Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Peoria, IL
March 28, 2024 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:45 AM Sunset 7:20 PM Moonrise 11:03 PM Moonset 8:08 AM |
Area Discussion for - Central Illinois, IL
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FXUS63 KILX 290359 AFDILX
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1059 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Several chances for storms are forecast from Friday evening through early next week. Some of these could be severe with the focus being Sunday into Monday.
- Cooler temperatures make a brief return by next Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Precautions may be needed to protect any early season or sensitive vegetation.
UPDATE
Issued at 756 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
This evening, a front is draped roughly along the I-74 corridor while aloft, a shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery digging across northern Illinois into NW Indiana. A few spotty high-based light showers or sprinkles continue in the vicinity of the front, but precip should diminish in coverage overnight as height rises overspread the area in the wake of the departing shortwave. Surface front is expected to sag south some towards the I-72 corridor overnight. Expanded precip mention in the near term but precip should end altogether in the hour or two after midnight. Forecast is otherwise on track.
Deubelbeiss
DISCUSSION
Issued at 258 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Surface analysis early this afternoon shows ridging stretched from the Gulf Coast of Texas northward into the Ohio Valley. Further west, a surface low is spinning up over the northern High Plains states with a stationary front stretched eastward from there through Iowa. Breezy southwest winds are in place between these two features here locally, which has pumped in unseasonably mild conditions. The aforementioned low will work east tonight, approaching the middle Mississippi Valley by Friday evening. The stationary front will migrate into our area going into this evening, which may trigger a few isolated showers or sprinkles mainly north of I-72. Lack of moisture in the low levels may prevent most of this from reaching the ground, but as of shortly after 2 pm a couple of mping reports of rain have come in west of Macomb, IL. Because of this, added sprinkles in this afternoon to cover the activity starting to enter the area. Cloud cover will increase tonight with the frontal boundary draped overhead and the approaching low. Overnight lows will remain above freezing with values in the upper 30s to low 40s.
WAA ahead of the approaching low will lead to even milder temperatures on Friday with most guidance suggesting upper 60s to possibly low 70s for highs. As the upper low approaches from the west, the stationary front will lift northward as a warm front, positioning itself across northern Illinois by evening time. A cold front will approach from the west later Friday night, sparking the development of showers and storms. Elevated instability (although limited) and marginal shear could support a few stronger hail storms across our far northern counties, though this threat should largely remain confined over northern Illinois closer to the warm front.
The cold front will work through most of the area by later on Saturday, but may stall out somewhere over the southern half of the state. Shower and storm activity should halt for a bit aside from near the front, with waves of activity increasing once again Sunday into Monday as a deep upper trough working into the southwest CONUS sends several impulses northward along the front. The cold front will lift back northward as a warm front later Sunday into Monday as a surface low develops in the lee of the Rockies and then works into the central Plains states. Temperatures will stay unseasonably warm through the weekend, with better moisture advecting northward from the Gulf. The threat for severe weather starts to increase by Sunday, though the better threat looks to hold off until Monday where the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a 15%/slight risk for most of the area. The threat each day (esp. Sunday) will be dependent on where the front sets up and will need close watching as we near closer.
A stronger cold front will sweep through the area by Tuesday, bringing temperatures back closer to normal values by midweek. The NBM continues to show near freezing temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday nights, which may threaten any early season or sensitive vegetation. The LREF (ensemble blend of ENS, GEFs, GEPS) shows a 30- 70% chance of temperatures below freezing Tuesday night with slightly lower chances Wednesday night. Temperatures should rebound by the end of next week with the Climate Prediction Center showing a 40-50% chance for above normal temperatures.
NMA
AVIATION
(For the 06z TAFs through 06z Friday Night)
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A frontal boundary is currently near or just south of the I-74 corridor and will sag south slightly overnight. NE winds will be in place north of the boundary with SW winds in place to the south. Near the boundary, winds will be light and variable. The boundary will lift north again Friday with SW/S winds overspreading all the terminals. Winds will become gusty to around 20-25 kt during the afternoon. A low level jet will set up over the region Friday resulting in LLWS with scattered showers developing on the nose of the LLJ over portions of central and northern Illinois.
