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Marine Weather and Tides North Arlington, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:05AM

Sunset 7:57PM

Friday August 14, 2020 8:06 AM EDT (12:06 UTC)

Moonrise 1:20AM

Moonset 4:42PM

Illumination 20%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Arlington , NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 140944 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 544 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A frontal boundary remains nearly stationary south of Long Island today into this evening. High pressure then takes control on Saturday and weakens on Sunday as low pressure approaches from the Mid-Atlantic. The low passes to our south on Monday and is followed by a cold front late Monday night into Tuesday morning. High pressure regains control thereafter into the mid-week period.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. The forecast is mainly on track. Morning hourly temperatures and dewpoints were adjusted towards the latest trends.

Chances of showers this morning will reside near a stalled frontal boundary/focus for moisture convergence not too far to our south. Focus then shifts more towards areas west of NYC during the afternoon as an easterly flow provides some upslope convergence. High temperatures near seasonable in the low to mid 80s although there is some uncertainty over some of the coastal areas as clouds may hang around longer than anticipated and cause highs to fall a few degrees short of the forecast.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Drying in the low to mid levels will promote a dry night tonight as high pressure attempts to build in from the north, but is hampered by a wave of low pressure passing by to our south. The combination of these two features will lead to somewhat breezy conditions on Saturday, particularly for coastal areas. This NE-E flow and increasing afternoon clouds will also hold high temperatures into the 70s for some coastal spots. High temperatures otherwise near normal away from the coast. Models hint at a low chance of showers over SE CT and the Twin Forks area, so will include a slight chance of a shower here in the afternoon.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Saturday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Focus shifts towards an approaching shortwave trough exiting the Ohio River Valley. Mid-level moisture returns to southern New York as this system approaches. Winds veer slightly and precipitable water values increase to around 2 inches. Models are indicating possible enhanced isentropic lift along the warm front late Sunday. Total QPF from these showers and possible thunderstorms is hard to pin down as amounts will be highly contingent on the location of the heavy rainfall axis. At the moment models are keeping the heaviest rainfall south of Long Island. However if the system drifts north rain amounts ranging between 1 to 2 inches total across southern New York, northeast New Jersey and southern Connecticut are not out of the questions. This means isolated flash flooding will again be possible late this weekend. Areas not affected by rainfall will see cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s.

The primary longwave trough over the Great Lakes Region pivots through New York early next week. This dynamic lift from this trough may induce additional showers to start the week, but precipitable water values hover around 1.4 to 1.5 inches. Any showers in this environment should be light to moderate. As the trough axis exits New England mid week, locally long range models are depicting some slight surface ridge from a possible 1017 mb high above Pennsylvania. Subsidence should keep rain chances to a minimum but uncertainty still exists whether or not this holds through Thursday. More confidence in high temperatures which should persist in the low 80s through the week.

AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Mostly VFR as easterly flow develops between weak low pressure passing to the south and high pressure starting to build into New England. Can't totally rule out a shower with brief MVFR cond at the NYC metros, possibly KSWF too from late AM into this afternoon.

Light N-NE flow to start will veer more NE-E by late morning, then increase to just under 10 kt at most inland sites, and around or just over 10 kt along the coast. Winds should back more NE and diminish to under 10 kt this evening.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Late tonight. VFR. Saturday. VFR. E winds 10-15G20kt. Saturday night through Monday. MVFR or lower in any showers/tstms. Tuesday and Wednesday. VFR.

MARINE. Increasing E flow should bring SCA conds to the ocean waters from late evening through at least Sat night as low pressure passes to the south and high pressure builds to the north. Wind gusts should peak just over 30 kt E of Fire Island Inlet daytime Sat, while sea peak at 6-8 ft.

Lingering marginal SCA conds likely on Sunday as E flow persists. Sub SCA conds may return Sunday night/Monday but this remains uncertain. Sub SCA conditions with light west winds 5-10 kts otherwise begin Tuesday before shifting south by the middle of the week.

HYDROLOGY. Although there is a chance of showers training as they move along a convergence boundary, overall moisture content is lower today than the past several days, so only a low chance of minor urbanized flooding anticipated today. Otherwise, no hydrologic impacts are expected through Saturday.

Precipitable water values could be around 2 inches Sunday into Monday as a warm front with heavy rain moves slowly over southern New York. QPF values between 1 to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts are not out of the question. Nuisance to minor flooding could be possible in any showers and thunderstorms, primarily in urban and other poor drainage areas.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JC NEAR TERM . JC SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . DJ AVIATION . Goodman MARINE . Goodman HYDROLOGY . JC/DJ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	9 mi	78 min		76°F	77°F		1016.9 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	10 mi	78 min		75°F	78°F		1016.8 hPa
MHRN6	10 mi	78 min	NNE 5.1 G 7
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	10 mi	78 min	ENE 8 G 8.9	76°F			1016.7 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	20 mi	78 min	ENE 4.1 G 5.1	73°F			1017.5 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	23 mi	36 min	NNE 7.8 G 9.7	74°F				71°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	24 mi	78 min	NE 4.1 G 5.1	74°F	79°F		1017.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	38 mi	26 min	NNE 9.7 G 12		75°F		1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ

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Last 24hr

1 day ago

2 days ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	6 mi	75 min	N 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	73°F	71°F	94%	1016.7 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	7 mi	75 min	N 4	10.00 mi	Fair	73°F	69°F	87%	1016.5 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ	9 mi	73 min	Var 3	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	72°F	66°F	84%	1017.8 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	10 mi	75 min	ENE 4	10.00 mi		73°F	68°F	84%	1016.9 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	14 mi	91 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Fair	66°F	64°F	94%	1017.3 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	14 mi	75 min	NE 6	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	75°F	68°F	79%	1016.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	22 mi	75 min	NNE 5	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	74°F	71°F	91%	1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Belleville, Passaic River, New Jersey (2)

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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