Saturday, April10, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Quogue, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 7:27PM Saturday April 10, 2021 11:29 PM EDT (03:29 UTC) Moonrise 6:03AMMoonset 6:06PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ350 Moriches Inlet Ny To Montauk Point Ny Out 20 Nm- 1048 Pm Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
.dense fog advisory in effect until 11 am edt Sunday...
.small craft advisory in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Areas of fog. Patchy drizzle after midnight. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Vsby less than 1 nm in the morning.
Sun night..NE winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely with chance of tstms after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Chance of showers.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1048 Pm Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure off the northeast and mid atlantic coast will continue to drift east tonight as a weak warm front approaches from the southwest. The front dissipates Sunday. Another warm front will approach from the southeast late Sunday and Sunday night, and then will remain nearly stationary southwest of the area through the middle of next week. High pressure strengthens over the area for the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quogue, NY
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location: 40.82, -72.56     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 110305 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1105 PM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak warm front approaches tonight into Sunday morning, then dissipates. Another warm front approaches late Sunday and Sunday night, then becomes nearly stationary southwest of the area through the middle of next week. High pressure strengthens over the area for the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. Cloudy conditions continue tonight. Low stratus and fog have moved in from off the ocean across parts of the city and LI, and the expectation is for this to expand northward through the night. A weak warm frontal boundary will be approaching overnight and remain to our south. Ocean temperatures remain in the mid and upper 40s, with dew points also in the mid and upper 40s. All indications are that visibilities will be lowering and the fog may become dense across the region overnight. With lift increasing as the front nears, patchy drizzle may develop. Otherwise, showers will also be moving into the southwestern zones toward Sunday morning. Upper ridging through New England will limit the north and east progression of the warm front and showers.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. The warm front moves into the region Sunday morning and weakens or dissipates. With the weakening lift showers may become more scattered or even briefly end. However, another warm front approaches late in the day as more energy rotates around the closed upper low over the Great Lakes region. There is a little more lift and a weak low level jet with this warm front. And elevated cape increases late in the day and into the evening, as the warm front nears. Have introduced a chance of thunder across the forecast area, however, areas inland will be more likely to have thunder. The push of the warm front northward will determine the areal extent of instability. And strengthening easterly winds late Sunday may keep the warm front stalled to the west and south. An influx of low and mid level moisture along with the increased lift will produce the chance for moderate to locally heavy rainfall late Sunday into Sunday evening. Precipitation continues through Sunday night as the frontal boundary does eventually become nearly stationary.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A stalled frontal boundary invof the cwa will provide a focus for periods of rain/shwrs thru the middle of the week. The most organized activity is modeled to be Mon and Tue, where dpva and mid lvl frogen will be best. It is a little too far out to have high confidence in where the best bands of pcpn develop, so pops were capped at likely. The focus based on the 12z model consensus is the wrn half of the cwa, but again with a nw-se orientation, it will not take much to move to the band to another portion of the fcst area or outside of the cwa altogether.

A downward trend in pcpn chances for Wed into Thu. Still a roughly 20-40 pop thru the period with the lingering h5 low yielding decent lapse rates and cyclonic flow aloft. High pres ridges across the region Fri and Sat, ending chances for pcpn. NBM pops still lingered slight chances for Thu, which were accepted for now until it becomes clear that the h5 low will have indeed exited by then.

Thicknesses are pretty low for Tue and Wed, but the bl is modeled to be too warm for any snow for most of the area. Perhaps portions of the interior could see some flakes where lift is maximized. Elsewhere, some ip possible in the area of strongest lift.

The NBM was used for temps for now. However, if confidence increases in the Tue/Wed time period, highs will likely need to be dropped about 10 degrees or so.

AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A warm front approaches from the southwest tonight.

Transition from VFR to IFR currently underway, with LIFR for the overnight for most terminals. LIFR and IFR conditions are then expected throughout Sunday morning with rain arriving. Some drizzle will however be possible tonight.