Deubelbeiss
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1059 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Several chances for storms are forecast from Friday evening through early next week. Some of these could be severe with the focus being Sunday into Monday.
- Cooler temperatures make a brief return by next Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Precautions may be needed to protect any early season or sensitive vegetation.
UPDATE
Issued at 756 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
This evening, a front is draped roughly along the I-74 corridor while aloft, a shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery digging across northern Illinois into NW Indiana. A few spotty high-based light showers or sprinkles continue in the vicinity of the front, but precip should diminish in coverage overnight as height rises overspread the area in the wake of the departing shortwave. Surface front is expected to sag south some towards the I-72 corridor overnight. Expanded precip mention in the near term but precip should end altogether in the hour or two after midnight. Forecast is otherwise on track.
Deubelbeiss
DISCUSSION
Issued at 258 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Surface analysis early this afternoon shows ridging stretched from the Gulf Coast of Texas northward into the Ohio Valley. Further west, a surface low is spinning up over the northern High Plains states with a stationary front stretched eastward from there through Iowa. Breezy southwest winds are in place between these two features here locally, which has pumped in unseasonably mild conditions. The aforementioned low will work east tonight, approaching the middle Mississippi Valley by Friday evening. The stationary front will migrate into our area going into this evening, which may trigger a few isolated showers or sprinkles mainly north of I-72. Lack of moisture in the low levels may prevent most of this from reaching the ground, but as of shortly after 2 pm a couple of mping reports of rain have come in west of Macomb, IL. Because of this, added sprinkles in this afternoon to cover the activity starting to enter the area. Cloud cover will increase tonight with the frontal boundary draped overhead and the approaching low. Overnight lows will remain above freezing with values in the upper 30s to low 40s.
WAA ahead of the approaching low will lead to even milder temperatures on Friday with most guidance suggesting upper 60s to possibly low 70s for highs. As the upper low approaches from the west, the stationary front will lift northward as a warm front, positioning itself across northern Illinois by evening time. A cold front will approach from the west later Friday night, sparking the development of showers and storms. Elevated instability (although limited) and marginal shear could support a few stronger hail storms across our far northern counties, though this threat should largely remain confined over northern Illinois closer to the warm front.
The cold front will work through most of the area by later on Saturday, but may stall out somewhere over the southern half of the state. Shower and storm activity should halt for a bit aside from near the front, with waves of activity increasing once again Sunday into Monday as a deep upper trough working into the southwest CONUS sends several impulses northward along the front. The cold front will lift back northward as a warm front later Sunday into Monday as a surface low develops in the lee of the Rockies and then works into the central Plains states. Temperatures will stay unseasonably warm through the weekend, with better moisture advecting northward from the Gulf. The threat for severe weather starts to increase by Sunday, though the better threat looks to hold off until Monday where the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a 15%/slight risk for most of the area. The threat each day (esp. Sunday) will be dependent on where the front sets up and will need close watching as we near closer.
A stronger cold front will sweep through the area by Tuesday, bringing temperatures back closer to normal values by midweek. The NBM continues to show near freezing temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday nights, which may threaten any early season or sensitive vegetation. The LREF (ensemble blend of ENS, GEFs, GEPS) shows a 30- 70% chance of temperatures below freezing Tuesday night with slightly lower chances Wednesday night. Temperatures should rebound by the end of next week with the Climate Prediction Center showing a 40-50% chance for above normal temperatures.
NMA
AVIATION
(For the 06z TAFs through 06z Friday Night)
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A frontal boundary is currently near or just south of the I-74 corridor and will sag south slightly overnight. NE winds will be in place north of the boundary with SW winds in place to the south. Near the boundary, winds will be light and variable. The boundary will lift north again Friday with SW/S winds overspreading all the terminals. Winds will become gusty to around 20-25 kt during the afternoon. A low level jet will set up over the region Friday resulting in LLWS with scattered showers developing on the nose of the LLJ over portions of central and northern Illinois.
Deubelbeiss
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPIA GENERAL DOWNING PEORIA INTL,IL | 8 sm | 55 min | ENE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 37°F | 76% | 30.04 |
Central Illinois, IL,
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