Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for West Homestead, PA
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Homestead , PA

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Area Discussion for Pittsburgh, PA
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FXUS61 KPBZ 051844 AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 144 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Dense Fog Advisory has expired. Temperatures today were adjusted down a little, thinking clearing in the clouds may be hard to come by. A Marginal Risk for severe storms was introduced across the area by SPC early this morning but we have yet to see the clearing necessary to really tap this risk. We will continue to monitor how this afternoon evolves but each successive round of showers and clouds seemingly lowers this threat.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Waves of rain continuing through tonight. Lowering potential for strong storms mainly south of I-70 this afternoon
2) Severe thunderstorms possible Saturday
3) Record or near record highs Saturday
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Our previous quasi-stationary surface front is now being pulled back to the north and east as a warm front as a surface low climbs northward through Indiana. With this low, an area of rain is progressing northward through the region. Rates in this rain have not been overly heavy and most areas got between a quarter and half inch out of this activity this morning. There were a few reports this morning of very isolated minor flooding of low- lying areas and a couple creek-side roads being washed over.
A light southerly flow at the surface paired with around 40 kts of southwesterly flow at 850mb is supplying the area with some decent speed shear (40-50 kts SFC-6 km) and just enough turning in the lowest 1 km to cause some concern for the possibility of strong to severe storms today. Damaging wind gusts remain the most likely threat from any storms today, but the chance of an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The most likely area for storms remains south of I-70, with more limited instability further north keeping the risk lower.
In the warm sector of the advancing low, a couple of lines of showers have formed and marched northeastward. Patches of clearing ahead of these lines have been few and far between. In these pockets, surface temps have risen rapidly in the span of only about an hour and temps are in the low 70s in central WV.
Further north, across our area, there have been fewer breaks and we haven't been able to achieve the heating necessary for severe weather today. With continued showers mucking up and keeping a lid on heating, our severe weather threat may be lowering locally. There still remains a chance we can see a couple of heavier showers or storms but this threat will be highest in areas that can clear or heat and the closest such areas remain well south of us in central WV.
The heaviest QPF axis moves north of PIT this afternoon, with the surface boundary and low. Further north, flash flood guidance values are higher and no significant flood potential is expected.
Rainfall decreases in coverage and intensity tonight as the shortwave and surface low exit to our east. As they do so, the surface boundary sinks back southward as a weak cold front.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A more amplified shortwave trough moves out of the midwest and advances on the region Saturday. At the surface a low will drag an associated cold front across the region, likely in the afternoon or evening hours. This front and an associated pre- frontal trough could supply the focus for thunderstorms, some of which could become severe. 40-50 kts of 0-6km shear is expected across the region ahead of the front combining with around 500 j/kg of MUCAPE. The amount of instability available largely depends on the degrees of clearing and heating we can achieve ahead of these storms. However, a stout southwesterly flow supplying temperatures in the mid 70s and dewpoints into the 60s certainly raises concerns across the area. At this time, damaging wind gusts look to be the primary hazard from these storms but all hazards could be at play. The Storm Prediction Center has included our region in a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms on Saturday.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
Record or near record highs are possible on Saturday. Here are the records for stations around the area for March 7th. Even if record high temperatures are not set, high temperatures on Saturday will be around 30 degrees above normal for this time of year.
Record...... Forecast High KPIT: 76/1983 74 KDUJ: 64/2016 67 KHLG: 74/2009 76 KPHD: 75/2000 74 KZZV: 77/2009,1983 74 KMGW: 79/1995,1983 77
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Scattered showers and a mix of VFR to IFR restrictions are ongoing this afternoon (locally LIFR at FKL/DUJ). While minor improvements should occur through the afternoon, the rain and at least intermittent MVFR/IFR restrictions are expected to linger. Weak instability is forecast to develop mainly south of PIT by this evening, so a few instances of thunder will also be possible at ZZV/HLG/MGW.
Any improvement in restrictions this afternoon will be short- lived, with ceilings/visibilities dropping back to prevailing IFR or LIFR following the departure of rain after 03z. Winds remain light throughout the period.
Outlook...
