Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Blue Point, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 5:45PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 9:23 PM EST (02:23 UTC) Moonrise 10:52PMMoonset 9:28AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 550 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.low water advisory in effect until 10 pm est this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt late this evening and early morning.. Waves around 2 ft. Water levels up to 2 ft below mean lower low water around the times of low tide this evening.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 1 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ300 550 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong high pressure to the west will weaken and slide to the south tonight into Wednesday as a warm front passes well to the north. A cold front will approach from the north Wednesday night and pass through early Thursday. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the canadian maritimes and high pressure across southern canada Thursday into Saturday. The high pressure will build over the region early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Blue Point, NY
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location: 40.72, -72.99     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 022330 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 630 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure to the west will weaken and slide to the south tonight into Wednesday as a warm front passes well to the north. A cold front will approach from the north Wednesday night and pass through early Thursday. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure across southern Canada Thursday into Saturday. The high pressure will build over the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. High pressure to the west slides off the Mid Atlantic coast this evening. Winds should turn W to WSW and continue to diminish through the night. After evening low temps in the teens inland/Long Island Pine Barrens and in the 20s elsewhere, temps should become steady or slowly rise overnight. Skies should also become partly cloudy to mostly cloudy over southern CT and possibly eastern Long Island as a warm front passes to the north.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Wed should be a mostly sunny day, and with mixing to mixing to 875mb or so and downslope W winds 10-15 mph it should be a noticeably milder day, with highs around 50 for NYC metro and most of Long Island, and in the mid/upper 40s to the north. Was tempted to go even warmer, but temps in first day of return flow often stay on the medium to low side of the guidance envelope.

A dry cold fropa expected toward morning Thu, with winds shifting NW and low temps from 30-35 NYC metro to 25-30 elsewhere.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A deep closed low aloft over the Canadian Maritimes will slowly retrograde a bit westward on Thursday. This upper low is then likely to meander over the Canadian Maritimes Friday into the weekend carving out mean troughing over the northeastern seaboard through the weekend. Upper ridging will persist across the Rockies into Central Canada late this week before gradually shifting eastward this weekend and early next week. The mean trough axis on the ensembles is too far east for any system to impact the region and the overall synoptic pattern favors dry conditions in the long term. Temperatures will generally average below normal into the weekend. Temperatures then trend towards above normal levels early next week as the mean trough shifts offshore and the upper ridge builds over the eastern states.

A cold front moves further offshore Thursday morning with cold advection taking shape through the day. A breezy NW flow will also occur due to the increasing pressure gradient over the area between building high pressure to our west and the aforementioned low pressure across southeast Canada. The breezy NW flow will continue Thursday night into Friday before gradually diminishing this weekend as the high pressure slowly nears and the pressure gradient relaxes. The high should then build to our south early next week.

The models continue to indicate a southern stream shortwave traversing across the Gulf Coast Friday into the weekend, then interacting with a northern stream shortwave within the mean upper trough. Due to the aforementioned positioning of the mean trough, the low pressure associated with these systems is expected to pass well south and east of the northeast coast. Have removed the slight chance PoPs from the forecast on Sunday.

Temperatures on Thursday will be close to normal in the lower to middle 40s, then middle to upper 30s on Friday. Some slight moderation is possible this weekend with highs in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees. Temps should then warm back into the 40s Monday and possibly into the lower 50s by next Tuesday. Nighttime temperatures will generally be in the 20s through the weekend.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/.

VFR as strong low pressure remains in the Canadian Maritimes through tonight, a warm front passes well north, and high pressure to the west shifts to the south tonight, then weakens on Wednesday.

W-NW gusty winds are gradually diminishing this evening and should stop gusting over the next hour or two as winds become more westerly 10-14 kt. Winds shift to SW late tonight, generally under 10 kt, and become W-NW 10-15 kt Wednesday morning. There may be occasional gusts to near 20 kt by late Wednesday morning.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Timing of the end of gusts may be off +/- an hour or two.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday night through Sunday. VFR. NW winds G20-25 on Thu, and G25-30kt on Friday.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Low water advisory continues for tonight for all but eastern CT/Long Island, as water levels around times of low tide likely bottom out at a little over 2 ft below MLLW.

The gale warning on the eastern waters has been converted to an SCA. Most waters will then see SCA conditions through tonight although there may be a slight weakening overnight before winds ramp back up again early Wednesday morning through the afternoon. Winds on the Western LI Sound and NY Harbor should gradually weaken below SCA levels this evening. There may be occasional gusts up to 25 kt Wednesday morning, but for now have held off on any SCA for this time frame. Ocean seas will remain elevated through Wednesday and some 5-ft seas could linger into Wed night on the outer ocean waters E of Moriches.

SCA conditions are likely on the waters from late day Thursday through Friday night due a tight pressure gradient. The pressure gradient begins to relax by Saturday morning with winds likely to fall below SCA levels on all waters for the upcoming weekend. The strongest winds are likely to occur Thursday night into Friday and ocean wind gusts may reach around 30 kt. Ocean seas will build to around 5 ft Thursday and remain there through Friday before subsiding Friday night.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts through the weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Low Water Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ335-338- 345-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ335- 338. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ330-340- 345-355. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353.

SYNOPSIS . BG/DS NEAR TERM . BG/DS SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . MW MARINE . BG/DS HYDROLOGY . BG/DS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 33 mi186 min WNW 7 G 12 29°F 37°F1019.8 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 34 mi184 min WNW 23 G 29 41°F1020.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 39 mi186 min NW 14 G 19 31°F 36°F1020.6 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 41 mi189 min W 12 G 18 32°F 9°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 42 mi186 min NNW 14 G 17 32°F 1021.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 45 mi174 min W 18 G 21 41°F1021.1 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY8 mi28 minWNW 610.00 miFair29°F5°F36%1018.7 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY10 mi28 minWNW 610.00 miFair30°F4°F33%1018.9 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY21 mi31 minWNW 910.00 miFair28°F3°F34%1019 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY22 mi31 minNW 410.00 miFair30°F2°F30%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KISP

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE9E10E8E7E5--N4CalmCalmW3CalmS5W8W11W11W12
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2 days agoW7W4NW3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N4NE7NE7NE7NE5SE6E11SE10SE11E13--E11E10

Tide / Current Tables for Patchogue, Long Island, New York
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Patchogue
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Tue -- 01:00 AM EST     0.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:46 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:27 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 01:15 PM EST     0.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:44 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:06 PM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.60.40.20-0.1-0.100.30.50.70.80.80.60.50.30.1-0-0.1-00.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Point o' Woods, Long Island, New York
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Point o' Woods
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:05 AM EST     0.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:32 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:28 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 12:20 PM EST     0.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:52 PM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:53 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.60.40.20-0.1-0.100.30.50.70.80.80.60.50.20.1-0.1-0.1-00.20.40.6

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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