Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Long Beach, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 5:44PM Thursday February 27, 2020 8:54 AM EST (13:54 UTC) Moonrise 9:41AMMoonset 10:35PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Today..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Tonight..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Fri..W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ300 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A deepening low pressure system shifts northeast into southeastern canada, pushing a strong cold front through the area this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the waters through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Long Beach, NY
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location: 40.59, -73.66     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 271216 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 716 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A deepening low pressure system moves into southeastern Canada later this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the CWA through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday Night and into the mid- week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Minor updates to current observations as the last area of rainfall pushes through eastern CT. Conditions will dry out from west to east as dry air moves in behind the surface front. The pressure gradient strengthens as the deepening low moves into southeastern Canada and a high pressure develops to the south. This will result in strong westerly winds through much of the day sustained at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible.

With strong CAA in the CWA, temperatures will gradually drop through the day and into this evening. Clearing skies from the encompassing dry airmass will promote mixing of stronger winds aloft down to the surface during the day.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. The longwave trough over the Great Lakes and Northeast will remain in place as the low pressure well to our north occludes and stalls. Strong gusty winds will gradually decrease through the night and into Friday morning. Conditions will continue to remain dry as CAA brings high temperatures back to average to a few degrees below average generally in the middle to upper 30s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Quiet and colder weather through Sunday as high pressure builds across the region. A gusty northwesterly flow combined with temperatures in 30s to near 40 during the day and upper teens to low 20s at night will make conditions feel even colder over the weekend. Temperatures will moderate by Sunday night as high pressure slides east and winds go around to the southwest.

High pressure slides east on Monday, with a slow moving frontal system approaching the region Monday Night and affecting the region into Midweek. This will bring an increasingly moist and mild airmass to the region, but also unsettled weather in the form of periods of rain as waves of low pressure track along the slow moving "cold" front. Potential for a wintry mix across the interior, Monday into Monday Night, otherwise thermal profiles suggest rain for the remainder of the event. Temperatures will moderate from a few degrees above seasonable Monday to potentially well above seasonable by mid week.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front will push east of the area this morning as deep low pressure tracks north of the region.

Any lingering IFR/MVFR conditions will rapidly improve as rain continues to move east. Lower conditions could hold on through 13-14Z at KGON, otherwise VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF period with ceilings lifting to 4-5 kft before scattering.

Winds will rapidly shift to the W behind the front and increase in speed. Where this shift has yet to occur east of the city terminals, a brief period of LLWS is possible through about 13Z. Winds will continue to increase through the morning, with sustained winds 20-25 kt and gusts 30-35 kt by afternoon. A few higher gusts are possible this afternoon, especially at the city and coastal terminals.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: A few gusts above 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KHPN TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KISP TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Friday. VFR. W winds G25-30kt. Saturday. VFR. W/NW winds G20-25kt. Sunday. VFR. NW winds G15-20kt. Monday. VFR expected.

MARINE. A Gale Warning is in effect for all waters today and through early Friday morning as strengthening westerly winds increase to up to 40 kts and waves increase to 7 to 9 feet south of Long Island. Gale conditions may persist into Friday afternoon, particularly on the ocean, as the low continues to pull away from the region.

Winds and seas slowly diminish to below SCA conditions by Friday night and into Saturday for all waters, but marginal SCA ocean seas may linger into Sunday for the ocean waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are anticipated for entire forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Gale Warning until 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ330-335-338-340-345- 350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 15 mi35 min W 25 G 33 42°F 997.6 hPa33°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi61 min NW 25 G 35 41°F 42°F996 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 20 mi61 min 40°F 42°F997.2 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 20 mi61 min W 32 G 40 41°F 43°F997.7 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 21 mi55 min WSW 23 G 37 42°F 32°F36°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi61 min W 29 G 36 41°F 996.4 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 26 mi85 min W 23 G 35 42°F 2 ft37°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 26 mi61 min 40°F 43°F997.3 hPa
MHRN6 27 mi61 min W 19 G 28
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 35 mi65 min 23 G 27 44°F 44°F7 ft996.1 hPa (+3.8)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 48 mi61 min WSW 13 G 23 44°F 41°F992 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY8 mi64 minWSW 29 G 3810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy42°F37°F85%996.7 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY16 mi62 minW 19 G 3210.00 miOvercast and Breezy44°F35°F71%995.4 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY18 mi64 minW 22 G 3710.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy42°F30°F65%995.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY21 mi64 minSW 8 G 2010.00 miOvercast41°F32°F70%995.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJFK

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10E13E10E8E10E11E9E13E12
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1 day agoS5S6S7S5S4SW4SE4SE4SE3CalmCalmNE4NE7NE5NE5NE4N5N4N5CalmN5N5NE5NE3
2 days ago5SW3SW4SW6S7S9S7SE6SE6S5SW4S8S5S8S7S7S8S5S5S6S3S3S6S4

Tide / Current Tables for Long Beach (outer coast), Long Island, New York
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Long Beach (outer coast)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:32 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:32 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:39 AM EST     4.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:44 PM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:43 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:35 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:57 PM EST     4.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.71.60.80.30.20.91.933.84.34.33.92.91.80.80.200.51.52.73.64.14.34

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:06 AM EST     -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:42 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:32 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:25 AM EST     0.94 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:59 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:32 PM EST     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:03 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:43 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:49 PM EST     0.87 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:36 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:06 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.20.10.20.50.90.80.4-0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-00.20.30.70.90.50

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.