Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Monmouth, NJ
November 28, 2023 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC)
Sunrise 6:55AM Sunset 4:32PM Moonrise 6:18PM Moonset 9:29AM
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 115 Am Est Tue Nov 28 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Overnight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Fri night..W winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Sat..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Overnight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Fri night..W winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Sat..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 115 Am Est Tue Nov 28 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. In the wake of deepening low pressure over eastern canada, high pressure over the northern plains will build toward the east coast through mid week, sliding offshore by Thursday. A quick moving low pressure system will affect the region from late Friday into Friday night, with high pressure building to the north in its wake for the weekend.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. In the wake of deepening low pressure over eastern canada, high pressure over the northern plains will build toward the east coast through mid week, sliding offshore by Thursday. A quick moving low pressure system will affect the region from late Friday into Friday night, with high pressure building to the north in its wake for the weekend.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KOKX 280609 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 109 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
SYNOPSIS
In the wake of deepening low pressure over eastern Canada, high pressure over the northern Plains will build toward the East Coast through mid week, sliding offshore by Thursday. A quick moving low pressure system will affect the region from late Friday into Friday night, with high pressure building to the north in its wake for the weekend. A stronger low pressure system may affect the region early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
Gusty W flow between a strengthening W Quebec low and moderating polar high pressure building to the west will advect in a cold air mass.
Winds will keep low levels well mixed and keep temps from plummeting, but still dropping via cold advection into the upper 20s inland, and to the lower 30s in the NYC metro area and along the coast. Minimum wind chills get down into the 20s. Any lake effect induced snow shower activity should stay to the NW overnight., N & W of the area overnight.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
The coldest air mass of the season thus far should settle over the region thru mid week.
Surface high pressure gradually builds in through the period, centered over the Southeast US by Wednesday. Meanwhile, H5 heights fall to 522 dm, or between 2-3 standard deviations from normal for late November. H7 mb temps are progged -20C and -25C on Tuesday, and with a well mixed BL, should translate to surface temperatures in the 30s for most in the afternoon. Mixing up to near 700 mb on Tuesday will allow for a blustery day as well, only adding to the chill. W-WNW winds sustained 15-25 mph and gusting to 30-35 mph are likely in the metro area and along the coast. Wind chills will remain in the 20s through the day, and fall into the teens overnight into Wednesday. Air temperatures by daybreak Wednesday should range from around 20 inland, to the upper 20s in the metro.
With the cold flow off the relatively warmer Great Lakes, a few lake effect streamers may manage to work into the lower Hudson Valley, and a few flurries can't be entirely ruled out elsewhere. Otherwise, expect another afternoon with a good mix of sun and clouds. Similar conditions expected Wednesday, though winds begin to diminish through the day. Highs on Wed should be near those from Tue despite a developing return flow as a warm front passes well north, with highs ranging from the mid 30s inland to the lower 40s invof NYC.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Split flow regime to start the period, with the region between polar jet running w to e across southern Canada around Hudson Bay low, and a Pacific upper jet running across the southern US into the Mid Atlantic around Bermuda ridging. The region comes under greater influence of the southern stream late week into the weekend as Hudson Bay low gradually weakens.
At the surface, SE US high pressure gradually slides offshore through the late week, with a moderating trend to seasonable temps Thu and Fri. Meanwhile, good model agreement with a Pacific shortwave (sheared out remnant of closed upper low currently approaching the Western US) approaching Friday and crossing Fri night. Quick moving resultant southern low pressure lifting toward the region on Fri and tracking over/near the region Fri night should departing on Sat. Synoptic setup and NBM P-type probabilities consistent with a plain rain event, with progressive movement keeping total rainfall amounts below 1 inch.
Weak cold frontal passage in wake of this low on Saturday with high pressure building into New England through the weekend, bringing dry and seasonable conditions for the weekend.
Meanwhile, deep western US longwave troughing (result of several northern stream shortwaves digging into the W US) gradually slides east into the Central US through the late week/weekend.
This will induce a series of southern lows to developing along the stalled cold front. General agreement in northern and southern stream phasing and development of intense upper low and SSW jet structure into the NE region, but inherent spread in timing, location, intensity details this far out. This manifest in model differences in evolution of a primary intense low pressure/frontal system during the Sunday night thru Tuesday time period, with inherently low predictability in sensible weather details for the local area this far out in time.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
High pressure slowly builds in from the west.
VFR through the TAF period.
West winds 10-15kt through the morning push. Gusts around 20kt for some terminals. Winds increase late this morning into the afternoon closer to 20kt with gusts around 30kt, then diminish overnight.
...NY Metro(KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts at KJFK, KLGA and especially KEWR may be only occasional through the morning push. 30kt+ gusts possible at KEWR this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
Late Tue night: VFR. W winds 10-15kt, G20-25kt.
Wed: VFR. SW wind 10-15kt, G20-25kt.
Thu: VFR. WSW gusts around 20kt possible in the afternoon.