Winds will be generally south to southeast under 10 kt tonight. The winds will then become more E and up to 10 kt through Sunday morning.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Amendments likely for category changes tonight and through Sunday morning.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Sunday night. IFR likely with showers. Monday. A chance of MVFR and showers, mainly during the day. Tuesday-Wednesday. Mainly VFR with a slight chance of showers Thursday. Periods of MVFR possible early, otherwise VFR. Light N- NE winds.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Stratus with fog and visibilities of 1 nautical mile or less now present on the ocean waters, NY Harbor, and some of the South Shore Bays. This is expected to expand north into the remaining waters tonight. Have therefore issued a dense fog advisory on all waters tonight through most of Sunday morning. Showers and turbulent mixing will then help improve the visibility shortly thereafter, but the end timing for dense fog is somewhat uncertain. It may end a few hours before the expiration time in some areas or linger beyond 15z for other spots.

Otherwise winds and seas remain under SCA levels tonight into most of Sunday as high pressure offshore drifts east. A strengthening easterly flow will allow for ocean seas to build to near 5 feet by late Sunday, and wind gusts may be near 25 KT. Ocean winds and seas likely remain at SCA levels through Monday, and an advisory has been issued from late Sunday through Monday. The non ocean waters are expected to remain below Advisory levels tonight through Sunday night.

Small craft cond will persist on the ocean Mon and Mon ngt. Winds will be mrgnl on the protected waters Mon, so no advy has been issued attm. Winds and seas blw sca lvls on Wed, then 5 ft seas possible on the ocean Thu as low pres deepens over the Atlc.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Friday. One-half inch to locally one inch of rainfall is forecast Sunday through early Monday evening.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Tides will be running high astronomically with a new moon phase. With an onshore flow becoming increasingly persistent late this weekend there is the chance that some locations for the Western Sound Shore in CT and the more western south shore bays will approach their minor coastal flood benchmarks. This will be possible for the Sunday night, Monday day time, and Monday night tide cycles.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345-350-353-355. Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Sunday to 6 PM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JMC/MET NEAR TERM . JC/MET SHORT TERM . MET LONG TERM . JMC AVIATION . JC/JE MARINE . JMC/JC/MET HYDROLOGY . JMC/MET TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 23 mi90 min SSE 3.9 G 5.8 50°F 45°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 28 mi40 min S 5.8 G 7.8 50°F 49°F3 ft1009.5 hPa49°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 36 mi60 min 51°F 48°F1009.3 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 37 mi60 min SSW 5.1 G 6 52°F 48°F1010 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi60 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 54°F 48°F1008.5 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 45 mi60 min 50°F 1009.4 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY4 mi37 minSSW 40.50 miFog52°F52°F100%1009.4 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY16 mi34 minS 30.50 miFog54°F51°F90%1009 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmSW3CalmCalmS3S3CalmCalmCalmSW556SW8S9SW9SW11SW6S4S4S3S3CalmS4
1 day agoSE3CalmCalmE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3Calm36SE6SE7S8SW7SW7S5SW6SW6SW5SW5S3
2 days agoNW3--CalmCalmNW4NW5NW5NW4N5N8NW7NW5NE83SE8S7SE9
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Tide / Current Tables for Ponquogue Bridge, Shinnecock Bay, Long Island, New York (2)
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Ponquogue Bridge
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Sat -- 01:55 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:09 AM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:11 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:32 PM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.20.10.30.71.31.82.32.52.41.91.30.80.2-00.10.51.11.72.22.52.52.21.6

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:19 AM EDT     1.46 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 08:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:11 PM EDT     -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:36 PM EDT     1.52 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.6-1.4-1.1-0.40.61.21.41.40.8-0-0.7-1.3-1.6-1.5-1.2-0.60.31.11.51.51.10.3-0.5-1.1

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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