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Marine Weather and Tides Remsenburg-Speonk, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:13AM

Sunset 5:50PM

Sunday March 7, 2021 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC)

Moonrise 3:39AM

Moonset 12:48PM

Illumination 38%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remsenburg-Speonk, NY

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 070829 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 329 AM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in today, shifts through on Monday, then remains in control while centered offshore through Thursday. A cold front approaches from the west Friday and becomes stationary south of the area by Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Surface high pressure slowly builds in today as the flow aloft becomes a little less cyclonic. It'll turn out to be a more sunny day compared to yesterday and slightly warmer. High temperatures will still be 6-8 degrees below normal in most cases with some 40 degree readings in the NYC metropolitan area and mid to upper 30s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Ridging aloft will allow surface high pressure to build in tonight before its ridge axis shifts through the forecast area on Monday. Mainly clear conditions prevail through this time. Although heights and temperatures rise aloft with ridging, resultant subsidence will limit the daytime mixing depth. Still, expecting Monday's high temperatures to be a couple of degrees warmer than today after starting out in the teens and 20s early in the morning.

A warm front approaches and passes through during Monday night. Cannot completely rule out PCPN as some models show enough lift and low-mid level moisture with the front, but in all likelihood it remains dry across the entire area. Clouds will increase, and weak warm advection sets in with a SW flow, so expecting a non-diurnal temperature trend during the night. Lows mostly in the 30s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Deterministic guidance and the ensembles are in fairly good agreement with rising heights aloft as an upper ridge approaches the area into midweek. A frontal system approaches for the week's end into next weekend with the guidance slowing down this system a bit relative to previous runs.

CPC ensemble mean forecasts are showing some good convergence on a return to a positive NAO into the week. The period begins with high pressure to our south slowly moving east, which puts the area under warm advection on Tuesday after a shortwave trough moving through New England exits Tuesday morning. The ridge axis approaches by late Tuesday night before moving offshore by Thursday.

Heights will continue to rise through Wednesday night and into Thursday, as the ridge aloft approaches. Warming continues Tuesday through Thursday under the deep southwest flow. 850mb temperatures of 8-10C+ are being advertised by the guidance for the area Wednesday through Friday. Thursday looks to the warmest day of the week before clouds return on Friday. For this package, utilized NBM temperatures and adjusted up between the 75th and 90th percentiles for Wednesday and Thursday to give highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. The warmest temperatures will occur inland, away from the coast. With SSTs in the low 40s across the ocean waters coupled with the southerly wind component, coastal areas will not get as warm as the interior, and remain in the lower 50s Wednesday and Thursday. As we have mentioned previously, at this time no record highs are in jeopardy Wednesday and Thursday with record highs in the upper 60s and 70s for the climate locations.

As the ridge shifts to the east of the area by Friday, an upper trough approaches from the Great Lakes bringing a cold front through the area by early Saturday. At the same time, a deeper closed low takes shape across the Central Plains. The deterministic guidance differs on the timing of the frontal passage, with the EU on the early side Friday afternoon and the GFS on the later side, by early Saturday morning. Both systems stall the front south of the area by Saturday night. For now have kept PoPs at slight chance across the entire area Friday morning into Saturday morning. Both modeling systems are rather light with the overall precipitation.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR as low pressure over eastern Canada weakens and retreats northeast for the remainder of the weekend, while high pressure builds in from the west.

NW winds generally under 10 kt through the early morning hours, with many outlying terminals becoming light NW around 5 kt. NW winds will then increase again into the afternoon to 10-12 kt. Winds will gradually weaken in the evening, especially away from the NYC metro terminals.

SCT-BKN clouds around 4-5Kft diminish during the early morning hours. SCT clouds around 5Kft are possible again by late morning into the afternoon.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

High confidence forecast on Sunday, with an occasional gust possible for a few terminals. Amendments are not anticipated.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Sunday night through Wednesday. VFR. Thursday. Mainly VFR. S-SW gusts 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday as high pressure dominates. Strengthening southwest flow ahead of an approaching cold front will result in ocean seas to near 5 ft by Thursday morning. Ocean seas will remain elevated into Saturday afternoon, with 5-7ft waves and occasional gusts to 25kts through the period.

HYDROLOGY. There are no hydrologic concerns through the forecast period.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/DBR NEAR TERM . JC SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . DBR AVIATION . JE MARINE . JC HYDROLOGY . JC/DBR

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound	23 mi	55 min	NNW 12 G 16	28°F	36°F	1 ft
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY	35 mi	45 min	WNW 16 G 19	31°F	41°F		1023 hPa	15°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT	35 mi	61 min	N 7 G 9.9	26°F	36°F		1024.5 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	36 mi	61 min	N 4.1 G 7	26°F	37°F		1023.4 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY	43 mi	61 min		28°F			1023.1 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY	45 mi	45 min	NNW 18 G 21		41°F		1022.9 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather	48 mi	45 min	NNW 12 G 15	25°F			1020.3 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT

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N13 G18

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NW14 G18

N9 G12

N13 G16

N12 G17

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N14 G21

NW11 G15

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NW13 G17

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NW19 G30

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NW3

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N11 G14

N14 G23

NW17 G26

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NW16 G27

NW16 G23

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N19 G26

NW14 G19

N12 G16

N14 G19

NW14 G20

N21 G30

N17 G23

N18 G28

N19 G26

N16 G24

N16 G20

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY	5 mi	62 min	WNW 3	10.00 mi	Overcast	23°F	13°F	65%	1023.7 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY	9 mi	59 min	NW 4	10.00 mi	Overcast	26°F	13°F	57%	1023.6 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY	21 mi	59 min	WNW 5	10.00 mi	Overcast	27°F	15°F	61%	1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)

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W3

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NW12 G24

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W15 G22

NW17 G22

NW15 G20

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1 day ago

NW15 G27

NW12

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NW12 G18

NW14 G22

NW14 G24

NW18 G24

NW16 G23

NW13 G22

W14 G22

W13 G24

W19 G28

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W12 G19

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NW13 G22

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NW15 G19

NW16 G25

NW12 G22

W16 G25

NW19

NW15 G21

NW12 G23

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NW17 G23

NW14 G22

NW13 G22

NW16 G22

NW16 G30

NW17 G23

NW17 G27

NW17 G27

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Tide / Current Tables for Potunk Point, Moriches Bay, Long Island, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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