Periodic rain with restrictions continue Friday and Saturday as low pressure approaches and crosses the region. Thunderstorms will also be possible on Saturday, a few of which could become strong to severe. VFR and quieter weather are expected Sunday and Monday.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 144 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Dense Fog Advisory has expired. Temperatures today were adjusted down a little, thinking clearing in the clouds may be hard to come by. A Marginal Risk for severe storms was introduced across the area by SPC early this morning but we have yet to see the clearing necessary to really tap this risk. We will continue to monitor how this afternoon evolves but each successive round of showers and clouds seemingly lowers this threat.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Waves of rain continuing through tonight. Lowering potential for strong storms mainly south of I-70 this afternoon
2) Severe thunderstorms possible Saturday
3) Record or near record highs Saturday
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Our previous quasi-stationary surface front is now being pulled back to the north and east as a warm front as a surface low climbs northward through Indiana. With this low, an area of rain is progressing northward through the region. Rates in this rain have not been overly heavy and most areas got between a quarter and half inch out of this activity this morning. There were a few reports this morning of very isolated minor flooding of low- lying areas and a couple creek-side roads being washed over.
A light southerly flow at the surface paired with around 40 kts of southwesterly flow at 850mb is supplying the area with some decent speed shear (40-50 kts SFC-6 km) and just enough turning in the lowest 1 km to cause some concern for the possibility of strong to severe storms today. Damaging wind gusts remain the most likely threat from any storms today, but the chance of an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The most likely area for storms remains south of I-70, with more limited instability further north keeping the risk lower.
In the warm sector of the advancing low, a couple of lines of showers have formed and marched northeastward. Patches of clearing ahead of these lines have been few and far between. In these pockets, surface temps have risen rapidly in the span of only about an hour and temps are in the low 70s in central WV.
Further north, across our area, there have been fewer breaks and we haven't been able to achieve the heating necessary for severe weather today. With continued showers mucking up and keeping a lid on heating, our severe weather threat may be lowering locally. There still remains a chance we can see a couple of heavier showers or storms but this threat will be highest in areas that can clear or heat and the closest such areas remain well south of us in central WV.
The heaviest QPF axis moves north of PIT this afternoon, with the surface boundary and low. Further north, flash flood guidance values are higher and no significant flood potential is expected.
Rainfall decreases in coverage and intensity tonight as the shortwave and surface low exit to our east. As they do so, the surface boundary sinks back southward as a weak cold front.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A more amplified shortwave trough moves out of the midwest and advances on the region Saturday. At the surface a low will drag an associated cold front across the region, likely in the afternoon or evening hours. This front and an associated pre- frontal trough could supply the focus for thunderstorms, some of which could become severe. 40-50 kts of 0-6km shear is expected across the region ahead of the front combining with around 500 j/kg of MUCAPE. The amount of instability available largely depends on the degrees of clearing and heating we can achieve ahead of these storms. However, a stout southwesterly flow supplying temperatures in the mid 70s and dewpoints into the 60s certainly raises concerns across the area. At this time, damaging wind gusts look to be the primary hazard from these storms but all hazards could be at play. The Storm Prediction Center has included our region in a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms on Saturday.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
Record or near record highs are possible on Saturday. Here are the records for stations around the area for March 7th. Even if record high temperatures are not set, high temperatures on Saturday will be around 30 degrees above normal for this time of year.
Record...... Forecast High KPIT: 76/1983 74 KDUJ: 64/2016 67 KHLG: 74/2009 76 KPHD: 75/2000 74 KZZV: 77/2009,1983 74 KMGW: 79/1995,1983 77
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Scattered showers and a mix of VFR to IFR restrictions are ongoing this afternoon (locally LIFR at FKL/DUJ). While minor improvements should occur through the afternoon, the rain and at least intermittent MVFR/IFR restrictions are expected to linger. Weak instability is forecast to develop mainly south of PIT by this evening, so a few instances of thunder will also be possible at ZZV/HLG/MGW.
Any improvement in restrictions this afternoon will be short- lived, with ceilings/visibilities dropping back to prevailing IFR or LIFR following the departure of rain after 03z. Winds remain light throughout the period.
Outlook...
Periodic rain with restrictions continue Friday and Saturday as low pressure approaches and crosses the region. Thunderstorms will also be possible on Saturday, a few of which could become strong to severe. VFR and quieter weather are expected Sunday and Monday.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAGC
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KAGC
Wind History Graph: AGC
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic
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