friday and Saturday. As of right now, the cold front looks to push through Saturday sometime and given the amount of moisture pumped up/ robust looking nature of the parent low pressure, wouldn`t be surprised to see some stronger storms move through, but time will tell.

Ridging and high pressure move into the region on the backside of this system and Sunday we dry out again. Temperatures cool slightly in the post cold-frontal air and highs reach the mid 80s. The high looks to remain in control for at least another few days, so anticipating dry conditions for the start of the working week.

AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Some mid/high clouds, courtesy of convective debris blowoff upstream, are filtering in from the W, with thickening cloud cover expected through early afternoon.

For the daytime, there continues to be quite a bit of uncertainty in how things will unfold, especially when attempting to focus on one specific location through time. More specifically, there remain some uncertainties in both timing and structural integrity of this axis of SHRA/TSRA which will quickly move into the local area by early afternoon, especially as the environment will be increasingly unfavorable for maintenance of stronger/severe storms with further E/SE extent.
That being said, do think there will be a broken linear feature that eventually migrates to the S through the local area mid/late afternoon (17z-23z), bringing with it some SHRA/TSRA and some gusty wind potential (as the storms will be outflow dominant). But pinpointing impacts at one location through the daytime will be somewhat challenging. The activity should weaken with SE extent, with the best organization/maintenance/intensity favored for KCVG/KLUK where the better instby will be positioned by late day. Of course, abrupt reductions in both VSBYs and CIGs and wind speed/direction will be favored in the strongest activity.

After 00z, there may be a brief lull that evolves locally before additional clusters/loosely-organized SHRA/TSRA move back into the local area between 06z-12z Wednesday. Light southerly winds will increase to 12-15kts as they go more out of the SW by/past 15z, eventually subsiding toward the end of the period as light (generally 5kts or less) southerly flow resumes.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Wednesday and again on Saturday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KDLZ DELAWARE MUNI JIM MOORE FIELD,OH 12 sm6 minSSW 11G1610 smMostly Cloudy Thunderstorm 77°F59°F54%29.93
KOSU OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY,OH 18 sm7 minSSW 11G2110 smPartly Cloudy Thunderstorm 82°F61°F48%29.94
KCMH JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTL,OH 21 sm50 minSSW 09G1810 smMostly Cloudy81°F61°F51%29.93
KMNN MARION MUNI,OH 24 sm7 minNNW 14G311/2 smMostly Cloudy Thunderstorm Hvy Rain 72°F63°F73%30.02
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Wind History graph: OSU
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Cleveland, OH,




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