Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Centre Island, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:40PM Saturday August 24, 2019 7:59 AM EDT (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 2:53PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 612 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 612 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south and east of the local area through the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Centre Island, NY
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location: 40.94, -73.51     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241121
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
721 am edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across
the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south
and east of the local area through the middle of next week, followed
by a slow moving cold front during the second half of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Updated to capture the latest observational trends, otherwise
the forecast remains on track.

High pressure builds to the north today while a trough lingers
across the area aloft. With a significantly drier airmass in place,
this should result in mostly sunny and pleasant conditions with
just a few fair weather clouds. Highs will range from the mid
70s to around 80.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday
High pressure settles over maine Saturday night, allowing east to
northeast flow to become established across the region. While
Saturday night is expected to remain dry, clouds will begin to
increase as the low levels moisten. By Sunday morning, light rain
and drizzle is possible, primarily across coastal areas. While an
increase in cloud cover is expected farther inland across northeast
new jersey and the lower hudson valley, conditions there should
generally remain dry.

High temperatures on Sunday are expected to remain several degrees
below normal for late august, only topping out in the mid 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at atlantic
ocean beaches on Sunday.

Long term Sunday night through Friday
As the high gradually drifts to the east, light rain and or drizzle
could linger into Sunday night for some locations, with clouds
lingering into the day on Monday under persistent east to northeast
flow.

Attention then turns to the potential for tropical development off
the southeast coast and a slow moving cold front that approaches the
region during the mid to late week period. At this time, any
potential tropical system would bring mainly indirect impacts to the
region as global models continue to be in good agreement with this
system passing well south and east of the area. For the local area,
this could result in the potential for coastal flooding and
dangerous rip currents, depending on the exact strength and track of
the system. See the tides and coastal flooding section for more
details on the coastal flood potential.

A cold front then approaches the region late Wednesday, moving
slowly through the area on Thursday. While differences remain,
models are in much better agreement with respect to the timing of
this system than 24 hours ago. High pressure builds in for Thursday
night into Friday.

After below normal temperatures again on Monday, near normal
temperatures are expected through the remainder of the long term
period, with highs generally in the lower 80s and overnight lows
falling into the mid 60s to around 70.

Aviation 12z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure over the great lakes builds to the north of the
terminals this weekend.

Vfr through much of the TAF period. There is a chance for MVFR
ceilings near the coast early Sunday morning.

Ne winds around 10 kt through the day. There could be few gusts
15-20 kt through 15z, mainly at the coast. There is also a low
chance for a SE sea breeze at jfk, isp, bdr and gon in the late
afternoon or early evening. NE winds continue tonight at 5-10
kt.

Outlook for 12z Sunday through Wednesday
Sunday MVFR possible, with a slight chance of light rain or
drizzle. NE gusts 20-25 kt possible along the coast.

Monday MainlyVFR. NE gusts 20 kt along the coast.

Tuesday MainlyVFR. Slight chance of showers.

Wednesday Chance of MVFR in afternoon showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

Marine
A prolonged period of SCA conditions is possible Sunday into
the middle of the next week. Initially, with high pressure to
the north strong northeasterly flow sets up Sunday into Monday,
with gusts of 25-30 kt on the ocean and seas building to 4 to 6
ft. Waves are then likely to remain above 5 ft on the ocean
waters through the mid-week period as a tropical cyclone
potentially develops and tracks south and east of the waters.

Wave heights and wind gusts remain uncertain at this time due to
the uncertainty in the exact track and strength of the storm.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the middle of next
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will increase tide levels over
the next several days. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday and Tuesday afternoon evening high tides along the south
shore back bays of queens and nassau counties.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Feb
near term... Feb
short term... Feb
long term... Feb jp
aviation... Ds
marine... Feb
hydrology... Feb
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi59 min ENE 9.9 G 15 65°F 74°F1021.5 hPa (+2.0)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 24 mi65 min N 2.9 G 5.1 61°F 74°F1020.2 hPa
44069 28 mi59 min N 9.7 G 16 67°F 77°F58°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 31 mi59 min 66°F 76°F1020.9 hPa (+2.1)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 35 mi59 min N 11 G 13 65°F 1020.8 hPa (+2.2)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 40 mi65 min 65°F 76°F1021 hPa
MHRN6 40 mi65 min N 12 G 14
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 40 mi65 min NE 6 G 12 61°F 74°F1020.1 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 41 mi39 min NNE 18 G 21 68°F 72°F1020.2 hPa58°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 42 mi59 min NNE 7 G 15 67°F 77°F1020.9 hPa (+2.2)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY15 mi66 minNNE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F54°F73%1020.3 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY15 mi63 minWNW 510.00 miFair58°F54°F87%1020.8 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY23 mi68 minN 510.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F53°F66%1020.7 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY24 mi63 minN 610.00 miA Few Clouds64°F55°F73%1020.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY24 mi68 minN 810.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F57°F78%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--N8N6N5N6N6NE7N6N7N6N4NW4N4N5--------N7NE7N7N7N7N9
1 day agoW7NW73W7W9NW6
G15
SW9SW10S10SW13W5--S6------W4--NW4--N10N7NE5NE9
2 days ago----SW12SW14
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Tide / Current Tables for Bayville Bridge, Oyster Bay, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:08 AM EDT     0.84 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:13 AM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 09:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:34 PM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:46 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.58 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:05 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.80.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.20.10.20.40.70.70.3-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.6-0.4-00.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.