Monday, February24, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Guttenberg, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 5:41PM Monday February 24, 2020 6:37 PM EST (23:37 UTC) Moonrise 8:29AMMoonset 7:42PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 534 Pm Est Mon Feb 24 2020
Tonight..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of light rain after midnight.
Tue..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain in the morning, then light rain likely in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain or very light drizzle. Areas of fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Chance of light rain and drizzle. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers.
Thu..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
ANZ300 534 Pm Est Mon Feb 24 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Offshore high pressure continues to move into the northern atlantic tonight as weakening low pressure and a warm front slowly approach through Tuesday. The warm front remains to the south of the region Tuesday night into Wednesday as another low begins to develop over the ohio valley. Deepening low pressure moves across new england Wednesday night into Thursday. The low will gradually weaken as it remains nearly stationary across southeastern canada Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Guttenberg, NJ
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location: 40.78, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 242238 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 538 PM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. Offshore high pressure continues to move into the northern Atlantic tonight as weakening low pressure and a warm front slowly approach through Tuesday. The warm front remains to the south of the region Tuesday night and Wednesday as another low begins to develop over the Ohio Valley. Deepening low pressure moves across New England Wednesday Night into Thursday. The low will gradually weaken as it remains nearly stationary across Southeastern Canada Friday and Saturday. High pressure builds to East Coast Sunday into Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Forecast on track this evening with increasing clouds. Inland mixing should diminish over the next few hours with dew points expected to rise where they are in the teens and 20s.

Otherwise, current trends continue to delay phasing of the northern stream trough with the southern stream shortwave moving out from the southwestern mountain states. Also, the eastern ridge remains amplified across the western Atlantic. Surface ridging across southeastern Canada will suppress the warm front to the south. Much of the night will be dry with precipitation chances increasing from the south toward Tuesday morning.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. The southern stream low becomes absorbed into the northern trough Tuesday and weakens through Tuesday night. With a weak pressure gradient and high pressure to the north, the warm front will remain to the south through Tuesday night. There will be some frontal forcing and isentropic lift, so chances of precipitation increase through Tuesday, south to north. This forcing moves north and weakens Tuesday night with the warm front somewhere south of Long Island. Low level moisture will remain in place, and winds will be light. So will have periods of light rain and drizzle Tuesday night, with areas of fog. With the warm front to the south have leaned toward the cooler guidance.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. An organizing long wave trough over the Central States will amplify heights across the eastern seaboard on Wednesday. Low pressure will be developing across the Ohio Valley and Middle Atlantic ahead of the trough. Over the northeast, lingering surface ridging and ridging aloft will make it very difficult for any substantial precipitation. A warm front to the south and some weak overrunning may promote some light rain or drizzle. At the present time, do not anticipate this to be widespread. Some areas of fog are also possible. Have lowered high temperatures for Wednesday into the middle and upper 40s.

The main bands of showers with the deepening low pressure will move across Wednesday night. There is still some marginal elevated instability to include mention of thunder. The rain bands should move across quickly and do not anticipate any flooding but there could be some brief moderate to locally heavy downpours. The rain should taper off quickly from west to east early Thursday morning. The warm front may never fully move across the region. It is becoming more likely that a triple point low will move across within the larger deepening low pressure system.

Any lingering showers quickly end Thursday morning with dry conditions as the low lifts across New England. The longwave trough will become a closed upper low over Southeast Canada and northern New England. There is good agreement among the Deterministic and Ensemble models that the upper low will linger through the first half of the weekend and then gradually move offshore Sunday into early next week. Have gone with a dry forecast for late Thursday through the weekend with a persistent NW flow around the low. Specific pieces of energy around the flow could develop some snow showers or flurries at times, but it is too difficult to determine exactly when and where. Gusty W winds are likely on Thursday behind the low, 25-35 mph. Breezy conditions should continue into Saturday as the region remains sandwiched between the low to the north and high pressure to the west. High pressure builds to the east coast Sunday into Monday.

Temperatures start out above normal Wednesday and Thursday and then run below normal Friday into the weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Weak high pressure over the Northeast gradually gives way to a warm front working northward into the Mid Atlantic states on Tuesday. A wave of low pressure along the front will pass well south and east of the area Tuesday afternoon.

