Tuesday, September22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bellerose Terrace, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 6:52PM Tuesday September 22, 2020 6:28 AM EDT (10:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:51PMMoonset 10:30PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 428 Am Edt Tue Sep 22 2020
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 428 Am Edt Tue Sep 22 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will remain in control through tonight as hurricane teddy passes well east of the waters. Refer to the national hurricane center for official forecasts concerning teddy. High pressure remains over centered over the mid-atlantic into Thursday before a weak frontal system approaches from the great lakes into Friday. High pressure returns to start the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bellerose Terrace, NY
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location: 40.73, -73.77     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 220823 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 423 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will gradually shift farther southward through today as Hurricane Teddy moves towards Nova Scotia. High pressure will remain to the south of the region and will gradually weaken through Wednesday night before moving offshore Thursday. A weak frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes towards Friday. High pressure returns to start the weekend period as a stronger cold front approaches the region for early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Airmass will transition to a warmer and drier one as high pressure starts sliding farther southward as Hurricane Teddy well out into the Atlantic, moves towards Nova Scotia. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest track and details in regards to Teddy.

With just a few cirrus expected overall today, plentiful sunshine along with gusty NW flow will allow for downslope warming. This will mean the higher temperatures will be at the coast and relatively cooler temperatures will be inland. Highs forecast range from the upper 60s to lower 70s, closer to normal for this time of year.

There is a high risk of rip currents at the Atlantic Ocean beaches today due to high seas and long period swell.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. High pressure will remain south of the region and will slowly weaken. The pressure gradient over the region will likewise weaken with time as Teddy moves farther away, weakens, and becomes post-tropical up into the Canadian Maritimes and Northern Atlantic. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest track and details in regards to Teddy. Gusts are expected to diminish tonight with less magnitude for gusts on Wednesday compared to the previous day and then once again gusts will subside for Wednesday night.

The airmass will continue to transition as flow aloft becomes more NW with eventual ridging as well. Temperatures will be getting warmer with more of a continental as opposed to maritime airmass developing over the region. Lows are forecast to be warm enough tonight, low to upper 40s, to preclude any frost formation. Highs Wednesday are forecast to be in the mid 70s to lower 80s, around 5 to 7 degrees above normal for this time of year. Lows forecast Wednesday night are in the mid 50s to mid 60s, as the airmass continues to moderate.

There is a high risk of rip currents at the Atlantic Ocean beaches on Wednesday due to lingering high seas and long period swell.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The surface high slides east on Thursday as surface winds locally will become more southerly by Thursday afternoon. Temperatures and moisture will be on the increase, as warm advection commences under the southerly flow. Temperatures will continue to feel more climatologically normal for this time of year.

Back to the west an upper trough takes shape over the OH Valley and brings through a weak cold front by Friday. Guidance continues to keep the area basically dry, with the bulk of any precipitation staying south of the area where upper forcing is a bit better. The front clears the coast by Friday afternoon and the upper trough axis swings trough by early Saturday.

Upper ridging then builds in for the weekend with high pressure to the northeast and mainly dry and seasonable conditions, with highs in the mid to upper 70s. A deep upper trough and cold front approach by Monday morning bringing a rain chance by Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Models are differing on the evolution of this system the ECMWF increasing cloud cover and shower chances by Sunday evening with the weak development of surface low south of the area ahead of the main system. The GFS, however is keeping us mainly dry until Monday afternoon with the passage of the front. Given the Days 6-7 timeframe and inherent uncertainty, for now have increased PoPs on both Sunday afternoon and Monday. Temperatures look to remain seasonable, or just above.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure will be in control through the TAF period.

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period and winds will remain in a general N-NE flow but shift to more NW-N on today.

Sustained NW winds increase to around 15 kt late this morning with gusts mainly to 20-30 kt. Highest gusts are expected for eastern terminals. Gusts subside from 00Z-03Z.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Magnitude and duration of gusts may extend a little longer into Tuesday evening especially eastern terminals.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday night. VFR. Wednesday through Saturday. VFR expected.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. The pressure gradient is expected to increase today as Hurricane Teddy passes well east of the ocean waters, allowing for gusts of 25 to 30 kt across the ocean waters as well as Peconic and Gardiner's Bays and the eastern sound. Gusts of around 25 kt may be occasional for the western sound and the back bays for a couple of hours in the late afternoon and early evening hours. Therefore, SCA was issued for Peconic and Gardiner's Bays and the eastern sound, while none was issued for the back bays and the western sound.

