Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 9:33 PM   Moonset 6:14 AM

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LEZ144 The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 400 Am Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Today - North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet. Tonight - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Friday - East winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. Friday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday.
the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees, off cleveland 48 degrees, and off erie 49 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KILN 251339 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 939 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring dry weather to the area today. A warming trend will begin by the end of the week, as an upper level ridge moves east of the region, with precipitation chances developing by Friday afternoon. Precipitation chances will continue into Saturday as a warm front pivots north through the area.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Surface high pressure is centered over southern Ontario, with light ENE flow over the middle Ohio Valley. A few patches of stratocumulus have been working their way southwestward through the area, and these should continue to generally erode and dissipate as the morning progresses. This will leave dry and mostly clear conditions through the rest of the day, with high temperatures reaching the upper 50s to mid 60s.

The freeze warning and frost advisory previously in effect have expired.

Previous discussion > Northwest flow aloft with surface high pressure building across the northern Great Lakes into eastern Canada by evening. A band of strato cumulus clouds have developed in the low level northeast flow. IR satellite imagery shows this band of clouds working southwest thru the FA and will only last about 3 hours at any given location.

As skies clear behind the clouds temperatures will drop with freezing temperatures likely across the far northern counties and patchy frost south of this area. Have continued the current frost/freeze headlines.

After these early morning clouds shift southwest and decrease expect mostly sunny sky conditions. Highs will moderate a little but still remain below normal - ranging from the upper 50s north to the mid 60s south of the Ohio River.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
Surface high pressure to continue building off to the east with mid level ridge building into area overnight into Friday. Expect some high level clouds to spill into the area overnight. Lows tonight to range from the upper 30s far north to the lower/middle 40s south. Can not rule out some patchy frost across the far north.

Mid level ridge axis to shift east across the area early Friday with the flow backing late in the day. Isentropic lift to develop Friday afternoon ahead of a warm front with a chance of rain showers developing into the west late in the day. Trends suggest a little later arrival time of rain. High temperatures to range from near 70 northwest to the upper 70s southeast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Surface warm front travels northward through the Ohio Valley Friday night. Scattered showers expected overnight given the isentropic lift in place, but not expecting prolonged periods of rainfall at any particular location. Instability remains pretty meager, so thunder should be pretty limited.

H5 ridge remains intact through the weekend over the eastern CONUS.
Heat and moisture levels increase underneath this ridge with persistent southerly flow, creating a more unstable air mass. While global models don't show much in the way of pcpn, some diurnal showers/storms may be possible. Will have to see how CAMs start resolving PoPs in this air mass. High temperatures in the upper 70s to middle 80s expected over the weekend, along with breezy conditions during the daytime as gusts of 25-35 mph are possible.

Ridge axis continues to nudge eastward at the start of the next work week. A shortwave trough will eject through the region on Tuesday, which will increase chances for showers/storms. A weak cold front moves through with this shortwave feature, but temperatures will quickly rebound back into the middle 70s to around 80 on Wednesday.

AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Surface high pressure centered over the northern Great Lakes to slide east into eastern Canada today.

MVFR clouds have developed in the northeast low level flow overnight and have advected southwest into eastern Indiana and southern Ohio/northern KY. These clouds will continue pushing southwest resulting with all TAF sites improving to VFR early this morning.

Otherwise, expect VFR conditions thru the remainder of the day into tonight with some high level clouds spilling into the area.

Northeast winds at 5 to 10 kts will become easterly today.

OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions possible Friday night into Saturday.
Thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

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