Saturday, April10, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orient, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:24PM Saturday April 10, 2021 7:29 AM EDT (11:29 UTC) Moonrise 6:02AMMoonset 6:04PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 646 Am Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
Today..S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers this morning. Patchy fog this morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 646 Am Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure gradually shifts east farther out into the atlantic today as a weak warm front approaches the waters from the southwest. Another frontal system impacts the waters on Sunday, followed by unsettled weather through the middle of next week as broad low pressure lingers over the northeast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orient, NY
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location: 41.15, -72.24     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 100818 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 418 AM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak warm front approaches today into Sunday morning. A backdoor cold front will pass later on Sunday, then remain nearly stationary southwest of the area through the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Light showers are beginning to develop and move through the forecast area as an upper level ridge breaks down and warm advection well ahead of a slowly approaching warm front sets up early this morning. An area of showers and thunderstorms over southeast Pennsylvania and southwestern New Jersey will move east, weakening as it does so as it moves into a more stable environment. Earlier it looked like these showers could make its way into the forecast area, but now it looks like it may move south of the region. Will have to reassess and adjust chances for precipitation accordingly with next update if this trend continues.

Despite the breakdown of the ridge to the east, another ridge to the west will move into the area, ahead of the approaching warm front today. Subsidence from this ridge will limit the potential for showers and mainly dry conditions are expected from mid morning onward. Clouds will also diminish in response to the ridging, helping to provide warmer conditions than Friday for most places. Highs will range from the lower 60s to around 70. Cooler conditions are expected along the immediate coast.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. The upper level ridge will cross the area tonight, weaken and push east into Sunday. The first half of tonight should remain dry, but showers will move in from southwest to northeast as the warm front continues to slowly approach and the upper ridge slides east. This warm front is associated with a weakening stacked low over the mid-West. This low is forecast to weaken as it meanders over the mid-West.

Sunday will see chances for showers continue to increase from southwest to northeast as the warm front continues to move toward the area, then remain in the vicinity. There is a good deal uncertainty with model guidance in regards to amount of rainfall for Sunday, with the ECMWF an outlier with its higher rainfall amounts. However, with the frontal boundary in the vicinity, showers should continue for much of the day Sunday. A passing thunderstorm is also possible as there is some elevated instability. This may bring some brief, locally heavier rainfall (and could be what the ECMWF is hinting at).

Clouds and rain will mean slightly cooler temperatures for Sunday, with highs in upper 50s to middle 60s. Temperatures may drop slightly late in the day as a backdoor cold front may move through.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The front then lingers near or southwest of the cwa thru Thu per the 12Z progs. This will keep some chances for shwrs in the fcst thru the week, along with a cool nely flow. The NBM was generally used for temps, although the MEX was blended in at times to keep temps aob the lwr 60s due to the pattern in place. Clearing periods will need to be timed with peak heating to overachieve on temps.

AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure slowly drifts farther east out into the Atlantic today with a weak warm front approaching from the southwest.

MVFR and IFR ceilings are fairly widespread this morning though there are some spots where conditions can briefly become VFR. LIFR conditions remain possible with the development of any locally dense fog or lowering stratus, though the likelihood of LIFR conditions diminishes after 13Z. General improvement to MVFR is expected Saturday morning and afternoon, where VFR may once again be possible.

Visibilities for the most part have been VFR though some patches of fog have resulted in 1 to 3 SM visibility overnight. The chance of reduction in visibilities to this extent through the morning is low but remains possible, especially in any showers. Scattered showers have developed to the southwest of the area and will approach the terminals over the next several hours.

Winds will be generally south to southeast near 5 to 10 kts through the TAF period with some terminals having a variable direction through this morning.

MARINE. Winds and seas remain below SCA thresholds as light flow remains over the waters through early Sunday. Visibilities will likely be reduced once again tonight through early Sunday morning as fog develops. Though a marine dense fog advisory is not expected to be needed as fog may be patchy in nature, one will be possible if widespread fog develops and is dense and persistent.

Both winds and ocean waves pick up a bit Sunday afternoon to near SCA criteria for the ocean waters. By Sunday evening, wave heights increase to 5ft with wind gusts of 25 - 30 kt through at least Monday afternoon. Gusts fall below SCA threshold Monday evening but seas take a bit longer to fall. All waters should be below SCA threshold by Tuesday morning.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Thursday. 0.50"-1.00" of rainfall is forecast through the day Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JMC/JP NEAR TERM . JP SHORT TERM . JP LONG TERM . JMC/JP AVIATION . MW MARINE . MW HYDROLOGY . JMC/JP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 14 mi50 min WSW 6 G 7 46°F 1013.6 hPa43°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 16 mi60 min 46°F 46°F1017.6 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 17 mi60 min 47°F 1017.5 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 22 mi90 min SE 3.9 G 5.8 46°F 46°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 33 mi40 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 46°F 47°F3 ft1017.6 hPa45°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 37 mi60 min S 2.9 G 4.1 47°F 49°F1018.3 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT16 mi34 minN 010.00 miOvercast47°F45°F93%1017.1 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi36 minN 0 mi47°F46°F97%1017.5 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT21 mi35 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist46°F46°F100%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3CalmS5S6S7S7S6S6S8S7S6SE5S6S4S7SW5SW4SW7SW5SW5W7CalmSW5Calm
1 day agoN7N8N10N8SW10SW9S6S10S8S6S8S6S3SE4S4E3SE4SE3CalmW5N4N4NE6Calm
2 days agoN4NW7N8SW8SW10SW10S8SE11SE9SE11SE8SE7CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW4CalmN4CalmCalmN3N3

Tide / Current Tables for Plum Gut Harbor, Plum Island, Long Island Sound, New York
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Plum Gut Harbor
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Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:51 AM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:48 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:04 PM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.40.70.20.10.511.62.12.52.62.42.11.50.90.40.20.51.11.72.32.72.92.8

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Sat -- 02:07 AM EDT     -3.14 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT     2.74 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:24 PM EDT     -3.09 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:38 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:35 PM EDT     2.83 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:45 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.4-2.6-3.1-2.9-2-0.60.92.22.72.620.7-0.9-2.3-3-3-2.2-10.622.72.82.31.2

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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