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Marine Weather and Tides Pelham Manor, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:08AM

Sunset 4:29PM

Wednesday December 11, 2019 2:09 PM EST (19:09 UTC)

Moonrise 5:17PM

Moonset 7:21AM

Illumination 100%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelham Manor, NY

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 111735 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1235 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS. A weak wave of low pressure passes offshore this morning. Arctic high pressure then builds across the region late today into Thursday. The high shifts offshore Thursday night. A low pressure system approaches from the south Friday. Rainfall becomes likely late Friday and overnight with an all day rain event expected through Saturday. The low exits to the northeast late Saturday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Snow has moved well east of the area.

Clouds will gradually clear this afternoon, but some locations especially near the coast may remain mostly cloudy. Highs will generally be in the middle and upper 30s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. A strong arctic high pressure builds into the region tonight and will settle over the northeast on Thursday. Most models have the high around 1040 mb as it settles overhead on Thursday. Upper trough axis swings across New England tonight with heights gradually rising on Thursday. NW winds will increase and gust 20-25 mph Wednesday night with clearing skies. Dry and cold conditions Wednesday through Thursday. Lows will fall into the teens inland and lower and middle 20s near the coast tonight. Wind chills will be in the teens. For Thursday, highs will be in the lower and middle 30s. Winds will be light with the high pressure overhead.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. Surface high continues to shift offshore Thursday night allowing for southerly winds to advect in moisture and comparatively warmer conditions headed into the latter part of the week. Overhead cloudiness returns to the Lower Hudson Valley and temperatures rise into the mid 40s for the day Friday.. There is a slight chance of warm frontal showers in the late morning with rain chances increasing into the late afternoon and overnight hours. These showers are associated with a deepening low pressure system off the Carolina coast. Southwest to northeast upper level flow over the eastern seaboard will spur this low north off the coast of Long Island through the overnight hours Friday into Saturday. Model soundings show the sub-tropical airmass has precipitable water values between 1.00-1.20 inches which will provide ample moisture for the expected rainfall. Timing has the majority of the rain falling for the NYC metro and surrounding areas in the overnight hours then lingering through the day Saturday. Rainfall totals around 1 to 2 could cause some instances of nuisance flooding in pour drainage areas.

Upper level trough axis pivots across New York state Sunday as a drier and more stable airmass moves into the region. Clouds clear out and temperatures are again the in mid 40s. Though overnight with the northwest winds, lows will fall near freezing around the city with areas north expected to be in the upper 20s prior to sunrise. High pressure builds Monday with more clear skies. This is short lived as an upper level jet stream of 150 kts over New England quickly transits the ridge axis eastward. The next low pressure system of note enters the Ohio River valley Tuesday morning. Global models show the possibility of mixed precip ahead of the system, but regardless could likely see another all day rain event for Tuesday.

AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure builds toward the region tonight, and passes overhead Thursday.

VFR with clearing skies expected for the remainder of the afternoon. Skies will be mostly clear and Thursday morning.

Light N/NW winds will quickly back to the west and will increase in speed as the afternoon progresses. Winds turn toward the NW and increase further this evening. A few gusts 20-25 kt are possible. NW winds lighten later tonight and Thursday morning.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Winds are expected to back to the west and increase late this afternoon.

KLGA TAF Comments: Winds are expected to back to the west and increase late this afternoon.

KEWR TAF Comments: Winds are expected to back to the west and increase late this afternoon.

KTEB TAF Comments: Winds will back toward the west and increase late this afternoon.

KHPN TAF Comments: Winds will back toward the west.

KISP TAF Comments: Winds back to the west.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Thursday afternoon-Thursday night. VFR. Friday and Friday night. VFR on Friday, then MVFR possible in developing rain Friday night. Saturday. IFR in rain. LLWS possible. Sunday. Becoming VFR as rain ends. West winds 10-15 kt gusts 20-25kt. Sunday night-Monday. VFR.

MARINE. A weak wave of low pressure passes offshore this morning. Winds on the waters for much of today will be below SCA levels. NW winds start increasing late in the afternoon and will increase above SCA levels tonight as arctic high pressure builds to the west. Ocean seas will remain elevated through tonight as well. Wind gusts on the ocean could come close to gale force tonight, but should fall short. Have extended the SCA on the ocean through tonight and issued a new SCA for the non-ocean waters tonight. The waters east of Moriches Inlet could see seas remain elevated into the morning, so the SCA has been extended until 15z for now. Winds weaken considerably on Thursday as high pressure settles over the waters.

Low pressure approaches Friday and impacts the waters Friday night into Saturday. Marine zones could be nearing SCA conditions Saturday morning through the afternoon as south winds increase to 20-25 mph. A coastal low enters the ocean waters from the south and seas increase 9-11 feet by the afternoon. Elevated waves remain through Sunday then relax by early next week.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are expected with mainly snow this Wednesday morning.

A long duration rainfall event is possible beginning Friday night through late Saturday night. Total rainfall amounts range between 1- 2 inches with isolated higher amounts possible. Minor nuisance flooding will be possible with this event.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There will be a chance of coastal flooding with the high tide cycle during Saturday morning. This will be due to onshore winds with an approaching storm combined with relatively high astronomical tides due to a nearly full moon. Minor coastal flooding will be possible primarily along the south shore back bays of Long Island, where even moderate coastal flooding is a possibility at least along the Nassau County bays. Minor flooding will also be possible along NY Harbor and parts of Western Long Island Sound. Confidence is not high at this point as the event is still a few days away, and shifts in storm's track and/or timing would change the flooding potential.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for ANZ350.

SYNOPSIS . DJ/16/DS NEAR TERM . JP/DS SHORT TERM . DS LONG TERM . DJ/16 AVIATION . PW MARINE . DJ/16/DS HYDROLOGY . DJ/16/DS TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	4 mi	51 min	NNE 2.9 G 4.1	35°F	44°F		1025.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	5 mi	54 min	S 1.9 G 3.9	35°F	32°F			29°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	14 mi	49 min	WSW 3.9 G 5.8	35°F				28°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	15 mi	51 min		35°F	46°F		1024.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	19 mi	51 min	W 6 G 9.9	35°F			1024.7 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	23 mi	51 min		36°F	45°F		1025.1 hPa
MHRN6	24 mi	51 min	WSW 6 G 8
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	28 mi	51 min	W 6 G 8.9	35°F	45°F		1025.5 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	34 mi	39 min	W 3.9 G 7.8	36°F			1025.4 hPa	28°F
44069	40 mi	84 min	NW 3.9 G 7.8	32°F	41°F			30°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	40 mi	57 min	WSW 5.1 G 8	33°F	44°F		1023.8 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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SW10 G13

W10

W7 G10

NW12 G16

NW10

NW12 G15

N8 G13

N12 G17

NW17

NW13 G16

N11 G14

N12 G15

NE9 G13

N11

NE10 G13

E4 G7

E7 G12

E6 G9

NE6 G10

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NE4 G7

N1

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1 day ago

W8

SW7

S8

SW11

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SW12 G15

SW13 G16

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W15 G23

W13 G17

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W10 G13

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W9 G12

W13 G16

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W12 G20

W10 G15

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S1

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E4 G7

E3

E3

E2 G8

SW18 G22

SW20

SW15

SW10 G14

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	6 mi	18 min	W 5	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	37°F	26°F	65%	1024.2 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	10 mi	18 min	SW 8	10.00 mi	Overcast	36°F	28°F	73%	1024.2 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	13 mi	18 min	SW 8	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	38°F	30°F	73%	1024 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	13 mi	18 min	SW 4	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	35°F	28°F	76%	1025 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY	17 mi	73 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	33°F	27°F	78%	1024.3 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	21 mi	18 min	SW 7	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	37°F	28°F	73%	1024.6 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY	23 mi	16 min	SW 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	34°F	28°F	79%	1024.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)

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SW10

SW14 G19

W8

W14 G20

W12 G24

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W13 G32

W14 G21

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1 day ago

SW9

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SW13 G22

SW18 G26

SW15 G28

SW16 G30

SW10

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SW12

SW10 G18

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S4

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SW12 G18

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SW14 G18

SW11 G22

SW13 G18

2 days ago

S14 G19

S14 G18

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Calm

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Calm

NE5

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3

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SW13 G17

S7

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Tide / Current Tables for City Island, New York (2)

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Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (14,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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