Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aquebogue, NY
February 19, 2025 12:55 PM EST (17:55 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:37 AM Sunset 5:32 PM Moonrise 12:47 AM Moonset 10:31 AM |
ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 1211 Pm Est Wed Feb 19 2025
This afternoon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 4 seconds. Chance of light freezing spray early.
Tonight - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 4 seconds, becoming nw 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of snow showers in the morning, then chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds. Chance of snow showers in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri - NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Fri night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds.
Sat - W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1211 Pm Est Wed Feb 19 2025
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Deepening low pressure across the southeast this afternoon and evening tracks off the coast well south and east of the area tonight through Thursday night. A large dome of high pressure over the mid section of the country on Friday will build in through the weekend. A series of clipper lows will then approach from the great lakes early next week.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
South Jamesport Click for Map Wed -- 04:12 AM EST 2.46 feet High Tide Wed -- 06:38 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 09:32 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 11:17 AM EST 0.38 feet Low Tide Wed -- 04:33 PM EST 1.83 feet High Tide Wed -- 05:29 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 11:17 PM EST 0.50 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
South Jamesport, Gt. Peconic Bay, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
1.4 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
2.3 |
4 am |
2.5 |
5 am |
2.4 |
6 am |
2.1 |
7 am |
1.7 |
8 am |
1.3 |
9 am |
1 |
10 am |
0.6 |
11 am |
0.4 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1.3 |
3 pm |
1.6 |
4 pm |
1.8 |
5 pm |
1.8 |
6 pm |
1.6 |
7 pm |
1.3 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
0.9 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.5 |
Shinnecock Canal Click for Map Wed -- 01:40 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 04:52 AM EST -1.16 knots Max Ebb Wed -- 06:38 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 08:47 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 09:31 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 10:54 AM EST 0.86 knots Max Flood Wed -- 01:46 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 05:01 PM EST -1.08 knots Max Ebb Wed -- 05:29 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 08:42 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Wed -- 11:17 PM EST 1.14 knots Max Flood Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current, knots
12 am |
0.9 |
1 am |
0.5 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.8 |
4 am |
-1.1 |
5 am |
-1.2 |
6 am |
-1 |
7 am |
-0.7 |
8 am |
-0.4 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.9 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.4 |
2 pm |
-0.1 |
3 pm |
-0.7 |
4 pm |
-1 |
5 pm |
-1.1 |
6 pm |
-1 |
7 pm |
-0.6 |
8 pm |
-0.3 |
9 pm |
0.1 |
10 pm |
0.8 |
11 pm |
1.1 |
Area Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 191733 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1233 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
Deepening low pressure across the southeast this afternoon and evening tracks off the coast well south and east of the area tonight through Thursday night. Thereafter, a large dome of high pressure over the mid section of the country builds in through the weekend. A series of clipper lows will then approach from the Great Lakes early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast on track through this evening.
The pressure gradient continues to weaken this afternoon allowing the winds to slowly weaken for the rest of the daytime hours. A piece of the strong 1050 mb high centered over the Central US will build in from the Mid Atlantic into this evening. Temperatures will remain sub freezing this afternoon.
Forecast highs are in the upper 20s to around 30. While winds weaken, wind chills will still make it feel like it is in the teens to around 20 this afternoon. High clouds will overspread the area making for partly to mostly cloudy conditions at times into the evening.
Low pressure develops across the southeast pushes off the coast tonight well south and east of the area. Expecting conditions to remain dry overnight with the thickest clouds closer to the coast.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Guidance continues to point towards deepening low pressure tracking well south and east of the region Thursday, with little to no snowfall locally the most likely scenario. The only exception may be across far eastern Long Island, mainly the South Fork, where a light snowfall remains an unlikely, but possible, solution.
Perhaps more likely than from the surface low, potential exists for snow showers to develop as the vigorous parent upper low passes over the region into Thursday evening. Moisture convergence along a weak inverted trough extending back from the surface low may also aid this possibility with additional lift.
Hi res CAMs hint at isolated to scattered snow showers moving thru late day and during the evening hours. Any activity that does develop is expected to be light, and accumulation, if any, is likely limited to a coating at best in areas that do see precip. Otherwise, overcast Thursday night into Friday morning with temperatures in the teens and 20s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
* A gradual warmup into early next week.
A departing storm system over the north Atlantic will be followed by a confluent, progressive upper flow across the eastern half of the country. This will allow strong high pressure (1040mb+) centered over the mid section of the country on Friday to build east and gradually weaken through the weekend. A gusty NW flow can be expected on Friday between the departing low and building high, with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. The high passes to the south Sunday into Monday. A series of mid level shortwaves then drop out of the Canadian Rockies, sending clipper lows out of the Great Lakes and into the Northeast early next week. There is a low chance of rain and/or snow during this time. There are some small timing differences early next week and for the most part stayed close to the National Blend of Models.
Temperatures during this time period will start out 5-10 degrees below normal, but gradually warm up through the weekend and into early next week. By next Tuesday, expecting readings about 5-8 degrees above normal, with highs in the mid 40s to around 50, and lows in the 30s.
AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Low pressure passes well south and east of the area Thursday.
An upper level low will cross the area Thursday evening and may bring scattered snow showers to the terminals.
VFR through most of the TAF period as a mid level deck overspreads the region and lowers. Prob30 for light snow showers after 22z Thu. MVFR possible.
WNW winds mostly left of 310 magnetic at 10-15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt will begin to diminish this evening. Winds then become NW-N tonight at less than 10 kt and around 10 kt on Thursday.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled amendments are expected.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY
18Z Thursday: Chance MVFR or lower in light snow mainly for the terminals E of the NYC metros During the evening hours, otherwise VFR. NW winds G20-25kt at night.
