Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sands Point, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 6:06PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 5:43 PM EDT (21:43 UTC) Moonrise 12:17AMMoonset 3:15PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 335 Pm Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt late. Seas around 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain or drizzle early this evening, then rain late this evening and overnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of rain.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 335 Pm Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front pushes through the region tonight followed by high pressure building in from the southwest. A frontal system may impact the area late Friday into Saturday, with another stronger one possible by the end of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sands Point, NY
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location: 40.87, -73.75     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221945
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
345 pm edt Tue oct 22 2019

Synopsis
A cold front pushes through the region tonight followed by high
pressure building in from the southwest. A cold front pushes
through the region tonight followed by high pressure building
in from the southwest.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
An upper-level trough and associated occluded surface low pressure
system will move its way northeastward into ontario through tonight.

A cold front will push in from the west further increasing moisture
ahead of it bringing a period of widespread rainfall tonight. The
steadiest rain will occur between 00z and 06z, tapering off from
west to east after 06z and clearing eastern long island and
southeastern connecticut by early Wednesday morning. Rainfall
amounts will be on average between 0.50 and 0.75 inches, with the
higher amounts to the north and west of nyc.

Low temperatures will be a few degrees above normal, in the upper
40s across the interior and in the 50s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
The cold front pushes through by early morning with dry air
filtering in quickly behind resulting in a mostly sunny day. It will
also be breezy as high pressure builds in from the southwest and low
pressure departs. With ample sunshine, temperatures will warm a few
degrees above normal, into the low to mid 60s.

Mainly clear sky expected for Wednesday night, with winds
diminishing and temperatures cooling off into the upper 30s across
the interior and the pine barrens of long island. Elsewhere
temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s and around 50 across
the nyc metro.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Sunny with highs in the low to mid 60s on Thursday with high
pressure centered southeast of the forecast area. The nbm was used
for temperatures. A clipper type system is then possible for late
Friday into Saturday. The ECMWF remains consistent with this
feature. A blend of the model data was used for precipitation
probabilities, which were capped at chance. The GFS would produce
less rain. The nbm was used for high temperatures Friday and
Saturday, with the consmos used at night. A chance of rain returns
Sunday and Monday due to a southern stream upper low and gulf of
mexico moisture. The GFS is now spinning up a surface low south of
the area on Sunday, producing a wind driven rain. The forecast has
been trended in this direction with support from the 12z ecmwf. A
large upper trough then approaches for the beginning of next week.

Chances for rain have been included in the forecast with the
possibility of falling heights. The nbm with minor adjustments was
used for temperatures.

Aviation 20z Tuesday through Sunday
Low pressure system and a cold front approach this evening and
move across the region overnight.

MVFR ifr conditions have overspread the region and will remain
in place through much of the TAF period. We will generally see
ceiling heights between 500-1500 ft for much of the evening
with widespread ifr or lower ceilings developing.

Light drizzle and showers have begun to develop at all terminals
and will become more widespread during the afternoon into the
evening. A more steady rain is likely overnight into early
Wednesday.

Ne-n winds averaging around 5-10kt. Winds veer more ene late
afternoon and evening. Southerly winds prior to the frontal
passage will be possible in the late evening. Winds become
northerly behind the cold front between 06-12z Wednesday and
westerly by Wednesday afternoon with gusts near 20kt possible.

Conditions start to improve after 09z as the front crosses the
region and drier air moves into the area.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 1 mi43 min E 12 G 14 59°F 32°F59°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 4 mi55 min SSE 5.1 G 8 59°F 61°F1013.3 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 11 mi58 min E 16 G 19 60°F 3 ft58°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 18 mi55 min 60°F 61°F1012.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi55 min ESE 16 G 21 60°F 1012.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 26 mi55 min 60°F 61°F1012.4 hPa
MHRN6 27 mi55 min E 15 G 23
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 31 mi55 min ESE 13 G 19 60°F 58°F1012.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 35 mi43 min E 19 G 25 61°F 62°F1012.1 hPa (-2.2)60°F
44069 37 mi103 min E 16 G 21 58°F 56°F56°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 37 mi67 min E 14 G 19 58°F 60°F1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY9 mi52 minESE 102.00 miLight Drizzle Fog/Mist60°F57°F90%1012.6 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY13 mi52 minVar 35.00 miFog/Mist60°F57°F93%1012.5 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY15 mi1.8 hrsE 11 G 190.50 miDrizzle Fog56°F55°F100%1013 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY15 mi52 minE 16 G 212.00 miFog/Mist59°F59°F100%1013 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ16 mi52 minVar 61.50 miLight Drizzle Fog/Mist60°F57°F93%1012.2 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY20 mi50 minE 12 G 1910.00 miOvercast59°F55°F87%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLGA

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7SW5S3W4CalmE6E7E5E8E6E7NE3E8E6E8E8NE6E9E9E11E12E14E11E10
1 day agoNE9E8E10E8NE12NE12N10NE12N10N10N9N9N8N8N6NE8NE13NE11NE11NE8NE7--NE6NE7
2 days agoS7S9S4SW5S5S4S5S4S7SW4CalmE4NE5CalmN3NE5NE7NE7NE6NE5NE6NE7NE9E8

Tide / Current Tables for Davids Island, New York
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Davids Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:03 AM EDT     7.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:15 PM EDT     1.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:24 PM EDT     7.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.634.96.67.16.86.35.33.521.41.41.82.74.56.47.47.46.964.52.5

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:13 AM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:33 PM EDT     0.92 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:09 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:45 PM EDT     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:23 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.90.60.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.10.20.40.80.90.40-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.