Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orient, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 5:42PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 6:11 AM EST (11:11 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:54AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 547 Am Est Wed Mar 3 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm est this afternoon...
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ300 547 Am Est Wed Mar 3 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will move offshore today as a cold front approaches and moves through tonight. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the canadian maritimes and high pressure across southern canada for the latter half of the week. The high will build over the waters early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orient, NY
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location: 41.15, -72.24     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 031053 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 553 AM EST Wed Mar 3 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will move offshore today as a cold front approaches and moves through tonight. The region will then be situated between strong low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure across southern Canada for the latter half of the week. The high will build over the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Forecast on track with an adjustment to the hourly forecast database as temperatures are rising this morning as the SW wind has ensued. Low pressure will pass well south of the area off the Southeastern US coast today. A cold front draped across the Northeastern US / Canadian border to the Eastern Great Lakes will approach throughout today. The winds will pick up once again, mainly out of the west-southwest. This will result in a noticeable air mass change for today with the previous cold air mass off to the east and milder air being drawn up ahead of the approaching cold front. By this afternoon temperatures will be a good 15 degrees warmer compared to yesterday. Look for temperatures to get to around 50 along the coast and into the metro area, with middle and upper 40s elsewhere. The day overall will feature a good deal of sunshine. A shortwave will then approach late in the day and towards evening. Nothing more than a few clouds can be expected with this feature as moisture will be rather limited.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. A cold front and shortwave will push through this evening. The winds will shift back to the north-northwest behind the frontal boundary. Thicknesses will lower as colder air quickly returns. Temperatures quickly return to normal levels by Thursday morning with lows in the upper 20s north, and mainly lower 30s closer to the coast and metro.

The longwave pattern across the CONUS will amplify into Thursday as ridging builds across the Eastern Rockies and the Plains, with a retrograding low moving into Eastern Canada. This will result in an amplifying upper level trough across the Northeastern states. By late in the day 850 mb temps drop back down to around -10C. With strong cold advection driving synoptic scale sinking motion, expect a good deal of sunshine. Temperatures should average a few degrees below normal with upper 30s, to lower and middle 40s for day time maximums.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. A deep closed low aloft over the Canadian Maritimes will slowly retrograde a bit westward on Thursday. This upper low is then likely to meander over the Canadian Maritimes Friday into the weekend carving out mean troughing over the northeastern seaboard through the weekend. Upper ridging will persist across the Rockies into Central Canada late this week before gradually shifting eastward this weekend and early next week. The mean trough axis on the ensembles is too far east for any system to impact the region and the overall synoptic pattern favors dry conditions in the long term. Temperatures will generally average below normal into the weekend. Temperatures then trend towards above normal levels early next week as the mean trough shifts offshore and the upper ridge builds over the eastern states.

A cold front moves further offshore Thursday morning with cold advection taking shape through the day. A breezy NW flow will also occur due to the increasing pressure gradient over the area between building high pressure to our west and the aforementioned low pressure across southeast Canada. The breezy NW flow will continue Thursday night into Friday before gradually diminishing this weekend as the high pressure slowly nears and the pressure gradient relaxes. The high should then build to our south early next week.

The models continue to indicate a southern stream shortwave traversing across the Gulf Coast Friday into the weekend, then interacting with a northern stream shortwave within the mean upper trough. Due to the aforementioned positioning of the mean trough, the low pressure associated with these systems is expected to pass well south and east of the northeast coast. Have removed the slight chance PoPs from the forecast on Sunday.

Temperatures on Thursday will be close to normal in the lower to middle 40s, then middle to upper 30s on Friday. Some slight moderation is possible this weekend with highs in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees. Temps should then warm back into the 40s Monday and possibly into the lower 50s by next Tuesday. Nighttime temperatures will generally be in the 20s through the weekend.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. VFR as a strong low pressure lingers over Southeastern Canada through the overnight, a warm front passes well north, and high pressure shifts to the south then weakens on Wednesday.

W/SW winds 5-10kt through late tonight become W-NW 10-15 kt Wednesday morning. There may be occasional gusts to near 20 kt by late Wednesday morning. Gusty winds diminish late afternoon and into the evening.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

The occurrence and timing of any gusts on Wednesday may be off by an hour or two.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday Late Night through Sunday. VFR. NW winds G20-25 on Thu, and G25-30kt on Friday.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. SCA conditions will gradually come down from west to east for this afternoon into this evening. However, marginal SCA wind gusts may persist across the eastern ocean well into the evening.

The pressure gradient will then increase with SCA conditions becoming likely on the waters for Thursday afternoon through Friday night. The pressure gradient begins to relax by Saturday morning with winds likely to fall below SCA levels on all waters for the upcoming weekend.

The strongest winds are likely to occur Thursday night into Friday as ocean wind gusts may reach around 30 kt. Ocean seas will build to around 5 ft Thursday night and remain there through Friday before subsiding Friday night.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the weekend and into the start of next week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ330- 340-345-353. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ355. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ350.

SYNOPSIS . JE/DS NEAR TERM . JE SHORT TERM . JE LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . JC MARINE . JE/DS HYDROLOGY . JE/DS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT16 mi16 minNW 410.00 miFair28°F19°F69%1013.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi78 minWSW 6 mi33°F20°F58%1014.2 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT21 mi77 minW 6 G 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy28°F9°F43%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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2 days agoN3CalmN3CalmN6NE5NE54SE7E9SE9E10--E10E9E7E11NE8E10E14
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Tide / Current Tables for Plum Gut Harbor, Plum Island, Long Island Sound, New York
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Plum Gut Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:23 AM EST     3.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:51 PM EST     2.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:42 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:06 PM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.12.61.91.10.4-0.1-0.3-00.61.42.12.52.62.31.81.10.60.1-0.10.10.71.52.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:01 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:13 AM EST     -3.74 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:26 AM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:17 AM EST     3.16 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:28 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:35 PM EST     -3.32 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:38 PM EST     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:04 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:38 PM EST     3.29 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.81.60-1.6-3-3.7-3.4-2.3-0.70.92.43.12.920.7-0.8-2.2-3.2-3.2-2.4-10.62.13.1

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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