Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fire Island, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:38PM Sunday August 25, 2019 8:09 PM EDT (00:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:45AMMoonset 3:55PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 735 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Tonight..NE winds around 15 kt. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 735 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure remains north of the region through Tuesday. A cold front approaches Wednesday and passes through the waters Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure returns briefly Friday before another cold front passes through late Friday into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fire Island, NY
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location: 40.61, -73.23     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 260001
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
801 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure across northern new england and extending along
the coast, east of the appalachians, remains across the region
through Monday night before it begins to drift east Tuesday, as
a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front passes
through the region Wednesday night into early Thursday. High
pressure returns briefly Friday before another cold front passes
through late Friday into Saturday. High pressure builds over
the northeast Saturday and Sunday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
A strengthening inversion was allowing for clouds to expand
across our coastal areas on an onshore flow. With the inversion
in place through tonight expect clouds to continue to increase
through tonight. Dry conditions expected tonight with light
rain drizzle remaining just south of the area. With the
increased clouds and mixing tonight, temperatures along the
coast may not fall as low as current forecast lows.

Low temperatures tonight will be in the lower 50s inland and in
the mid 50s to around 60 along the coast.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
Low level moisture will linger into Monday morning as an
easterly flow continues with high pressure remaining north of
the region. This will result in mostly cloudy conditions along
the coast Monday morning with conditions improving by Monday
afternoon.

Temperatures on Monday will be in the mid 70s.

There is a high risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches through Monday evening.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
The extended period Tuesday through Saturday is fairly consistent
with the previous forecast. Ridging from northern new england and
along the mid atlantic seaboard will drift into the western atlantic
early Tuesday as a longwave trough from near alaska digs into the
northern plains and upper midwest. This longwave trough will send a
couple of cold fronts through the region late Wednesday night into
early Thursday and then Friday into Saturday. The strongest front
will be the first one.

The changes with this front, is a quicker passage, and less forcing
along the front as the upper trough is now lifting farther to the
north and retrograding slowly. So, will still have chance
probabilities. With the longwave upper trough weakening Thursday and
Friday and the flow more zonal the next front will be even weaker
than earlier expected, with little moisture. As a result, this front
is now forecast to come through dry.

With the front Wednesday into early Thursday both CAPE and
instability will be limited, so will have showers with only slight
chances of thunder, and mainly across the inland, until later across
the marine areas, right with the frontal passage.

Higher pressure then builds in for the upcoming labor day weekend.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
High pressure will remain over new england through Monday night
before departing to the east on Tuesday.

Forecast challenge is to how far west MVFR ceilings over SE new
england work overnight. For the time, have confined it to some
of the coastal terminals for a period after 06z. The best chance
would be at kgon. Winds do become more northerly overnight
which may keep the lower ceilings to the east of the terminals.

This pattern will keep the area under a ne-e flow during the
time period with backing to the NE tonight and then veering more
to the E as the day progresses on Monday. Outside of a few
gusts into the teens this evening winds will be 10-15 kt at the
coastal terminals and 5-10 kt at the inland terminals.

Outlook for 00z Tuesday through Friday
Mon night-tue Vfr.

Wed MVFR or lower possible in showers and thunderstorms.

Thu MainlyVFR. Morning showers possible.

Fri Vfr.

Marine
Strong and gusty northeast to east winds remain across the
ocean waters, and were a couple of knots higher than forecast.

As a result, ocean seas have increased up to 8 feet across the
outer portions of the forecast zones. Winds and gusts will only
subside a couple of knots overnight, so increased winds, gusts,
and seas through the overnight. Also, updated the SCA that
remains in effect on the ocean waters through Monday night.

Winds should gradually diminish on Monday, but seas will remain
above small craft advisory conditions through Monday night.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the end of the
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will gradually increase tide
levels into mid week. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday evening high tides along the south shore back bays of
queens and nassau counties, with the threat of at least isolated
minor coastal flooding continuing during the evening high tide
cycles through the mid week period.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk through Monday evening for nyz075-080-
081-178-179.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz350-353-355.

Synopsis... Fig met
near term... Fig met
short term... Fig
long term... Fig met
aviation... Dw
marine... Fig met
hydrology... Fig met
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 10 mi39 min NE 18 G 21 69°F 75°F60°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 25 mi79 min ENE 23 G 29 69°F 69°F8 ft1022 hPa (-0.3)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi39 min ENE 19 G 25 68°F 70°F1022.8 hPa61°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 32 mi69 min E 6 G 8.9 71°F 74°F1024.1 hPa (+0.4)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 39 mi75 min E 12 G 14 70°F 74°F1023.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi69 min 73°F 74°F1023.3 hPa (+0.5)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 42 mi69 min E 13 G 18 69°F 76°F1023.4 hPa (+0.4)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 44 mi69 min ENE 14 G 17 72°F 1023 hPa (+0.3)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 49 mi75 min 73°F 76°F1023.2 hPa
MHRN6 49 mi69 min ENE 13 G 16

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY13 mi76 minNE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F57°F66%1023.1 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY15 mi73 minE 910.00 miA Few Clouds68°F57°F70%1023.3 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY24 mi73 minVar 310.00 miFair68°F55°F65%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4CalmE4----E7NE4--NE5NE6--NE9NE13
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1 day agoNW4N4N5--------N7NE7N7N7N7N9N12NE9N12N9NE10
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2 days ago--S6------W4--NW4--N10N7NE5NE9--N8N6N5N6N6NE7N6N7N6N4

Tide / Current Tables for Fire Island Coast Guard Station, Long Island, New York
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Fire Island Coast Guard Station
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:06 AM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:28 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:28 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:38 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.31.61.71.61.410.70.50.30.40.611.51.92.12.11.91.51.10.80.50.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point o' Woods, Long Island, New York
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Point o' Woods
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     0.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:18 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:15 PM EDT     0.76 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.20.30.40.50.60.60.60.50.30.20.20.10.10.20.40.60.70.80.70.70.50.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.