Tuesday, January21, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Guttenberg, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:00PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 10:30 AM EST (15:30 UTC) Moonrise 5:29AMMoonset 3:07PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 922 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely.
ANZ300 922 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds over the waters through Thursday, then retreats to the north on Friday. Low pressure will likely impact the waters on Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Guttenberg, NJ
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location: 40.78, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 211428 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 928 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. A large high pressure system covering the eastern two thirds of the nation will build over the area through Thursday, then retreat to the north on Friday. Low pressure will impact the region this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Only minor adjustments were made to the forecast today to account for current conditions.

A 1040 high remains centered over the mid Mississippi/Ohio river valleys this morning. The high will continue to build towards the area today with winds diminishing. Temperatures very similar to yesterday, with highs around 30. The NBM was used with local adjustments. Clear to start, but some high clouds currently over the nrn Great Lakes begin to move into the lower Hudson Valley this morning, and then across much of the region by evening.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. Some high clouds at times tonight, otherwise dry and continued cold with lows mainly in the teens and single digits. A blend of the MET/MAV was used. Light winds 5 kt or less overnight. The high builds over the area on Wednesday, with light winds and mostly sunny skies. Some cirrus possible at times. Increasing heights but a lack of deep mixing will keep highs in the 30s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will remain in control resulting in dry weather with moderating temperatures as upper level ridging builds into the northeast. High temperatures on Thursday and Friday will be above normal, reaching the lower to middle 40s.

High pressure will retreat on Friday as a system over the midwest tracks towards the region Friday night. There is good agreement among medium range guidance showing an upper low lifting northeast from the Mississippi Valley with a surface low developing across the Mid Atlantic. Precipitation will overspread the area slowly late Friday night into Saturday morning. While there is good agreement in regards to timing and track of the system, there remains uncertainties regarding precip type especially this far out. The track and timing of the developing surface low will be key in deciding the precipitation type. Quicker development of the surface low would supply colder air at the low levels translating to more wintry precip. Have kept a mainly plain rain event with the possibility of some wintry precip away from Long Island.

The upper low then tracks towards the Mid Atlantic Saturday and over the region on Sunday which could keep clouds and precipitation in the forecast through the day. The upper low will then move east of the area early next week.

Temperatures Saturday through Monday will average slightly above normal.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure builds from the west today and tonight.

VFR. Winds fluctuate between WNW and NNW with speeds around 10 kt or less. Light winds expected tonight and Wednesday morning.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Wednesday through Friday night. VFR. Saturday. MVFR/IFR in developing rain, possibly mixed across the interior. E winds 10-15G15-25 kt.

MARINE. Seas on the ocean were slightly higher than forecast, and will continue to subside in the northerly flow.

With high pressure in control through Thursday, winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria.

Ocean seas will gradually build late Thursday night through Friday as a system passes offshore. Seas continue to build on Saturday as low pressure develops. Winds will also increase to SCA levels by Saturday.

HYDROLOGY. A widespread precipitation event is becoming likely this weekend. Precipitation amounts remain uncertain at this time therefore it is still too early to determine what impacts may occur.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 6 mi42 min 23°F 40°F1032.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi42 min NNW 8.9 G 11 23°F 1031.9 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 11 mi42 min NE 5.1 G 7 23°F 38°F1032.6 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 13 mi42 min 24°F 40°F1032.3 hPa
MHRN6 14 mi42 min N 11 G 13
44022 - Execution Rocks 15 mi30 min NNW 3.9 G 5.8 28°F 32°F12°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi42 min NNW 11 G 14 24°F 37°F1032.4 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 24 mi30 min NNW 7.8 G 12 24°F 11°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi30 min N 7.8 G 12 26°F 1032.4 hPa (+1.5)15°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York City, Central Park, NY0 mi39 minN 010.00 miFair23°F9°F55%1031.6 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi39 minNNW 510.00 miFair24°F10°F55%1031.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ7 mi39 minNNW 710.00 miSmoke26°F12°F55%1031.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ12 mi39 minN 1210.00 miFair27°F10°F49%1032 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY13 mi39 minNNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds26°F10°F53%1032.1 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ18 mi37 minVar 510.00 miFair26°F10°F53%1032.8 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi45 minN 10 G 1810.00 miClear25°F14°F63%1032.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)
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--N4CalmN7NW3Calm--Calm--Calm
1 day agoW6
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2 days ago45--Calm35SE4S54S45SW8
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Tide / Current Tables for East 41st Street, New York City, East River, New York, New York
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East 41st Street
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:26 AM EST     4.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:34 PM EST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:07 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:54 PM EST     3.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.31.32.53.54.24.64.63.92.91.80.7-0.1-0.20.51.42.333.63.83.42.51.60.7

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:21 AM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:27 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:49 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:45 AM EST     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 12:17 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:06 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:48 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:26 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:14 PM EST     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.50.90.80.40.2-0-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.2-0.10.30.810.70.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.