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Marine Weather and Tides Pelham Manor, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:54AM

Sunset 8:07PM

Wednesday August 5, 2020 8:51 PM EDT (00:51 UTC)

Moonrise 9:38PM

Moonset 7:40AM

Illumination 96%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelham Manor, NY

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 060003 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 803 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will push offshore tonight and stall just south of the area on Thursday. A series of frontal waves will then track along the boundary Thursday night through early Saturday. High pressure builds into the area for Sunday and Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. Drier air was moving into the region behind a cold front, and dew points were lowering quickly. Also, cu was gradually dissipating. Updated temperatures and dew points for current conditions.

An upper low will lift northeast across eastern Canada tonight into Friday morning before heading out into the north Atlantic. At the surface, a weak cold front will move through the area tonight with high pressure building in from the west. A dry, capped airmass will result in a dry frontal passage. The front stalls just to the south of the area on Thursday.

SW winds this evening will become light northerly overnight. Lows will be near normal with readings ranging from the lower 60s inland to around 70 at the coast.

There is a high rip current risk at the ocean beaches through this evening.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. Expecting a mainly dry day on Thursday as shortwave ridging builds across the area ahead of a weak upper trough moving into the Ohio Valley. There is some weak mid level shortwave energy in the SW flow aloft tomorrow with some of the guidance hinting at the potential for a few showers north and west of NYC. Preference at this time is to keep it out of the forecast area with dry air in the subcloud layer and little if any instability.

Mid level clouds will be on the increase with mostly cloudy skies anticipated by Thursday afternoon. The stalled frontal boundary to the south will then steer a series of frontal waves across the area Thursday night into Friday. Chances for showers will increase Thursday night into Friday with the potential for an isolated thunderstorm on Friday. Instability is limited due to cloud cover and an easterly flow.

There is some uncertainty with the northward extent of the rain with the GFS the most bullish of the guidance with half an inch to an inch of rainfall at the coast. The ECMWF and NAM are a bit more suppressed and took a middle road approach looking at quarter to half inch at the coast and less inland.

The cloud cover and showers will keep highs near 80 both days with lows in the mid 60s to around 70.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches on Thursday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A nearly stationary frontal boundary will be south of Long Island Friday night as surface waves of low pressure move along the boundary. Meanwhile, and mid and upper level short waves will be moving into the region by 12Z Saturday. This wave will move out the stalled frontal boundary early Saturday as the trough axis passes east around 18Z Saturday. Consensus is indicating a chance of precipitation into Friday night, and shifting east into early Saturday. There will be sufficient CAPE and instability along the front for isolated to scattered thunderstorms.

Upper ridging builds behind the shortwave later Saturday into the beginning of next week, 12Z Monday. A weak and low amplitude shortwave moves through Monday and may trigger showers and thunderstorms. Surface instability and CAPE will be increasing during the day with daytime heating. Lapse rates will also be steep enough for convection. Heat and humidity will be building Tuesday into Wednesday as return flow remains. However, increasing clouds and the chance of precipitation may limit the heat Wednesday. With a large closed low over southeastern Canada Tuesday into Wednesday a surface cold front will be approaching and may stall in the area Wednesday.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches on Friday.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A weak cold front will move south of Long Island tonight and stall offshore Thursday. Low pressure wave approaches along the front Thursday night into Friday.

VFR conditions are expected through Thursday with a chance for MVFR in showers Thursday night, mainly late. S-SW winds will be near 10 kt into the middle of this evening and then less than 10 kt through the rest of the TAF period. Wind direction will be variable late tonight and then more E-SE for Thursday before becoming variable again Thursday night.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Thursday night. Chance of rain showers. Chance of MVFR, mainly late. Friday. Chance of rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. Chance of MVFR. Saturday-Monday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Sub-SCA conditions are forecast on the waters to close out the week. A series of weak frontal waves will then impact the waters with showers (possibly a thunderstorm) Thursday night into early Saturday.

High pressure then builds into the waters into the beginning of next week. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels across all the forecast waters through Monday night.

HYDROLOGY. No significant hydrologic impacts are expected into early next week.

EQUIPMENT. KBDR ASOS is not reporting at this time due to a power outage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MET/DW NEAR TERM . MET/DW SHORT TERM . DW LONG TERM . MET AVIATION . JM MARINE . MET/DW HYDROLOGY . MET/DW EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	4 mi	58 min	NNW 8.9 G 13	81°F			1017.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	5 mi	52 min	W 7.8 G 12	80°F				66°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	14 mi	67 min	WNW 7.8 G 12	79°F				65°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	15 mi	58 min		82°F	76°F		1016.8 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	23 mi	58 min		82°F	78°F		1016.7 hPa
MHRN6	24 mi	58 min	W 9.9 G 11
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	28 mi	58 min	WNW 8 G 8.9	80°F	78°F		1017.3 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	34 mi	32 min	SSW 3.9 G 5.8		73°F		1016.1 hPa
44069	40 mi	52 min	SW 12 G 14	77°F				71°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	40 mi	58 min	WNW 5.1 G 9.9	82°F	76°F		1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Last 24hr

W8 G11

SW9

SW10

SW11 G14

SW6

SW5 G9

W7

W5

SW2

NW2

SW4

NW4

W2

NW5

NW7

NW7

NW6

NW6

NW10

NW12

NW10 G13

NW10 G15

NW13 G16

NW11 G14

1 day ago

S8

E4

SE3

S4

S4

S5

NE3

SE3

NW10 G13

E4

E6

E4

S11 G14

S11 G17

S10 G18

S13 G19

S25 G41

S41 G55

SW22 G33

W22 G32

W27 G37

W23 G31

W16 G20

W12 G16

2 days ago

SW14

SW11 G16

SW10 G13

SW12

SW12

SW8 G11

SW7

NW7 G11

NW11 G14

NW9

NW9 G12

NW8

W8

W7

NW6

NW6

NW9

W8

W13

W9 G14

SW8 G11

SW15

SW10

SW12

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	6 mi	61 min	W 8	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	85°F	57°F	40%	1016.2 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	10 mi	61 min	Var 3	10.00 mi		82°F	57°F	44%	1016.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	13 mi	61 min	W 7	10.00 mi	Fair	80°F	60°F	51%	1016 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	13 mi	61 min	S 7	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	76°F	68°F	77%	1016.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY	17 mi	56 min	W 6	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	78°F	55°F	45%	1016.2 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	21 mi	61 min	W 10	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	83°F	59°F	44%	1016.4 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY	23 mi	59 min	SW 8	10.00 mi	Fair	81°F	66°F	61%	1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

SW9

SW7

S10

SW10

W9

SW6

SW8

SW7

SW7

W5

W7

4

N3

Calm

NW7

W12 G16

W7

W10 G16

W8

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W13

W8

1 day ago

S9

3

NE4

E6

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S4

SE3

E5

E10

Calm

NE8

NE8

SE13 G16

SE14 G20

E22 G28

E26 G36

SE30 G52

S38 G51

S19 G33

SW19 G29

SW29 G45

W23 G29

SW11 G22

SW10 G19

2 days ago

S7

S11

S9

S10

S10

SW8 G15

W14 G18

W14 G20

W8

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SW5

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SW12 G20

SW13 G18

SW11

SW13 G18

S11

S13 G18

S10

S8

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Tide / Current Tables for City Island, New York (2)

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Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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