Friday, September20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Remsenburg-Speonk, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 6:54PM Friday September 20, 2019 8:20 PM EDT (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 10:37PMMoonset 12:39PM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 708 Pm Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rough conditions around inlets.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 708 Pm Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will dominate through the weekend. A cold front approaches on Monday and moves through Monday night. High pressure follows for the midweek period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remsenburg-Speonk, NY
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location: 40.8, -72.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 202348
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
748 pm edt Fri sep 20 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will dominate through the weekend. A cold front
approaches on Monday and moves through Monday night. High
pressure follows for the midweek period, then a weakening cold
front approaches late in the week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Forecast remains on track, with favorable radiational cooling
conditions expected into the night. Temperatures in outlying,
more rural areas have already decreased quickly with the loss of
diurnal cooling. Will lean toward cooler guidance. However,
lows will still average a degree or two above normal.

As for sensible weather, valley fog is possible once again late at
night.

There is a high risk of rip currents at the atlantic ocean beaches
into this evening due to long period easterly swells.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night
Large ridge remains in place. With westerly flow around sfc high
that is centered to our south, and expected temps at the top of the
mixed layer around 16-17c, forecast high temperatures should rise
into the 80s under a good deal of sunshine.

Temperatures Saturday night will once again average above normal,
with a range from the lower 50s interior to mid 60s in nyc,
quite a spread between radiational cooling locations, and urban
heat island effect.

There is a high risk of rip currents at the atlantic ocean beaches
on Saturday. Long period swells lessen as the day progresses, so
conditions may improve late in the day.

Long term Sunday through Friday
High pressure will be centered to our south over the western
atlantic on Sunday. A return SW flow and 850mb temps at around 15c
will allow for highs above normal across the forecast area. Highs
generally in the 80s except for eastern LI and SE ct, particularly
along the coasts.

A longwave trough shifts through the great lakes on Monday and moves
into the northeast Tuesday. This will send a cold front through the
area Monday evening. There will be a chance of showers in the
afternoon into the evening ahead of the front, then chances drop off
during the overnight hours. Have added a slight chance of thunder
for some areas as capes of a few hundred j kg are forecast by some
models, combined with some shortwave and jet streak lift. High
temperatures on Monday will once again reach the 80s for most areas.

High pressure then keeps us dry Tuesday and Wednesday along with
high temperatures closer to normal. A cold front associated with low
pressure tracking through southern canada then approaches on
Thursday. The upper flow is progged to be more zonal than cyclonic,
so the front therefore weakens as it approaches us. Will still go
with a slight chance of showers with this front for Thursday. High
pressure builds back in on Friday with dry weather.

Aviation 23z Friday through Wednesday
High pressure remains across the region through the TAF period.

Vfr.

Winds becoming light W NW late tonight into morning push, then
backing SW in the late morning. Afternoon coastal sea breezes
are expected for S coastal terminals, and possible into nj
terminals.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 22 mi51 min WSW 9.7 G 14 69°F 69°F62°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi51 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 73°F 69°F1020.3 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi57 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1 73°F 69°F1020.4 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 43 mi51 min 68°F 69°F1020.9 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 45 mi91 min SW 14 G 16 69°F 68°F7 ft1021.6 hPa (-0.5)
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 48 mi36 min W 8.9 G 9.9 69°F 1019.5 hPa57°F

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY5 mi28 minWSW 610.00 miFair64°F57°F78%1022 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY9 mi85 minSSW 610.00 miFair69°F55°F61%1021.3 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY21 mi85 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F55°F65%1021.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW6NW13NW10W11NW11
G18
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W8W5W11SW7SW5SW6
1 day agoE6E4NE5E433CalmCalmN6N5N6N5NE10NE9NE10NE10NE5NE8NE7NE7NW6S3SW4Calm
2 days agoE4E3NE4NE3NE4NE3NE3N5NE4N3CalmNE11NE8NE13
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NE10NE10NE11NE6E5

Tide / Current Tables for Potunk Point, Moriches Bay, Long Island, New York
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Potunk Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:43 AM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:39 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:55 PM EDT     0.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:33 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.40.50.50.40.40.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.50.50.50.50.40.30.20.20.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:54 AM EDT     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:21 AM EDT     1.29 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:40 PM EDT     -1.29 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:38 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:49 PM EDT     0.97 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.5-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.2-1.1-0.6-0.20.20.81.31.20.90.4-0.4-1-1.2-1.3-1-0.6-0.30.20.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.