Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Remsenburg-Speonk, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 5:50PM Sunday March 7, 2021 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC) Moonrise 3:39AMMoonset 12:48PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 331 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ300 331 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in today, shifts through on Monday, then remains in control while centered offshore through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remsenburg-Speonk, NY
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location: 40.8, -72.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 070829 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 329 AM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in today, shifts through on Monday, then remains in control while centered offshore through Thursday. A cold front approaches from the west Friday and becomes stationary south of the area by Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Surface high pressure slowly builds in today as the flow aloft becomes a little less cyclonic. It'll turn out to be a more sunny day compared to yesterday and slightly warmer. High temperatures will still be 6-8 degrees below normal in most cases with some 40 degree readings in the NYC metropolitan area and mid to upper 30s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Ridging aloft will allow surface high pressure to build in tonight before its ridge axis shifts through the forecast area on Monday. Mainly clear conditions prevail through this time. Although heights and temperatures rise aloft with ridging, resultant subsidence will limit the daytime mixing depth. Still, expecting Monday's high temperatures to be a couple of degrees warmer than today after starting out in the teens and 20s early in the morning.

A warm front approaches and passes through during Monday night. Cannot completely rule out PCPN as some models show enough lift and low-mid level moisture with the front, but in all likelihood it remains dry across the entire area. Clouds will increase, and weak warm advection sets in with a SW flow, so expecting a non-diurnal temperature trend during the night. Lows mostly in the 30s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Deterministic guidance and the ensembles are in fairly good agreement with rising heights aloft as an upper ridge approaches the area into midweek. A frontal system approaches for the week's end into next weekend with the guidance slowing down this system a bit relative to previous runs.

CPC ensemble mean forecasts are showing some good convergence on a return to a positive NAO into the week. The period begins with high pressure to our south slowly moving east, which puts the area under warm advection on Tuesday after a shortwave trough moving through New England exits Tuesday morning. The ridge axis approaches by late Tuesday night before moving offshore by Thursday.

Heights will continue to rise through Wednesday night and into Thursday, as the ridge aloft approaches. Warming continues Tuesday through Thursday under the deep southwest flow. 850mb temperatures of 8-10C+ are being advertised by the guidance for the area Wednesday through Friday. Thursday looks to the warmest day of the week before clouds return on Friday. For this package, utilized NBM temperatures and adjusted up between the 75th and 90th percentiles for Wednesday and Thursday to give highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. The warmest temperatures will occur inland, away from the coast. With SSTs in the low 40s across the ocean waters coupled with the southerly wind component, coastal areas will not get as warm as the interior, and remain in the lower 50s Wednesday and Thursday. As we have mentioned previously, at this time no record highs are in jeopardy Wednesday and Thursday with record highs in the upper 60s and 70s for the climate locations.

As the ridge shifts to the east of the area by Friday, an upper trough approaches from the Great Lakes bringing a cold front through the area by early Saturday. At the same time, a deeper closed low takes shape across the Central Plains. The deterministic guidance differs on the timing of the frontal passage, with the EU on the early side Friday afternoon and the GFS on the later side, by early Saturday morning. Both systems stall the front south of the area by Saturday night. For now have kept PoPs at slight chance across the entire area Friday morning into Saturday morning. Both modeling systems are rather light with the overall precipitation.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR as low pressure over eastern Canada weakens and retreats northeast for the remainder of the weekend, while high pressure builds in from the west.

NW winds generally under 10 kt through the early morning hours, with many outlying terminals becoming light NW around 5 kt. NW winds will then increase again into the afternoon to 10-12 kt. Winds will gradually weaken in the evening, especially away from the NYC metro terminals.

SCT-BKN clouds around 4-5Kft diminish during the early morning hours. SCT clouds around 5Kft are possible again by late morning into the afternoon.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

High confidence forecast on Sunday, with an occasional gust possible for a few terminals. Amendments are not anticipated.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Sunday night through Wednesday. VFR. Thursday. Mainly VFR. S-SW gusts 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday as high pressure dominates. Strengthening southwest flow ahead of an approaching cold front will result in ocean seas to near 5 ft by Thursday morning. Ocean seas will remain elevated into Saturday afternoon, with 5-7ft waves and occasional gusts to 25kts through the period.

HYDROLOGY. There are no hydrologic concerns through the forecast period.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/DBR NEAR TERM . JC SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . DBR AVIATION . JE MARINE . JC HYDROLOGY . JC/DBR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 23 mi55 min NNW 12 G 16 28°F 36°F1 ft
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 35 mi45 min WNW 16 G 19 31°F 41°F1023 hPa15°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi61 min N 7 G 9.9 26°F 36°F1024.5 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi61 min N 4.1 G 7 26°F 37°F1023.4 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 43 mi61 min 28°F 1023.1 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 45 mi45 min NNW 18 G 21 41°F1022.9 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 48 mi45 min NNW 12 G 15 25°F 1020.3 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY5 mi62 minWNW 310.00 miOvercast23°F13°F65%1023.7 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY9 mi59 minNW 410.00 miOvercast26°F13°F57%1023.6 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY21 mi59 minWNW 510.00 miOvercast27°F15°F61%1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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NW10W9NW3W4NW8N10NW6CalmCalmW5NW3
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Tide / Current Tables for Potunk Point, Moriches Bay, Long Island, New York
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Potunk Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:54 AM EST     0.54 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:48 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 12:46 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:29 PM EST     0.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.20.30.40.50.50.50.40.30.20.10.100.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.30.20.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:34 AM EST     1.46 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:59 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:47 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:16 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:11 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:33 PM EST     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:58 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.20.7-0-0.7-1.2-1.4-1.4-1.1-0.700.710.90.70.1-0.5-1-1.3-1.3-1-0.60

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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