Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eustis, NE
July 3, 2024 12:52 AM CDT (05:52 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:08 AM Sunset 9:12 PM Moonrise 2:43 AM Moonset 6:44 PM |
FXUS63 KGID 030534 AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across portions of the Hastings County Warning Area.
- Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday evening, with hail and wind being the main concerns. Areas that have received a few inches of rain over the past few days, may have some issues with flooding.
- Independence Day starts off with chances for showers and storms, with conditions clearing in time for fireworks.
- A pattern change will occur over the weekend and into the start of next week, bringing daily chances of rain to at least a portion of the area.
UPDATE
Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
With clearing skies and the threat for shower and thunderstorm activity diminishing across the area this evening, went ahead an updated weather grids to reduce thunderstorm chances as well as introduce a bit of fog towards morning as with clear skies, elevated dewpoints and light winds, some models are keying in on the potential for fog. Otherwise, no additional changes made to previous forecast.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Surface observations have temperatures ranging from the mid-70s in south central Nebraska and low 80s in north central Kansas. A cold front has moved across much of the area which should help limit the potential for severe weather across much of the area. The best chance for any strong to severe storms would be mainly in our Kansas counties, with hail and wind being the main concerns with any storms that are able to develop. A few additional showers and storms may be possible across other parts of the area this afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rainfall over areas that have already received a few inches of rain over the last few days could result in some localized flooding.
Wednesday, a broad upper trough extending west to east from the PACNW to the Great Lakes will enter the region. A disturbance will move through the area, bringing chances for periodic showers and thunderstorms during the daytime hours across north central Kansas, and additional chances (40-70%) in the evening. A few storms could become strong to severe with hail to the size of quarters and 60 MPH winds being the main concerns. An isolated tornado can't be entirely ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire Hastings County Warning Area in either a Marginal Risk (1 of 5) or a Slight Risk (2 of 5) for severe weather for Wednesday. Additionally, some locations could receive at least an additional half inch to inch or more of precipitation with storms moving through. For areas that have already received a few inches of rain over the past few days, this could cause some flooding concerns. The Weather Prediction Center has placed the eastern and southern portions of our area under a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) for excessive rainfall.
Thursday, the upper trough sags southward over the area.
Temperatures are expected to be pleasant, with highs ranging from the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows in the mid-50s to low 60s. There are some chances for showers and storms through the daytime hours (20-50% morning/10-40% afternoon), with things clearing out west to east by the time fireworks are expected to be set off.
Zonal flow sets up over the area on Friday, with dry conditions expected to continue. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s. Heading into the weekend and the extended forecast, the pattern changes, with daily chances for a few low-end precipitation opportunities.
Highs will be primarily in the 80s each day, with 50s and 60s for lows.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions are currently forecast for this TAF period, though will be keeping a close eye on trends as we get closer to sunrise, a few models show the potential for some patchy fog around the area, as winds the rest of tonight remain light/variable. Winds turn more southerly for the remainder of this period, and occasional gusts near 20 MPH are not out of the question during the afternoon hours. Late in the period, there are uncertainties with precipitation chances, as models still showing some differences with just how much/timing of activity that develops off to our west this afternoon. At this point kept mention as VCTS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across portions of the Hastings County Warning Area.
- Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday evening, with hail and wind being the main concerns. Areas that have received a few inches of rain over the past few days, may have some issues with flooding.
- Independence Day starts off with chances for showers and storms, with conditions clearing in time for fireworks.
- A pattern change will occur over the weekend and into the start of next week, bringing daily chances of rain to at least a portion of the area.
UPDATE
Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
With clearing skies and the threat for shower and thunderstorm activity diminishing across the area this evening, went ahead an updated weather grids to reduce thunderstorm chances as well as introduce a bit of fog towards morning as with clear skies, elevated dewpoints and light winds, some models are keying in on the potential for fog. Otherwise, no additional changes made to previous forecast.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Surface observations have temperatures ranging from the mid-70s in south central Nebraska and low 80s in north central Kansas. A cold front has moved across much of the area which should help limit the potential for severe weather across much of the area. The best chance for any strong to severe storms would be mainly in our Kansas counties, with hail and wind being the main concerns with any storms that are able to develop. A few additional showers and storms may be possible across other parts of the area this afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rainfall over areas that have already received a few inches of rain over the last few days could result in some localized flooding.
Wednesday, a broad upper trough extending west to east from the PACNW to the Great Lakes will enter the region. A disturbance will move through the area, bringing chances for periodic showers and thunderstorms during the daytime hours across north central Kansas, and additional chances (40-70%) in the evening. A few storms could become strong to severe with hail to the size of quarters and 60 MPH winds being the main concerns. An isolated tornado can't be entirely ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire Hastings County Warning Area in either a Marginal Risk (1 of 5) or a Slight Risk (2 of 5) for severe weather for Wednesday. Additionally, some locations could receive at least an additional half inch to inch or more of precipitation with storms moving through. For areas that have already received a few inches of rain over the past few days, this could cause some flooding concerns. The Weather Prediction Center has placed the eastern and southern portions of our area under a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) for excessive rainfall.
Thursday, the upper trough sags southward over the area.
Temperatures are expected to be pleasant, with highs ranging from the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows in the mid-50s to low 60s. There are some chances for showers and storms through the daytime hours (20-50% morning/10-40% afternoon), with things clearing out west to east by the time fireworks are expected to be set off.
Zonal flow sets up over the area on Friday, with dry conditions expected to continue. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s. Heading into the weekend and the extended forecast, the pattern changes, with daily chances for a few low-end precipitation opportunities.
Highs will be primarily in the 80s each day, with 50s and 60s for lows.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions are currently forecast for this TAF period, though will be keeping a close eye on trends as we get closer to sunrise, a few models show the potential for some patchy fog around the area, as winds the rest of tonight remain light/variable. Winds turn more southerly for the remainder of this period, and occasional gusts near 20 MPH are not out of the question during the afternoon hours. Late in the period, there are uncertainties with precipitation chances, as models still showing some differences with just how much/timing of activity that develops off to our west this afternoon. At this point kept mention as VCTS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLXN
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLXN
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLXN
Wind History graph: LXN
(wind in knots)
Grand Island, NE,
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