Thursday, September16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manorhaven, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 7:03PM Thursday September 16, 2021 6:32 AM EDT (10:32 UTC) Moonrise 5:07PMMoonset 1:25AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 554 Am Edt Thu Sep 16 2021
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms.
Tonight..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 554 Am Edt Thu Sep 16 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A front stalls nearby and gradually dissipates into Friday. Low pressure well south of long island on Friday will be moving northeast within the western atlantic through the weekend, passing well southeast of long island. Meanwhile, a weakening cold front approaches the local waters Saturday with high pressure eventually taking over for the latter half of the weekend into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manorhaven, NY
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location: 40.83, -73.71     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 161010 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 610 AM EDT Thu Sep 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. A front stalls nearby, gradually dissipating into Friday. Low pressure well south of Long Island on Friday will be moving northeast within the Western Atlantic through the weekend, passing well southeast of Long Island. Meanwhile, a weakening cold front approaches the local region Saturday with high pressure eventually taking over for the latter half of the weekend into early next week. The high pressure area will start moving offshore by the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Broken lines of showers and some thunderstorms have developed across the CWA. The movement of these lines may result in some localized minor flooding concerns, particularly over the south fork of Long Island this morning. This update accounts for the latest observations and trends in these showers/storms as well as temperatures and dew points into the morning.

The cold front and associated showers and convection continues to slowly approach the area. Showers and isolated thunderstorms are continuing to develop. The potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue through much of the day today as the front stalls in the vicinity. The best chance for additional showers and storms will be in the afternoon after the atmosphere becomes more unstable from daytime heating, though it will be overcast through the day.

With high moisture content, any thunderstorm can produce locally and briefly heavy rainfall which may result in nuisance and poor drainage flooding. Slow movement of storms if persistent enough may produce a more substantial flood concern, as such, WPC has much of the area in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall today. The highs today will be in the middle to upper 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Any stronger storms this evening gradually weaken though there will remain a chance for showers through much of the overnight period with onshore moist flow interacting with the stalled frontal boundary. Lows tonight will be in the middle to upper 60s.

The models remain coherent in their forecast depiction of a low off the coast of Carolinas. While the National Hurricane Center continues to indicate potential tropical development of this low, the models indicate a track of the low that passes southeast of the 40N/70W benchmark late Friday night and continue to track northeast farther away from the region for the upcoming weekend.

For Friday, with a narrow upper level jet streak off the coast of New England and right rear quadrant near the region, along with positive vorticity advection in the mid levels, there will be factors for lift during the day. These factors shift farther east Friday night eventually leaving the region. The surface pressure gradient between an offshore low and high pressure in the Canadian Maritimes will lead to easterly flow. With some frictional convergence and aforementioned factors aloft, there will be chances for showers through the day and into early evening and with weak instability, a slight chance for thunderstorms. Chances for showers lower Friday night with mainly dry conditions getting reestablished from west to east. Across the interior, with low level moisture, cooling of temperatures, and lighter winds, patchy fog is expected to develop Friday night into early Saturday morning.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. For Saturday, a weak cold front approaches from the west. There will be a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms across Northeast NJ, Lower Hudson Valley, NYC, western parts of Long Island as well as Southwest Connecticut. These locations will be closer to the cold front and will be warmer and therefore more unstable relative to locations farther east.

For Saturday night into the rest of the weekend, high pressure will return and become established across the Northeastern Seaboard with dry weather forecast. A trough aloft and associated upper level jet will help accelerate the low in the Western Atlantic farther northeast, getting to a vicinity of southeast of the Canadian Maritimes.

Ridging increases Sunday night into early next week with high pressure at the surface remaining along the Northeastern Seaboard. This will be a large ridge of high pressure so expecting the weather to remain dry with subsidence from the high pressure. The high pressure area will start moving more out into the Atlantic by the middle of next week. Weather will remain mainly dry.

Temperatures are not much different from previous forecast with high temperatures averaging a few degrees above normal during the long term. One exception is Saturday with the relatively highest temperatures of the long term period, getting near 5 degrees above normal, as max temperatures reach more into the lower 80s.

AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front moves slowly across the terminals overnight. The front then becomes nearly stationary in the vicinity Thursday.

For most terminals VFR conditions will prevail for much of the overnight. MVFR for KSWF/KISP/KGON, where showers will be more likely.

With the front remaining in the vicinity on Thursday MVFR will become increasingly likely from 13-15z for the city terminals.

N-NE winds under 10 kt overnight. On Thursday winds become NE, then ENE around 10 kt. MVFR conditions should prevail much of the day, with intervals of VFR conditions possible during the afternoon. Lowering conditions are then likely to return into Thursday evening.

. Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Showers or VCSH possible through early afternoon, but likely would not impact flight categories for an extended period of time. Timing of flight category changes could be off by an hour or two. Timing of prevailing shra might be forecast to be an hour or two too early.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Thursday night. MVFR with chance of showers. Friday. MVFR with a chance of showers and slight chance of tstms. Saturday-Monday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Sub SCA conditions are expected into late tonight, though seas start building over the ocean waters around daybreak Friday.

Residual higher ocean seas of near 5 to 6 ft are forecast that will keep ocean with SCA level seas Friday into Saturday with otherwise sub-SCA conditions for non-ocean waters. Conditions are below SCA criteria for all waters by daybreak Sunday through early next week as strong high pressure moves across the waters, making for a weak pressure gradient.

HYDROLOGY. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm cannot be ruled out today. A few downpours are possible which may lead to nuisance minor urban flooding, however, there is still considerable uncertainty as to where, if any, heavy rain will fall.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There will be a moderate risk of rip currents today for the ocean beaches with 2 to 3 ft ocean seas with residual southerly swell and E-SE winds of near 10 kt. For Friday, ocean seas will be building to 5 to 6 ft with more of an easterly swell and winds will be E-NE near 10-15 kt, making for a high risk of rip currents for the ocean beaches.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/MW NEAR TERM . MW SHORT TERM . MW LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . JC MARINE . JC/MW HYDROLOGY . JC/MW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JC/MW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 3 mi44 min ENE 7 G 13 71°F 1020.4 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 4 mi47 min NE 9.7 G 14 72°F 65°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 11 mi47 min NNE 9.7 G 16 71°F 64°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 18 mi44 min 73°F 71°F1019.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi44 min N 8 G 12 73°F 1019.1 hPa
BGNN6 27 mi44 min 72°F 75°F1019.4 hPa
MHRN6 27 mi44 min NNE 8.9 G 12
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi44 min NE 8 G 9.9 72°F 74°F1019.8 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi32 min NNE 16 G 18 72°F1018.3 hPa (+1.2)
44069 34 mi77 min NNE 9.7 G 12 72°F 78°F68°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 37 mi44 min NNE 4.1 G 6 71°F 76°F1019.3 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi32 min 1.9 G 3.9 72°F1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi41 minENE 710.00 miOvercast73°F61°F66%1019.1 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi41 minNNE 1010.00 miOvercast71°F63°F76%1019.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY14 mi41 minno data10.00 miOvercast72°F62°F71%1019.5 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi39 minNE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F64°F79%1019.5 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi36 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F62°F84%1019.1 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ18 mi41 minNNE 510.00 miOvercast70°F62°F76%1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4CalmS8SW8SW6S11SW10
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S12S8S8S9S8SW9NE8N5NE6NE10N6NE8NE10NE7
1 day agoNE5CalmE5NE8NE7NE7S10SE9S11S10S7SE8S7SE9SE4S7S9S9S5S6S4S4S4S3
2 days agoW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Port Washington, Manhasset Bay, Long Island Sound, New York (2)
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Port Washington
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Thu -- 01:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:02 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:53 AM EDT     7.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:19 PM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:17 PM EDT     7.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.81.70.90.41.12.94.96.26.876.553.42.21.511.22.74.96.57.47.87.66.4

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:09 AM EDT     0.91 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:31 AM EDT     -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:00 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:36 PM EDT     0.93 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:05 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.60.90.70.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.200.30.80.90.50.20-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.5-0.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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