Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Little Ferry, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 4:30PM Sunday December 15, 2019 3:28 PM EST (20:28 UTC) Moonrise 9:09PMMoonset 11:16AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 938 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Today..W winds around 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt early, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 ft, then 1 to 2 ft late.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow in the morning, then snow, rain and sleet likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain, light snow and light sleet likely in the evening, then rain after midnight.
Tue..NE winds around 10 kt, becoming N with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain in the evening.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 938 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong low pressure departs to the north today, while high pressure builds in to the west of the area. High pressure moves over the the region tonight, slowly retreating to the north Monday into Monday night. A low pressure system will then affect the waters Monday afternoon through Tuesday. High pressure returns for Wednesday and Thursday, but with a cold front moving through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Ferry , NJ
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location: 40.85, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 151837 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 137 PM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in from the west today as low pressure continues to track well to the north. High pressure briefly builds over the region tonight, then drifts offshore Monday. A low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Tuesday, departing to the northeast Tuesday night. High pressure builds into the region on Wednesday and remains over the area through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Weak surface ridging will build over the area as a developing surface low tracks through the southern plains and into the lower Mississippi Valley. With a strong pressure gradient between a departing low to the north and high pressure to the west, strong and gusty westerly winds are expected. These winds and gusts will diminish early this evening as the surface high builds into the area. The high will be over the area through tonight, with the center of the high shifting off the Mid Atlantic coast toward morning. The high will keep the frontal system suppressed to the south with precipitation remaining to the southwest of the area 12Z Monday.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/. While the guidance has come into a little better agreement with the shortwave tracking toward the area, there still remains uncertainty with the track of the low. The latest trend has been a shift a little farther to the south. And later guidance may continue this trend or even shift the low back to the north. The uncertainty will have impacts to the timing and type of precipitation across the forecast area.

With the latest trends have held off the timing of the precipitation as the high shows weak signals of damming, keeping cold air across the northern tier. So, will have likely probabilities after 18Z and only across the far southern zones with low end chance probabilities reaching much of the area by later Monday afternoon.

With cold air in place precipitation will be in the form of light snow. And then with warmer air moving in along the coast, especially aloft, a mix of rain, snow, and sleet will be possible late day. There may even be pockets of light freezing rain across northeastern New Jersey and into northern portions of New York City.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. STORM SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

Timing and placement differences remain with the track of the low through Tuesday night with the GFS a little quicker and farther north than the ECMWF. Thus confidence is on the low end with precipitation types across the region. And the NAM was showing colder lower levels as a warm layer moves in aloft, with a strengthening warm frontal boundary. So, used a blend for precipitation types Monday night through Tuesday. With the possibility of colder surface air remaining Monday night into Tuesday, there may be more freezing rain closer to the coast than currently forecast. While inland may be predominately freezing rain.

The low will be tracking well east of the area Tuesday night with the precipitation quickly ending. Drying conditions are expected by later Tuesday night as the low deepens and accelerates northeast to eventually southeast of Nova Scotia by early Wednesday.

For the rest of the long term, high pressure starts to build back into the region on Wednesday and will remain over the area through the end of the week. Expect dry conditions with temperatures below normal. Low pressure may impact the area over the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure builds over the region tonight, then drifts east Monday. A weak area of low pressure approaches the region Monday into Monday night.

Gusty west winds sustained 20-25kt with gusts 30-40kt expected across the area terminals through this evening. Winds and gusts gradually subside through the evening, diminishing late tonight becoming light and variable Tuesday.

Otherwise, VFR conditions through Monday 18z, lowering to MVFR Monday afternoon/early evening in light snow/wintry mix which will become likely for NYC/NJ metro terminals after 21z.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Monday. MVFR/IFR conds in light snow/wintry mix becoming likely for NYC/NJ metro terminals after 21z. Monday night. IFR or lower likely. NYC metro and coastal terminals, wintry mix gradually changing to plain rain late. KEWR/KTEB/KBDR could see freezing rain linger into early Tue morning push. KHPN/KSWF wintry mix, including freezing rain. Tuesday. IFR or lower conds. Wintry mix, possibly changing back to all snow at KSWF before ending. Rain at NYC/NJ metro and coastal terminals, possibly changing to wintry mix before ending late. N gusts to 20kt developing Tue afternoon. Tuesday night. VFR. NW winds G20kt NYC metros/KISP mainly eve. Wednesday. VFR. NW winds G25kt mainly afternoon. Thursday. VFR. Friday. VFR.

MARINE. No changes to the winds and seas at this time.

Gale force wind gusts today, subsiding this evening, and falling below SCA by late tonight. Ocean seas will be a bit slower to respond with residual s/se swells, but should fall below SCA from w to e through Monday morning.

Sub-SCA condition expected through Tuesday morning, with SCA conditions becoming increasingly likely late Tuesday, and then likely all waters Tuesday Night through Thursday. Potential for a period of gale conditions on the ocean waters Wednesday Night with passage of an arctic front.

HYDROLOGY. Remaining flooding concerns are for the larger stem rivers in CT with a combination of the recent rainfall and melting snow to the north.

Another significant precipitation event is likely Monday through Tuesday, with liquid equivalent QPF of 0.5 to 1.25 inches possible. There is uncertainty in this amount given uncertainty in the track of the low and frontal positions.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ335-338-345. Gale Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-340-350- 353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 10 mi58 min 44°F 44°F1011.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 13 mi58 min WNW 22 G 31 44°F 1011.3 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 14 mi58 min NW 22 G 29 44°F 44°F1011.3 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 16 mi58 min W 19 G 29 45°F 32°F25°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 16 mi58 min 45°F 45°F1011.7 hPa
MHRN6 16 mi58 min W 18 G 28
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 25 mi98 min W 19 G 31 45°F 2 ft26°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi58 min WNW 25 G 32 44°F 44°F1012.1 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 37 mi48 min WNW 27 G 33 46°F 1011.8 hPa31°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ1 mi37 minW 21 G 2910.00 miA Few Clouds and Breezy45°F19°F37%1011.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY6 mi37 minW 13 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F19°F38%1011.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY9 mi37 minWNW 22 G 3210.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy45°F19°F37%1011.4 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ12 mi37 minW 22 G 2910.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy45°F21°F40%1012.1 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ13 mi35 minW 11 G 1810.00 miOvercast46°F21°F37%1012.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY19 mi37 minW 20 G 2910.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy46°F23°F40%1012 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ21 mi43 minWNW 16 G 3010.00 miMostly Cloudy43°F26°F53%1012.5 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY23 mi92 minW 15 G 3010.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F19°F38%1009.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTEB

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN5N4Calm4NE6NE4N3NE5NE8N6N5N5N7N4N3N4N4N5N3NE4CalmE3Calm4
2 days agoSE44S5S7SW4SW3S3W6CalmCalmN5N3N3N3N5N6N6N6NE5CalmN3N3NE4NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Little Ferry, New Jersey
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Little Ferry
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:18 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:15 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:48 AM EST     6.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:09 PM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:09 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.84.33.11.60.50.10.21.12.64.25.45.965.64.42.71.10.1-0.3-012.43.74.4

Tide / Current Tables for George Washington Bridge (Hudson River), New York Current
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George Washington Bridge (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:30 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:54 AM EST     -2.09 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:13 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:15 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:52 AM EST     2.04 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:04 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:31 PM EST     -2.43 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:18 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:25 PM EST     1.50 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.5-0.5-1.4-1.9-2.1-1.7-1-0.20.81.721.71.10.1-1.1-1.9-2.4-2.4-1.8-1.1-0.30.71.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.