This will mainly be a VFR forecast with potential for MVFR/IFR conditions developing Tuesday afternoon in light rain. There has been a trend toward a later onset of lower conditions and its possible that VFR conditions prevail through Wednesday evening.

S winds 10 kt or less, strongest near the coast due to seabreeze enhancement, will gradually veer around to the E/SE late this afternoon into this evening. Winds will diminish this evening and remain light overnight, backing to the E/NE around 5 kt Tuesday morning.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday Afternoon/Night. Chance of MVFR/IFR with light rain. VFR conditions may persist during this time. Wednesday. Chance MVFR/IFR in light rain during the day, then a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the evening. E-SE gusts 15-20 kt at night, mainly along the coast. Thursday. Improving to VFR. W gusts 25-30 kt. Friday. Mainly VFR. Chance Flurries at KSWF. W gusts around 25 kt. Saturday. Mainly VFR. W gusts around 20 kt.

MARINE. A light flow is expected across the forecast waters tonight into Tuesday evening. Late Tuesday night an easterly flow will begin to strengthen. Winds and gusts are expected to remain below SCA levels across all the waters through Tuesday night. Ocean seas will build Tuesday night and may reach minimal SCA levels across the eastern ocean waters toward Wednesday morning.

SCA conditions will be likely on the ocean on Wednesday, mainly in elevated seas. E-SE winds increase late in the day and at night as deepening low pressure approaches. SCA conditions are likely on all waters by Thursday morning. These conditions will continue through the day as the low moves to the north and a W flow increases. Gales are also likely on the ocean and will mention in the HWO. Winds will gradually diminish below SCA levels on the sheltered waters Thursday night, but should continue on the ocean into Friday. Elevated ocean seas will also continue. There is chance for SCA conditions to continue on the ocean on Saturday as winds may remain near 25 kt.

HYDROLOGY. Light rain moves into the southern portion of the region late tonight, with light rain across the region Tuesday. Periods of light rain and drizzle will be possible Tuesday night. Rainfall from late tonight through Tuesday night is expected to be a tenth to two tenths of an inch.

Rainfall of 1/2 to 3/4 inch is possible Wednesday night as low pressure moves across. No hydrologic issues are anticipated at this time.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . DS/MET NEAR TERM . DS/MET SHORT TERM . MET LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . DW MARINE . DS/MET HYDROLOGY . DS/MET EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 6 mi50 min 49°F 42°F1013.8 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi50 min SSE 8 G 9.9 46°F 1013.6 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 11 mi56 min SSW 9.9 G 14 49°F 42°F1014.4 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 13 mi50 min 48°F 42°F1013.7 hPa
MHRN6 14 mi50 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1
44022 - Execution Rocks 15 mi38 min S 7.8 G 12 48°F 32°F33°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi50 min SSE 11 G 14 49°F 41°F1014 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 24 mi38 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 47°F 33°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi38 min S 14 G 16 44°F 1014.4 hPa (-1.5)41°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York City, Central Park, NY0 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair50°F34°F54%1013.6 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi47 minS 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy50°F33°F52%1013.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ7 mi47 minS 610.00 miFair52°F30°F45%1013.3 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ12 mi47 minENE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F37°F64%1013.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY13 mi47 minS 510.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F37°F73%1014.5 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ18 mi45 minS 310.00 miFair55°F26°F33%1014.1 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi53 minSSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F26°F33%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3SW66SW76SW4W6SW4W6W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm335--SE8S5S5Calm
1 day ago5SW7SW6Calm55--W4CalmW64SW3Calm5CalmW444
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2 days agoW6W8--65SW5W7
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Tide / Current Tables for Horns Hook, East 90th Street, East River, New York, New York
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Horns Hook
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:16 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:39 AM EST     4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:42 PM EST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:42 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:01 PM EST     4.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.62.51.40.5-0.10.11.12.33.54.44.94.94.33.21.90.8-0.1-0.30.41.62.83.74.34.5

Tide / Current Tables for Hell Gate (East River), New York Current
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Hell Gate (East River)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:07 AM EST     -4.66 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:30 AM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:32 AM EST     3.59 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:33 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:27 PM EST     -4.70 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:54 PM EST     0.03 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:42 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:50 PM EST     3.49 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:49 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-4.3-4.7-4.5-4-2.61.633.53.53.11.8-2.6-4.1-4.7-4.6-4.2-3.30.52.53.33.53.22.2-1.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.