Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orient, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 7:33PM Monday August 26, 2019 4:57 AM EDT (08:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:30AMMoonset 4:53PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 332 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..E winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 332 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will remain over new england through tonight and then drift offshore on Tuesday. A cold front gradually approaches Tuesday night into Wednesday and passes through the waters Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure briefly returns on Friday before the next cold front Friday night into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orient, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.15, -72.24     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kokx 260824
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
424 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over new england through tonight and
then drift offshore on Tuesday. A cold front gradually approaches
Tuesday night into Wednesday and passes through the region
Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure returns
briefly Friday before another cold front passes through Friday
night into Saturday. High pressure builds towards the northeast
Saturday with a wave of low pressure possibly impacting the area
on Sunday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Pockets of stratus are likely early this morning. The stratus
may be most widespread across portions of the nyc metro and long
island and more scattered across southern connecticut. Model
time heights in bufkit seem to have a decent handle on this
moisture associated with the stratus and indicate that it will
begin diminishing 12z to 15z.

Otherwise, high pressure will remain over new england as an upper
low moves towards the canadian maritimes. The interior will likely
have mostly sunny skies through the day with scattered stratocumulus
further south near the coast.

Highs today will be several degrees below normal under a NE flow and
850 mb temperatures averaging around 11c. Highs will be in the lower
to middle 70s.

There is a high risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches through this evening.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Heights aloft rise tonight as the upper low continues to track over
the canadian maritimes. Surface high pressure will remain in place
over new england. Low level moisture appears less than the last
several nights. There could still be some scattered clouds early
Tuesday morning, but overall decent radiational cooling conditions
are anticipated. Lows will be in the lower 50s inland and across the
long island pine barrens and the middle and upper 50s most
elsewhere. Lows in the nyc metro will be in the lower 60s.

Upper ridge axis moves over the northeast on Tuesday with the
surface high pressure drifting off the new england coast. The ridge
axis should be east of the area late in the day and as this occurs
middle and upper level moisture should start to increase. Mostly
sunny conditions in the morning will become partly to mostly cloudy
late. Highs will continue below normal in the middle and upper 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches through this evening.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Upper level ridge axis shifts east of the area Tue night but blocks
a closed low over ontario canada from progressing eastward, forcing
it north into hudson bay and then consolidating with another piece
of upper level energy from western canada. Troughiness will remain
in place over the northeastern quarter of the country for the
remainder of the long term period, although with the parent low
lifting further north into canada much of the associated energy will
also remain north of the area. In fact, by Saturday the local area
is expected to be on the southern edge of the westerlies.

This will provide mostly benign weather through next weekend.

However, shortwave energy and its associated sfc cold front will
approach from the ohio valley Tue night and wed, moving through
the tri state area Wed night into early thu. Best chance for
pcpn is in areas N and W of nyc as all meso and global models
are indicating a weakening trend as it moves through. There is
some elevated instability present after 00z Thu so have
maintained schc thunder in the forecast until the cold FROPA thu
morning. Humidity levels will increase ahead of the front with
muggy conditions briefly returning.

High pres then builds to the south through Fri although another
cold front will be approaching from the west. This front appears
to pass through dry with all of the upper level energy passing
to the north. Depending on how far south of long island this
boundary pushes will determine whether we are impacted by a
weak wave of low pres on sun. Have introduced chc pops for now,
but this is highly uncertain.

Aviation 08z Monday through Friday
High pressure will remain over new england through Monday night
before departing to the east on Tuesday.

MVFR ceilings have developed over the north shore of long
island and spread west into klga, kteb, and spread south into
kisp, so have added tempo group to these terminals for MVFR
ceilings. MVFR ceilings also spreading northward from new
jersey coastline. Thinking this will spread into the rest of the
city terminals, so added tempo group here as well. Winds have
become more northerly for many of the terminals.

This pattern will keep the area under a ne-e flow during the
time period with backing to the NE tonight and then veering more
to the E as the day progresses on Monday. Outside of a few
gusts into the teens this evening winds will be 10-15 kt at the
coastal terminals and 5-10 kt at the inland terminals.

Outlook for 06z Tuesday through Friday
Mon night-tue Vfr.

Wed MVFR or lower possible in showers and thunderstorms.

Thu MainlyVFR. Morning showers possible.

Fri Vfr.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 14 mi43 min N 15 G 17 57°F 54°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 16 mi58 min 62°F 69°F1022.8 hPa (-0.8)
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 17 mi58 min ENE 2.9 G 7 58°F 69°F1023.1 hPa (-0.9)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 37 mi58 min NE 8 G 12 57°F 72°F1023 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for New London, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last
24hr
NE3
G6
N1
G7
N3
G7
N4
G8
N3
G9
NE5
G10
NE4
G8
E7
G10
NE5
G8
E9
G16
NE6
G11
NE5
G8
NE6
G10
NE3
G7
NE4
G7
NE3
G7
N2
G6
N4
G8
NE3
G7
N5
N4
G7
NE1
G6
N3
G8
NE3
G7
1 day
ago
N7
G10
N2
G9
N6
G11
N4
G8
N3
G7
N2
G6
NE3
G6
NE4
G7
N4
G7
S7
G10
S11
S8
G11
S5
G8
S6
G11
SE5
SE2
NE3
G7
NE3
NE2
NE2
N2
G5
NE3
G6
N2
G5
NE2
G7
2 days
ago
N4
G8
N4
G8
NW2
G6
NW2
G5
NW2
W1
SW2
N1
N2
N2
N2
G5
NW4
NW3
G6
NW2
N2
NW3
NW1
N5
N4
G8
N4
G7
N3
N6
G10
N7
G12
N4
G8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi2.1 hrsNE 7 mi63°F55°F76%1023.5 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT21 mi2 hrsNNE 510.00 miOvercast55°F51°F88%1024 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last 24hrN7N8N8N10N12NE14
G20
NE11NE9NE15
G19
NE19
G24
NE14NE15
G21
NE14
G19
NE11NE12NE8N9N9N11N5N7N9N9N9
1 day agoN7N9N8N10N11N8N9N5CalmS8S8S6S6S4SE5SE3NE5NE6N5N5N8N7N7N6
2 days agoN6N6N4NW4N4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW8SW9SW7NW8NW5NW4CalmN3N5N6N9N9N9N10N10

Tide / Current Tables for Plum Gut Harbor, Plum Island, Long Island Sound, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Plum Gut Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:47 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:57 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:05 PM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.60.40.61.11.72.12.42.42.21.81.41.10.70.60.81.42.12.73.13.33.12.721.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
The Race
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:13 AM EDT     2.26 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:32 AM EDT     -2.49 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:34 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:33 PM EDT     2.64 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:51 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-2.6-1.7-0.60.61.72.22.11.50.6-0.5-1.6-2.4-2.4-1.8-0.70.51.72.52.621-0.2-1.6-2.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.