Friday: VFR. NW winds G20-25 kt.
Saturday and Sunday: VFR.
Monday
Mainly VFR
slight chance of MVFR in showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds continue to subside this afternoon. Thereafter, sub SCA conditions persist tonight through Thursday with lighter flow and seas. Light freezing spray remains possible everywhere through this morning as well.
Small Craft Advisory conditions likely return Thursday night into Friday in the wake of deepening offshore low pressure as it tracks northeast into the North Atlantic. SCA conditions continue through Friday for all waters, then will be limited to mainly the ocean through Friday night. Sub advisory conditions then prevail through the upcoming weekend with a weaker pressure gradient as a high pressure ridge is followed by a weak trough.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts are expected through the week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Low water conditions gradually improve with lightening winds, but water levels during low tides today may still run 1 to 1.5 ft below MLLW along parts of the Western LI Sound and the Peconic and Gardiners Bays.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1233 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
Deepening low pressure across the southeast this afternoon and evening tracks off the coast well south and east of the area tonight through Thursday night. Thereafter, a large dome of high pressure over the mid section of the country builds in through the weekend. A series of clipper lows will then approach from the Great Lakes early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast on track through this evening.
The pressure gradient continues to weaken this afternoon allowing the winds to slowly weaken for the rest of the daytime hours. A piece of the strong 1050 mb high centered over the Central US will build in from the Mid Atlantic into this evening. Temperatures will remain sub freezing this afternoon.
Forecast highs are in the upper 20s to around 30. While winds weaken, wind chills will still make it feel like it is in the teens to around 20 this afternoon. High clouds will overspread the area making for partly to mostly cloudy conditions at times into the evening.
Low pressure develops across the southeast pushes off the coast tonight well south and east of the area. Expecting conditions to remain dry overnight with the thickest clouds closer to the coast.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Guidance continues to point towards deepening low pressure tracking well south and east of the region Thursday, with little to no snowfall locally the most likely scenario. The only exception may be across far eastern Long Island, mainly the South Fork, where a light snowfall remains an unlikely, but possible, solution.
Perhaps more likely than from the surface low, potential exists for snow showers to develop as the vigorous parent upper low passes over the region into Thursday evening. Moisture convergence along a weak inverted trough extending back from the surface low may also aid this possibility with additional lift.
Hi res CAMs hint at isolated to scattered snow showers moving thru late day and during the evening hours. Any activity that does develop is expected to be light, and accumulation, if any, is likely limited to a coating at best in areas that do see precip. Otherwise, overcast Thursday night into Friday morning with temperatures in the teens and 20s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
* A gradual warmup into early next week.
A departing storm system over the north Atlantic will be followed by a confluent, progressive upper flow across the eastern half of the country. This will allow strong high pressure (1040mb+) centered over the mid section of the country on Friday to build east and gradually weaken through the weekend. A gusty NW flow can be expected on Friday between the departing low and building high, with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. The high passes to the south Sunday into Monday. A series of mid level shortwaves then drop out of the Canadian Rockies, sending clipper lows out of the Great Lakes and into the Northeast early next week. There is a low chance of rain and/or snow during this time. There are some small timing differences early next week and for the most part stayed close to the National Blend of Models.
Temperatures during this time period will start out 5-10 degrees below normal, but gradually warm up through the weekend and into early next week. By next Tuesday, expecting readings about 5-8 degrees above normal, with highs in the mid 40s to around 50, and lows in the 30s.
AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Low pressure passes well south and east of the area Thursday.
An upper level low will cross the area Thursday evening and may bring scattered snow showers to the terminals.
VFR through most of the TAF period as a mid level deck overspreads the region and lowers. Prob30 for light snow showers after 22z Thu. MVFR possible.
WNW winds mostly left of 310 magnetic at 10-15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt will begin to diminish this evening. Winds then become NW-N tonight at less than 10 kt and around 10 kt on Thursday.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled amendments are expected.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY
18Z Thursday: Chance MVFR or lower in light snow mainly for the terminals E of the NYC metros During the evening hours, otherwise VFR. NW winds G20-25kt at night.
Friday: VFR. NW winds G20-25 kt.
Saturday and Sunday: VFR.
Monday
Mainly VFR
slight chance of MVFR in showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds continue to subside this afternoon. Thereafter, sub SCA conditions persist tonight through Thursday with lighter flow and seas. Light freezing spray remains possible everywhere through this morning as well.
Small Craft Advisory conditions likely return Thursday night into Friday in the wake of deepening offshore low pressure as it tracks northeast into the North Atlantic. SCA conditions continue through Friday for all waters, then will be limited to mainly the ocean through Friday night. Sub advisory conditions then prevail through the upcoming weekend with a weaker pressure gradient as a high pressure ridge is followed by a weak trough.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts are expected through the week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Low water conditions gradually improve with lightening winds, but water levels during low tides today may still run 1 to 1.5 ft below MLLW along parts of the Western LI Sound and the Peconic and Gardiners Bays.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 30 mi | 56 min | NW 11G | 24°F | 32°F | 30.25 | ||
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY | 34 mi | 56 min | 26°F | 33°F | 30.16 | |||
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 36 mi | 56 min | NNW 5.1G | 26°F | 30.22 | |||
NLHC3 | 40 mi | 56 min | 26°F | 38°F | 30.19 |
Wind History for New Haven, CT
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFOK
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFOK
Wind History Graph: FOK
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of north east
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Upton, NY,

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