Wednesday, February19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Alpine, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 5:35PM Wednesday February 19, 2020 1:20 AM EST (06:20 UTC) Moonrise 5:22AMMoonset 2:45PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1251 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from noon est today through this evening...
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. Slight chance of light rain. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt early. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1251 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak cold front, approaching from the west, will move through the forecast waters overnight. A secondary cold front passes by Wednesday afternoon. High pressure will then slowly build in through Friday, passing south this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alpine , NJ
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location: 40.95, -73.92     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 190600 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 100 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. A warm front approaching from the south will lift into the area during the evening as weak low pressure develops along it. A weak cold front will follow later tonight, followed by a secondary cold frontal passage by Wednesday afternoon. High pressure will then slowly build in through Friday, passing south this weekend. Low pressure will approach on Monday and pass nearby on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Visibility across the forecast area has improved over the last couple of hours, with no observations reporting dense fog. Therefore, the Special Weather Statement for patchy dense fog will be allowed to expire at 1 am. There may still be some patchy fog across the area, with the highest probability of patchy fog across Long Island, but the patchy fog will no longer be dense, especially as the cold front moves through and a more northerly flow develops allowing a drier air mass to infiltrate the area.

A cold front was moving into the lower Hudson Valley into northeastern Pennsylvania and then through south central Pennsylvania at 02Z. Precipitation has become more scattered as best forcing has moved north of the region, into upstate New York and Massachusetts. Updated probabilities to better reflect this. The cold front will likely pass through later tonight, and track east as it falls apart. The forecast challenge remains warm frontal progression, as weak low pressure along the front has moved to off of the New England coast.

Temperatures will be quite tricky. LI could see temps rise some, if the warm front lifts. Eventually, temperatures fall behind the cold front into the 30s.

Any rainfall is light, just a few hundredths.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. Skies quickly clear daytime Wed, with a secondary cold frontal passage expected by afternoon. Gusty NW flow in the morning could briefly lull right ahead of this secondary passage, then ramp up again to 15-20 mph with gusts 30-35 mph in the afternoon. High temps in the 40s to near 50 expected per blend of MOS and adjusted model soundings, with deep mixing winning out initially over CAA in the afternoon as far as temps are concerned.

Mostly clear/cold conditions expected Wed night, with gusty NW flow. Since winds may not decouple if at all until late, sided with the slightly less colder side of the MOS guidance for lows, with 15-20 inland and 20-25 for NYC metro and the coast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. Tranquil weather expected through the weekend, with cold temperatures to start, then moderating temperatures over the weekend and into next week.

Sprawling high pressure will slowly build Thursday and Friday. Ahead of the upper level trough, low pressure passes well south and east of the area Thursday night, and any precipitation associated with the offshore low remains suppressed well to the south and east.

Clouds move through Thursday ahead of the trough, but no precipitation is expected.

Few if any clouds are forecast Friday through the weekend behind the trough. Northern stream shortwave passes well north on Saturday.

Then attention turns to a southern stream shortwave that will move across the middle portion of the country Sunday and Monday. Another northern stream shortwave passes well to the north, and does not appear to phase with the southern stream shortwave that remains weak and approaches the area from the west. Clouds will increase late Sunday or Sunday night ahead of sfc low and warm front. Weak cold front extending south from northern stream system approaches during this time, but main impacts will be with the southern stream shortwave. Best chance for overrunning rain at this time appears to be later Monday/Monday night and early Tuesday based on timing from 12Z operational runs of global models. Do not see much of a wintry mix with this system, but do have some mix well across the NW interior Monday night. Much depends on eventual boundary and sfc layer temps.

AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front moving through the area will be to the east around 09Z. High pressure then builds in from the west through Wednesday night.

VFR. There is a chance of IFR conditions 06Z to 09Z until drier air moves in behind the cold front.

Winds will be NW overnight into early Wednesday morning less than 10 kt. Then around mid morning Wednesday, 14Z to 15Z, NW winds increase to around 15 kt with gusts 20 to 25 kt. Occasional higher gusts will be possible especially during the afternoon. Wind direction will be frequently around 310 magnetic into late afternoon.

Winds and gusts begin to diminish late in the day. winds NW winds below 10 kt and gusts ending early Wednesday evening.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Late Wednesday night through Sunday. VFR.

MARINE. SCA continues on all ocean waters into daytime Wed, and has been extended out east into Wed evening. SCA also issued for the remaining waters for Wed afternoon.

Seas continue to run 1-2 ft above model guidance, and should peak at 6-8 ft this evening, not falling below 5 ft on the ocean til late day Wed or Wed evening. NW flow after a secondary cold frontal passage should then lead to winds gusting to 25 kt on the near shore waters Wed afternoon.

Ahead of building high pressure, persistent NW winds Wed night- Thu veer to the N/NW by Friday. The pressure gradient may tighten slightly Thu night as low pressure passes well to the SE, thus a slight increase in wind speeds is possible.

Winds eventually back to the W-NW early this weekend, then SW late this weekend as high pressure builds and settles to the south.

Seas should remain below 5 ft on the ocean waters late Wed night through Sunday, and 2 ft or less elsewhere.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts expected attm.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from noon today to 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ353- 355. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for ANZ350.

SYNOPSIS . Goodman/PW NEAR TERM . Goodman/JP/PW SHORT TERM . Goodman LONG TERM . PW AVIATION . 19 MARINE . Goodman/PW HYDROLOGY . Goodman/PW EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 11 mi50 min S 1.9 G 3.9 40°F 32°F40°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi50 min W 1 G 1 42°F 41°F1016.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 18 mi80 min SSW 7.8 G 7.8 40°F 1 ft39°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 18 mi50 min 45°F 41°F1016.3 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi50 min W 6 G 7 45°F 1016.2 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 25 mi50 min 44°F 41°F1016.4 hPa
MHRN6 25 mi50 min WSW 6 G 7
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 34 mi50 min WNW 8 G 8 43°F 41°F1016.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 42 mi30 min W 5.8 G 7.8 43°F 5 ft1016.6 hPa42°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 42 mi50 min WSW 1.9 G 5.1 40°F 39°F1015 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ9 mi29 minSW 55.00 miFog/Mist42°F39°F89%1016 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY12 mi29 minWNW 89.00 miOvercast46°F42°F86%1015.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY12 mi29 minWSW 68.00 miOvercast46°F41°F83%1016 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY14 mi84 minWNW 46.00 miFog/Mist39°F37°F96%1015.7 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ20 mi27 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist44°F42°F93%1016.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi29 minWSW 510.00 miOvercast46°F42°F86%1016.3 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi29 minWSW 67.00 miOvercast45°F43°F93%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTEB

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5E7E54E7E4E55E4E4E7NE5E4NE6NE5NE4NE3N4NE4NW5NW3W4S4SW5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW10NW7556CalmNW10
G16
CalmNW3NE3NE5NE3NE4--NE3NE3E6
2 days agoSW8SW8SW4SW6SW8SW6SW6S7S7SW85SW6SW8SW7W6W4CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Alpine, New Jersey, Hudson River, New York
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Alpine
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:10 AM EST     3.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:32 PM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:45 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:42 PM EST     3.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.61.52.333.63.83.73.12.41.60.80.10.10.61.42.12.73.13.22.82.21.50.9

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:57 AM EST     0.88 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:37 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:24 AM EST     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 12:04 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:45 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:23 PM EST     0.91 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:10 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:52 PM EST     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.60.90.60.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.2-00.40.90.80.50.20-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.