Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saddle Rock, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:04PM Saturday January 25, 2020 3:56 PM EST (20:56 UTC) Moonrise 8:54AMMoonset 6:50PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 344 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm est this evening...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 344 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure shifts northeast out the region tonight and strengthens as it lifts northeast into the canadian maritimes on Sunday. High pressure then gradually builds in from the west through next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saddle Rock, NY
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location: 40.81, -73.8     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 251811 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 111 PM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure approaches from the southwest today and passes through the area this evening. The low will then deepen as it lifts northeast into the Canadian Maritimes on Sunday. High pressure will gradually build in from the west through next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. The forecast is mainly on track with only minor updates made to some of the hourly forecast elements.

A well advertised southern branch low will impact the area today with rain, which will be heaviest this afternoon into early this evening. The associated upper low lifts northeast into the eastern Great Lakes by this evening. Upper jet energy ahead of the system will aid a secondary low strengthening over the Mid Atlantic states, which then passes across the area this evening.

While not all that deep of a low, there are plenty of dynamics with the system (coupling jet structure, upper divergence) along with anomalously high precipitable water (just over an inch). Rainfall at times could be heavy with the potential for 0.75 to 1.25 inches. Much of this will occur in a 6 hour window. Low streamflow and dry antecedent conditions will limit any flooding to the minor nuisance variety.

East winds will gusts 15-25 mph inland and 20 to 30 mph expected.

Highs will top out in the lower to mid 40s across the interior and near 50 across Long Island and the NYC metro.

The rain quickly shuts off early evening across the Lower Hudson Valley, NE NJ, and the NYC metro, and by around 10 pm across far eastern Long Island and southeast CT. Winds will shift around to the west with the ending of the rain.

Cold advection on the backside of the low will allow temperatures to drop to near freezing north and west of NYC by daybreak, and the mid to upper 30s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The upper low over the Northeast on Sunday will lift up into the Canadian Maritimes Sunday into Monday. Cyclonic flow will result in a fair amount of clouds north and west of NYC with the potential for even a few rain and/or snow showers across Orange County on Sunday. Highs and low will remain above normal by about 5 degrees along with a westerly flow.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The upper low moves out into the North Atlantic Tuesday into Wednesday, with ridging to follow for the second half of the week. The forecast remains dry through Friday with temperatures trending towards normal.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. IFR conditions across NYC Metro terminals with the potential for LIFR conditions as rain continues to push northeast of the region. Ceilings improve to MVFR by this evening then VFR conditions expected after 03Z tonight.

Easterly winds of up to 20 kt and gusts between 25 to 30 kt expected into this afternoon. Winds will be increasing aloft as well, with SE wind shear of 50 kt at 2000 ft around the same time. Winds diminish late this afternoon and into the evening.

Winds shift towards the West tonight and remain westerly through 18z Monday with VFR conditions.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Sunday. MVFR/IFR possible in lingering showers. Rain or snow showers possible across the interior. Monday-Wednesday. VFR. Thursday. VFR.

MARINE. Gusts of 25 to 30 kt are expected across all waters today, with occasional gusts to 35 kt possible early this afternoon.

Waves on the ocean mostly 6 to 9 ft diminish tonight. They should still remain above 5 ft through Sunday, therefore, the SCA was extended through the day Sunday. There is the possibility that waves remain elevated even into Sunday night and even into Monday. However, not enough confidence to extend the SCA that far out.

HYDROLOGY. Rainfall amounts of 0.75 to 1.25 are expected today, which may result in some minor nuisance flooding during the afternoon and early evening hours.

No hydrologic impacts are anticipated Sunday through next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Tides fell just short of flooding benchmarks for most of the area along western LI Sound. Anticipating tides to fall just short across most gauges along the Sound with this afternoon's high tide cycle. Too close to cancel the advisory however.

Based on observations, will probably not need statements to address the flooding threat with tonight's high tide cycle, but will still consider statements based on this afternoon's obs and model guidance.

A westerly flow on Sunday will result in lower total water levels for the shorelines so no coastal flooding is expected on Sunday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for CTZ009-010. NY . Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ071-078-177. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ330- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 2 mi57 min SSE 13 G 19 50°F 39°F1007.7 hPa (-5.3)
44022 - Execution Rocks 6 mi57 min ENE 18 G 23 41°F 32°F41°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi57 min 49°F 42°F1009.1 hPa (-1.9)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 15 mi72 min E 21 G 31 41°F 5 ft41°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi57 min SSE 19 G 23 48°F 1008.4 hPa (-2.1)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi57 min 50°F 42°F1008.1 hPa (-2.8)
MHRN6 22 mi57 min E 9.9 G 13
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi57 min SE 8.9 G 13 51°F 42°F1008.4 hPa (-2.3)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi37 min S 16 G 31 49°F 1008.6 hPa49°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi57 min E 19 G 26 42°F 38°F1009.8 hPa (-6.1)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi66 minSE 26 G 331.00 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist and Windy50°F46°F89%1007.2 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY9 mi66 minno data1.00 miRain Fog/Mist50°F48°F93%1007.4 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY10 mi66 minE 22 G 281.25 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy47°F46°F100%1007.9 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ14 mi66 minE 51.00 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist47°F45°F93%1007.8 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY19 mi2 hrsE 16 G 281.50 miRain Fog/Mist41°F39°F93%1009.9 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY21 mi64 minE 21 G 318.00 miLight Rain and Breezy49°F46°F90%1007.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi66 minSE 6 G 172.50 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist49°F48°F97%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE6NE6NE7NE7NE7NE9NE9NE7E11E14E13NE11NE15NE15E14NE15
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1 day agoCalmCalmS6CalmS5S6S7S5CalmCalmCalmCalmNE6NE4E4NE5NE6NE8NE6NE7NE8NE11NE10NE8
2 days agoNW3NW3N3CalmE5S4S6S5CalmCalmN4N3CalmCalmS4SW6S5S6SW8SW7SW7NW4NW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Throgs Neck, New York
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Throgs Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:00 AM EST     6.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:21 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:11 PM EST     7.43 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:50 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:54 PM EST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.96.44.82.81.40.600.21.74.1677.47.25.83.81.90.7-0.1-0.50.42.44.76.1

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:07 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:42 AM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:06 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:02 PM EST     -0.72 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:23 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:50 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:06 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:21 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.7-0.5-0.2-00.30.810.60.20-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.3-0.10.20.610.80.30.1-0.2-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.