Fri: VFR in the morning, Chance MVFR or lower and rain in the afternoon and evening.
Sat: VFR. NW gusts 15-20 kt possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Gusty west winds are leading to SCA conditions across all waters, with even a few gusts up to 35 kt on the western ocean waters. SCA remains in effect through 4 AM Wed, with possible extension thereafter. Gale Warning for the ocean waters goes into effect after daybreak and runs until 4 AM Wed. Occasional gale force gusts are possible on the eastern Sound as well during this time, though coverage and duration don't warrant a warning for those waters. A favorable westerly fetch should build seas on the central and eastern Sound to at least 5-6 ft as well.
SCA conditions continue through at least Wednesday on the ocean with elevated seas of 4-6 ft and periods of westerly gusts of around 25 kt. Marginal SCA wind gusts likely continue Wed eve, subsiding below late Wed night as the pressure gradient relaxes. Ocean seas will follow suit, but likely take until Thursday morning as SW wind swell falls below 5 ft.
A return to SCA conditions likely Thu night thru Friday on the ocean waters with strengthening SW flow ahead of approaching frontal system. Some 25-kt gusts are possible for the near shore waters.
Winds likely subside below SCA Fri night/Sat AM in wake of system, with ocean seas to follow as S wind swell subsides.
HYDROLOGY
No issues expected through early next week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Astronomical tides remain elevated due to the recent full moon early Monday morning. Water levels should remain below minor benchmarks for the most vulnerable locations along the south shore back bays with the Tuesday morning high tide.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ350-353-355.
Gale Warning from 6 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 109 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
SYNOPSIS
In the wake of deepening low pressure over eastern Canada, high pressure over the northern Plains will build toward the East Coast through mid week, sliding offshore by Thursday. A quick moving low pressure system will affect the region from late Friday into Friday night, with high pressure building to the north in its wake for the weekend. A stronger low pressure system may affect the region early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
Gusty W flow between a strengthening W Quebec low and moderating polar high pressure building to the west will advect in a cold air mass.
Winds will keep low levels well mixed and keep temps from plummeting, but still dropping via cold advection into the upper 20s inland, and to the lower 30s in the NYC metro area and along the coast. Minimum wind chills get down into the 20s. Any lake effect induced snow shower activity should stay to the NW overnight., N & W of the area overnight.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
The coldest air mass of the season thus far should settle over the region thru mid week.
Surface high pressure gradually builds in through the period, centered over the Southeast US by Wednesday. Meanwhile, H5 heights fall to 522 dm, or between 2-3 standard deviations from normal for late November. H7 mb temps are progged -20C and -25C on Tuesday, and with a well mixed BL, should translate to surface temperatures in the 30s for most in the afternoon. Mixing up to near 700 mb on Tuesday will allow for a blustery day as well, only adding to the chill. W-WNW winds sustained 15-25 mph and gusting to 30-35 mph are likely in the metro area and along the coast. Wind chills will remain in the 20s through the day, and fall into the teens overnight into Wednesday. Air temperatures by daybreak Wednesday should range from around 20 inland, to the upper 20s in the metro.
With the cold flow off the relatively warmer Great Lakes, a few lake effect streamers may manage to work into the lower Hudson Valley, and a few flurries can't be entirely ruled out elsewhere. Otherwise, expect another afternoon with a good mix of sun and clouds. Similar conditions expected Wednesday, though winds begin to diminish through the day. Highs on Wed should be near those from Tue despite a developing return flow as a warm front passes well north, with highs ranging from the mid 30s inland to the lower 40s invof NYC.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Split flow regime to start the period, with the region between polar jet running w to e across southern Canada around Hudson Bay low, and a Pacific upper jet running across the southern US into the Mid Atlantic around Bermuda ridging. The region comes under greater influence of the southern stream late week into the weekend as Hudson Bay low gradually weakens.
At the surface, SE US high pressure gradually slides offshore through the late week, with a moderating trend to seasonable temps Thu and Fri. Meanwhile, good model agreement with a Pacific shortwave (sheared out remnant of closed upper low currently approaching the Western US) approaching Friday and crossing Fri night. Quick moving resultant southern low pressure lifting toward the region on Fri and tracking over/near the region Fri night should departing on Sat. Synoptic setup and NBM P-type probabilities consistent with a plain rain event, with progressive movement keeping total rainfall amounts below 1 inch.
Weak cold frontal passage in wake of this low on Saturday with high pressure building into New England through the weekend, bringing dry and seasonable conditions for the weekend.
Meanwhile, deep western US longwave troughing (result of several northern stream shortwaves digging into the W US) gradually slides east into the Central US through the late week/weekend.
This will induce a series of southern lows to developing along the stalled cold front. General agreement in northern and southern stream phasing and development of intense upper low and SSW jet structure into the NE region, but inherent spread in timing, location, intensity details this far out. This manifest in model differences in evolution of a primary intense low pressure/frontal system during the Sunday night thru Tuesday time period, with inherently low predictability in sensible weather details for the local area this far out in time.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
High pressure slowly builds in from the west.
VFR through the TAF period.
West winds 10-15kt through the morning push. Gusts around 20kt for some terminals. Winds increase late this morning into the afternoon closer to 20kt with gusts around 30kt, then diminish overnight.
...NY Metro(KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts at KJFK, KLGA and especially KEWR may be only occasional through the morning push. 30kt+ gusts possible at KEWR this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
Late Tue night: VFR. W winds 10-15kt, G20-25kt.
Wed: VFR. SW wind 10-15kt, G20-25kt.
Thu: VFR. WSW gusts around 20kt possible in the afternoon.
Fri: VFR in the morning, Chance MVFR or lower and rain in the afternoon and evening.
Sat: VFR. NW gusts 15-20 kt possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Gusty west winds are leading to SCA conditions across all waters, with even a few gusts up to 35 kt on the western ocean waters. SCA remains in effect through 4 AM Wed, with possible extension thereafter. Gale Warning for the ocean waters goes into effect after daybreak and runs until 4 AM Wed. Occasional gale force gusts are possible on the eastern Sound as well during this time, though coverage and duration don't warrant a warning for those waters. A favorable westerly fetch should build seas on the central and eastern Sound to at least 5-6 ft as well.
SCA conditions continue through at least Wednesday on the ocean with elevated seas of 4-6 ft and periods of westerly gusts of around 25 kt. Marginal SCA wind gusts likely continue Wed eve, subsiding below late Wed night as the pressure gradient relaxes. Ocean seas will follow suit, but likely take until Thursday morning as SW wind swell falls below 5 ft.
A return to SCA conditions likely Thu night thru Friday on the ocean waters with strengthening SW flow ahead of approaching frontal system. Some 25-kt gusts are possible for the near shore waters.
Winds likely subside below SCA Fri night/Sat AM in wake of system, with ocean seas to follow as S wind swell subsides.
HYDROLOGY
No issues expected through early next week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Astronomical tides remain elevated due to the recent full moon early Monday morning. Water levels should remain below minor benchmarks for the most vulnerable locations along the south shore back bays with the Tuesday morning high tide.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for ANZ350-353-355.
Gale Warning from 6 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 5 mi | 53 min | WNW 19G | 37°F | 47°F | 29.84 | ||
| BGNN6 | 9 mi | 53 min | 36°F | 47°F | 29.81 | |||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 9 mi | 53 min | WNW 16G | 36°F | 29.82 | |||
| MHRN6 | 10 mi | 53 min | W 15G | |||||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 12 mi | 53 min | 36°F | 50°F | 29.76 | |||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 21 mi | 43 min | 23G | 55°F | 29.78 | |||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 24 mi | 53 min | W 14G | 37°F | 50°F | 29.81 | ||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 29 mi | 53 min | W 16 | 38°F | 29.80 | 23°F | ||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 46 mi | 53 min | W 5.1G | 35°F | 44°F | 29.88 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY | 12 sm | 27 min | var 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 19°F | 48% | 29.83 | |
| KLDJ LINDEN,NJ | 12 sm | 8 min | NW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 16°F | 47% | 29.83 | |
| KEWR NEWARK LIBERTY INTL,NJ | 13 sm | 32 min | W 14 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 36°F | 16°F | 44% | 29.82 | |
| KJFK JOHN F KENNEDY INTL,NY | 16 sm | 32 min | WNW 13 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 34°F | 16°F | 47% | 29.82 | |
| KLGA LAGUARDIA,NY | 19 sm | 32 min | W 13G22 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 16°F | 44% | 29.81 | |
| KTEB TETERBORO,NJ | 22 sm | 32 min | WNW 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 16°F | 47% | 29.81 | |
| KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 24 sm | 27 min | SW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 30°F | 19°F | 64% | 29.86 |
Wind History from EWR
(wind in knots)Coney Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:33 AM EST -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:57 AM EST 5.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:28 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 02:25 PM EST -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:28 PM EST 4.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:33 AM EST -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:57 AM EST 5.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:28 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 02:25 PM EST -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:28 PM EST 4.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Coney Island, Brooklyn, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 1.9 |
| 5 am |
| 3.3 |
| 6 am |
| 4.6 |
| 7 am |
| 5.5 |
| 8 am |
| 5.8 |
| 9 am |
| 5.4 |
| 10 am |
| 4.3 |
| 11 am |
| 2.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.6 |
The Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EST -2.05 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:15 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:00 AM EST 2.21 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:29 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 10:14 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:35 PM EST -2.32 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 05:13 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 07:32 PM EST 1.49 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:22 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EST -2.05 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:15 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:00 AM EST 2.21 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:29 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 10:14 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:35 PM EST -2.32 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 05:13 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 07:32 PM EST 1.49 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:22 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.8 |
| 1 am |
| -2 |
| 2 am |
| -1.7 |
| 3 am |
| -1.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.9 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 2 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| -0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| -2.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -2.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -1.9 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.6 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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