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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shelter Island Heights, NY

July 14, 2025 9:03 PM EDT (01:03 UTC)
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Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 10:45 PM   Moonset 9:23 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 319 Pm Edt Mon Jul 14 2025

Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms late this evening and overnight.

Tue - S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Tue night - SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Wed - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of tstms.

Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri night - NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat - E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat night - S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 319 Pm Edt Mon Jul 14 2025

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A weak front approaching from the west will move through tonight and remain nearby as a bermuda high remains anchored well offshore. The boundary will lift north by Thursday, with an attendant cold front following into late week. Behind it, high pressure will attempt to build in this weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shelter Island Heights, NY
   
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Tide / Current for Greenport, Long Island Sound, New York
  
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Greenport
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Mon -- 01:10 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:50 PM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:03 PM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Greenport, Long Island Sound, New York does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Greenport, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.9
2
am
2.8
3
am
2.4
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.1
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.2
9
am
0.4
10
am
1
11
am
1.7
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
2.5
2
pm
2.6
3
pm
2.4
4
pm
1.9
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
1.7

Tide / Current for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
  
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Shinnecock Canal
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Mon -- 12:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:36 AM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:13 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:42 AM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:51 PM EDT     -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:59 PM EDT     1.45 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current, knots
12
am
0.3
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-1.2
3
am
-1.6
4
am
-1.7
5
am
-1.3
6
am
-0.7
7
am
-0.2
8
am
0.6
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.1
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
-0.2
2
pm
-0.9
3
pm
-1.4
4
pm
-1.5
5
pm
-1.2
6
pm
-0.7
7
pm
-0.1
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.3

Area Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 150013 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 813 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

SYNOPSIS
A weak front approaching from the west will move through tonight and remain nearby as a Bermuda high remains anchored well offshore. The boundary will lift north by Thursday, with an attendant cold front following into late week. Behind it, high pressure will attempt to build in this weekend.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/ Flood Watch remains in effect through midnight for NE NJ, the lower Hudson Valley, NYC, and SW CT.

Convection appears be more outflow dominant over the past hour or so with a somewhat faster forward propagation east compared to earlier this afternoon. Several flash flood warnings have been issued with locally 4-6 inch rainfall totals in the hardest hit areas, and additional warnings could be issued, although less likely as we head through the next hour or two.

Seasonably warm and very muggy conditions will prevail through tonight, with low temps from the upper 60s well inland to the mid 70s invof NYC.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
AM showers/tstms still possible Tue morning from NYC metro east with the front still in the vicinity, then a chance for late day showers/tstms from NYC north/west in the afternoon with a subtle sfc trough still in the vicinity and a mid level shortwave trough approaching. This activity should be on the weaker side with instability much more limited and wind fields aloft weak.

Of more concern will be increasing heat/humidity. High temps on Tue should reach the upper 80s/lower 90s from NYC north/west, with mid 80s elsewhere. Combined with dewpoints in the upper 60s/lower 70s this could yield heat index values of 95-99 for much of NE NJ and also parts of the lower Hudson Valley and the CT river valley. A short fused heat advisory might be needed for some or all of these areas.

Low temps Tue night should range once again from the upper 60s well inland, to the mid 70s in the NYC metro area and western Long Island.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Key Points:

* Increasing likelihood for heat indices to exceed 95F Wednesday through Friday across much of the region.

* Unsettled pattern with chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms into late week.

The weakening frontal boundary lingers nearby into midweek as sprawling high pressure remains anchored well out in the Atlantic. SW flow helps usher in additional warm, moist air, and temperatures nudge upwards. While nothing remarkable for mid July, temperatures Wed through Fri likely top the upper 80s to lower 90s for most, and with dew pts progged at least into the upper 60s and lower 70s, heat indices should achieve mid to upper 90s, with the hottest locales exceeding 100F. Heat headlines will likely be needed as we move closer.

One caveat may be the unsettled pattern, with showers and thunderstorms possible each afternoon through late week with nearby frontal boundaries, though the overall severe risk appears low. However, deep layer moisture should keep PWATs near or above 2 inches, and with it, the potential for higher rainfall rates with any convective activity.

Conditions potentially begin to settle into at least the start of the weekend behind a cold fropa, as high pressure attempts to build in from the Great Lakes.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A weak cold front remains over the region through Tuesday.

Showers and thunderstorms expected to weaken over the next few hours as they slowly shift east, ending by the Tuesday morning push. Mainly VFR/MVFR for tonight, but some IFR in showers/tstms, as well as east of the city terminals. VFR for Tuesday outside any possible showers/tstms.

Winds variable in/near thunderstorms with gusts up to 30 kt still possible until approx 01-02z. Light and variable winds overnight, becoming S-SSW 5-10kt Tuesday.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
TSTM chances may end an hour or two before indicated in TAFs.
MVFR could prevail all night - low confidence in flight category forecast tonight/early Tuesday morning.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday Night: VFR during the afternoon/evening with a chance of a shower/thunderstorm. MVFR or lower possible, especially east of NYC metro at night.

Wednesday-Friday: MVFR or lower in any afternoon/evening showers/thunderstorms.

Saturday: Mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
SW flow increasing to over 15 kt could build seas close to 5 ft on the outer ocean waters E of Fire Island Inlet Thu night.
Otherwise, afternoon/evening showers/tstms through the period could produce locally higher winds/seas at times.

HYDROLOGY
Flood Watch remains in effect until midnight for NE NJ, the lower Hudson Valley, NYC, and SW CT.

Additional flash flood warnings could be issued this evening.
Rainfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour still being observed early this evening, mainly from NYC and eastward.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
The rip current risk is low through Tuesday, with a 10 kt or less onshore flow and weakening S-SE swell.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for CTZ005-006-009.
NY...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ067>075-176-178.
NJ...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108.
MARINE...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 21 mi45 min 70°F30.05
NLHC3 25 mi45 min 68°F30.05
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 33 mi45 minWNW 4.1G5.1 76°F30.07
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 45 mi45 minW 1.9G6 74°F30.03


Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY 21 sm10 minS 0510 smOvercast75°F75°F100%30.09
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 23 sm9 minvar 03--79°F72°F79%30.08
KSNC CHESTER,CT 24 sm8 minvar 0410 smMostly Cloudy75°F75°F100%30.08

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east  
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Upton, NY,





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