Waves will continue to increase across the ocean waters to 7 to 10 ft and 5 to 9 ft for the extreme eastern sound waters by late this afternoon. Waves diminish tonight, with the eastern sound coming below 5 ft by Wednesday morning, while the ocean zones remain above 5 ft all day Wednesday and possibly into early Wednesday night.

Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft levels from Thursday through Saturday night.

FIRE WEATHER. A warmer and drier day is forecast today with min RH values less than 30%, particularly across southern CT. Wind gusts up to 25 to 30 mph are forecast as well. A Special Weather Statement remains for southern CT through early this evening.

HYDROLOGY. The next chance of rain showers is not until the latter half of the weekend and into early next week.

No hydrological concerns are anticipated through next Monday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Astronomical high tides will continue to run high and will combine with long period swells and high seas from distant Hurricane Teddy in the Atlantic. The higher of the tides continues to be during the day time. Tide levels are forecast to remain below benchmarks tonight.

Forecast surge values increase to between 1 and 2 ft but flow will become more westerly, mitigating coastal flood potential. Widespread minor coastal flooding is likely late this morning and this afternoon along the south shore back bays of Nassau and Queens as well as Southern Westchester and Southern Fairfield. Isolated minor coastal flooding is forecast for the rest of the Long Island coast and lower NY Harbor with this afternoon high tide.

Another episode of minor coastal flooding is expected on Wednesday afternoon as long period swells will only slowly subside but just for the South Shore Bays of Queens and Nassau, where tidal drainage will be restricted. Otherwise, the more westerly flow will keep other locations below minor coastal flooding benchmarks.

The high surf advisory remains through 6 am Wednesday. Wave heights of 7 to 12 ft are forecast, highest today. Widespread dune erosion and scattered overwashes expected for the ocean beachfront today through this evening.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EDT this evening for CTZ009. Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for CTZ005>008. NY . Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EDT this evening for NYZ071. Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ067-068. High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. High Surf Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for NYZ080-081-178- 179. Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 4 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ178-179. Coastal Flood Advisory from noon to 4 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ330-340. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.

SYNOPSIS . JM/DBR NEAR TERM . JM SHORT TERM . JM LONG TERM . DBR AVIATION . JP MARINE . JM/DBR FIRE WEATHER . HYDROLOGY . JM/DBR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 6 mi58 min NE 8.9 G 12 53°F 1024.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 11 mi58 min NNW 7.8 G 12 52°F 42°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 13 mi58 min 53°F 69°F1024.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 16 mi58 min N 8 G 9.9 52°F 1024.1 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 19 mi103 min N 9.7 G 16 53°F 43°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 21 mi58 min 53°F 69°F1024.4 hPa
MHRN6 22 mi58 min WNW 2.9 G 4.1
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi58 min N 6 G 8.9 55°F 1024.5 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 25 mi38 min N 14 G 18 68°F7 ft1022.9 hPa
44069 36 mi73 min NNW 7.8 G 9.7 52°F 43°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 44 mi58 min N 2.9 G 5.1 46°F 66°F1023.2 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi38 min N 14 G 19 65°F9 ft1022.4 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY5 mi37 minNNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds50°F39°F68%1024 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY7 mi37 minNW 510.00 miA Few Clouds55°F42°F62%1023.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY11 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair49°F41°F74%1024.1 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ17 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair44°F36°F73%1024.2 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY19 mi35 minN 510.00 miFair50°F41°F71%1023.5 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi37 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds47°F37°F71%1024.4 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY24 mi32 minNNW 810.00 miFair43°F35°F74%1023.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJFK

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN9NE12NE14
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N10NE11NE10NE8NE4NE6NE6E6NE5NE7NE5N6N5NE3NE5
2 days agoN10N13NE17
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NW7N11N10N10N8N5N6N6N7N7N9NE8NE9NE7NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Willets Point, New York
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Willets Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:35 AM EDT     7.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:10 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:54 PM EDT     8.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:15 PM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.546.37.47.475.73.71.70.60.30.51.63.86.27.78.17.86.95.12.91.30.40

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:52 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:17 AM EDT     -0.77 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:32 AM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:43 PM EDT     -0.76 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:32 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:59 PM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.7-0.4-00.20.50.90.90.50.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.20.10.30.71

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.