Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Monterey, IN
March 28, 2024 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:32 AM Sunset 8:07 PM Moonrise 10:51 PM Moonset 7:55 AM |
LMZ046 Expires:202403290215;;778882 Fzus53 Kiwx 282024 Nshiwx
nearshore marine forecast national weather service northern indiana 424 pm edt Thu mar 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
lmz043-046-290215- new buffalo mi to st joseph mi-michigan city in to new buffalo mi- 424 pm edt Thu mar 28 2024
Tonight - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday - North winds 10 knots or less. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday - South winds around 10 knots becoming northwest. Showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 43 degrees and at michigan city is 41 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service northern indiana 424 pm edt Thu mar 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
lmz043-046-290215- new buffalo mi to st joseph mi-michigan city in to new buffalo mi- 424 pm edt Thu mar 28 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 43 degrees and at michigan city is 41 degrees.
LMZ005
No data
No data
Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KIWX 281815 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 215 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
* Warming continues into tomorrow with highs mid 50s to mid 60s
* Showers and chances for storms Friday night into Saturday morning
* Several rounds of rain and storms expected late Sunday through Tuesday. Hydro concerns may arise during this time
DISCUSSION
Issued at 215 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Tonight into Friday will feature mainly dry and warmer wx as upper ridging expands over the Central US. There remaind non-zero chances for a few sprinkles/showers tonight south of US 30 as a weak mid level impulse tops a developing baroclinic zone lifting into these areas. The weak forcing in conjunction with a very dry sub-cloud layer doesn't bode well for anything more than a 10-20% type PoP. Friday will be a pleasant late March day with low amplitude ridging through the column. The frontal zone does linger in the vicinity with highs mid-upper 50s north to the low-mid 60s south.
A periodically active/wet pattern will become established Friday night through Tuesday as moisture streams northward into an oscillating west-east oriented frontal zone. This will occur under a series of mid level impulses that will eject east in advance of a deep Western CONUS longwave trough modeled to release east through the local area by Tuesday.
The first modest shortwave and associated moisture convergence on the nose of a ~50 kt low level jet will bring showers and chances for elevated convection Friday night as a sfc frontal wave likely tracks east near the MI border. No severe threat with this wave, though wouldn't be surprised if there is some small hail and locally heavy rainfall rates. Shower/storm intensity and coverage then wanes from west to east mid morning through early afternoon on Saturday as the frontal wave shifts off to the east. This will force the frontal zone south toward the OH River by Saturday night and Sunday morning with mainly dry and slightly cooler conditions anticipated.
The baroclinic zone will become increasingly active Sunday night through Tuesday as the approaching upper trough takes on a positive tilt with low pressure tracking east through the OH Valley by later Monday and Tuesday. Rounds of rain and embedded thunder are likely in this regime, especially given the abundance of moisture getting pulled north into the frontal system. At this range models continue to differ on where exactly the axis of heavier rain and potential hydro issues will set up (overhead or just south). Current projections also favor areas to the south for strong/severe convection Monday into Tuesday, though this and heavy rainfall will need to be monitored in the coming days.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 105 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Current GOES satellite imagery and METARs depict some mid level clouds around 6-7 kft this afternoon. These clouds should linger through the evening, especially at KFWA. However, VFR conditions prevail throughout the TAF forecast period. A few gusts between 15-20 kts are possible within the next few hours, but winds will diminish overnight, becoming very light (less than 5 kts)
through early Friday. Just beyond this TAF cycle, rain arrives between 21-03Z Friday, so subsequent TAF cycles will likely need to include chances for rain.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 215 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
* Warming continues into tomorrow with highs mid 50s to mid 60s
* Showers and chances for storms Friday night into Saturday morning
* Several rounds of rain and storms expected late Sunday through Tuesday. Hydro concerns may arise during this time
DISCUSSION
Issued at 215 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Tonight into Friday will feature mainly dry and warmer wx as upper ridging expands over the Central US. There remaind non-zero chances for a few sprinkles/showers tonight south of US 30 as a weak mid level impulse tops a developing baroclinic zone lifting into these areas. The weak forcing in conjunction with a very dry sub-cloud layer doesn't bode well for anything more than a 10-20% type PoP. Friday will be a pleasant late March day with low amplitude ridging through the column. The frontal zone does linger in the vicinity with highs mid-upper 50s north to the low-mid 60s south.
A periodically active/wet pattern will become established Friday night through Tuesday as moisture streams northward into an oscillating west-east oriented frontal zone. This will occur under a series of mid level impulses that will eject east in advance of a deep Western CONUS longwave trough modeled to release east through the local area by Tuesday.
The first modest shortwave and associated moisture convergence on the nose of a ~50 kt low level jet will bring showers and chances for elevated convection Friday night as a sfc frontal wave likely tracks east near the MI border. No severe threat with this wave, though wouldn't be surprised if there is some small hail and locally heavy rainfall rates. Shower/storm intensity and coverage then wanes from west to east mid morning through early afternoon on Saturday as the frontal wave shifts off to the east. This will force the frontal zone south toward the OH River by Saturday night and Sunday morning with mainly dry and slightly cooler conditions anticipated.
The baroclinic zone will become increasingly active Sunday night through Tuesday as the approaching upper trough takes on a positive tilt with low pressure tracking east through the OH Valley by later Monday and Tuesday. Rounds of rain and embedded thunder are likely in this regime, especially given the abundance of moisture getting pulled north into the frontal system. At this range models continue to differ on where exactly the axis of heavier rain and potential hydro issues will set up (overhead or just south). Current projections also favor areas to the south for strong/severe convection Monday into Tuesday, though this and heavy rainfall will need to be monitored in the coming days.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 105 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Current GOES satellite imagery and METARs depict some mid level clouds around 6-7 kft this afternoon. These clouds should linger through the evening, especially at KFWA. However, VFR conditions prevail throughout the TAF forecast period. A few gusts between 15-20 kts are possible within the next few hours, but winds will diminish overnight, becoming very light (less than 5 kts)
through early Friday. Just beyond this TAF cycle, rain arrives between 21-03Z Friday, so subsequent TAF cycles will likely need to include chances for rain.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN | 49 mi | 36 min | N 1.9G | 45°F | 30.03 | 27°F | ||
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN | 51 mi | 46 min | N 1.9G | 43°F | 30.05 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KRCR FULTON COUNTY,IN | 17 sm | 10 min | WNW 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 52°F | 30°F | 43% | 30.01 | |
KOXI STARKE COUNTY,IN | 18 sm | 10 min | W 08 | 10 sm | Overcast | 50°F | 21°F | 32% | 30.02 |
Northern Indiana, IN,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE