Friday, September18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stratford, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 6:57PM Friday September 18, 2020 7:56 PM EDT (23:56 UTC) Moonrise 7:48AMMoonset 8:02PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 627 Pm Edt Fri Sep 18 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 am edt Saturday...
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 627 Pm Edt Fri Sep 18 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will build into the local waters from the great lakes and southeast canada tonight through the weekend and will gradually weaken early next week. Seas build over the weekend into early early next week as tropical cyclone teddy moves northward remaining well out to sea.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stratford, CT
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location: 41.2, -73.11     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 182334 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 734 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the region from the northwest tonight and through the weekend. The high will gradually weaken and shift south and west of the area by mid week, while tropical cyclone Teddy approaches the Canadian Maritimes. A frontal system moves into the area late in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. High pressure over the Great Lakes builds east tonight with a dry, unseasonably cool airmass working into the region overnight. Northerly winds will remain gusty with a relatively tight pressure gradient between the departing frontal system and the strong high building in.

Gusty winds tonight will prevent substantial radiative cooling even under dry conditions and clear skies. Low temperatures will drop into the 40s for much of the area with localized spots in the middle to upper 30s for northern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley and Northern Fairfield County in CT. It is possible there may be areas of patchy frost in the coldest of spots.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Gusty winds during the morning on Saturday should diminish gradually through the late morning and afternoon as the high pressure builds overhead. Clear skies and dry conditions will persist through the day and through Saturday night.

With winds diminishing, clear skies, and dry conditions, Saturday night may be a better radiative cooling night with low temperatures in the 40s. Some spots in the northern interior counties may drop into the 30s with patchy frost possible again.

There is a moderate rip current risk on Saturday due to a building northerly wind wave of 5-6 ft and a l-2 long period SE swell from distant hurricane Teddy. The risk may become high toward evening. Swells will continue to build Saturday night into Sunday with a high rip current risk developing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Strong high pressure over the Northeast at the onset of the period will begin to weaken and shift south and west of the area Tuesday into Wednesday. Global models are in very good agreement with sending an upper trough across the Northeast Sunday and offshore Sunday night. The latter of which will interact with Hurricane Teddy, east of New England, steering the system toward the Canadian Maritimes Tuesday into Wednesday.

Forecast area would be far enough removed from the system to not see any direct impacts other than gusty NW winds. Refer to the latest official forecasts from NHC for updates.

A late week frontal system will then bring a low chance of showers to the area Thursday night into Friday.

Before then though, the area will reside in NE flow Sunday through Monday which at times will gusts up to 20 mph, especially near the coast. Winds then back to the NW on Tuesday and even more westerly by mid week.

Under mainly clear skies, temperatures will be close to 10 degrees below normal for the last couple of days of summer before rebounding back to near or above normal by mid week.

High surf, beach erosion, and beach flooding are likely Sunday into Tuesday. Refer to Tides/Coastal Flooding section below for additional details. There will be a high rip current risk through at least Tuesday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure builds into the region through the TAF period.

VFR. Winds N mainly at 10 to 15 kt, gusting to 20 kt at most of the the city and coastal terminals. Outlying terminals lose gusts late tonight and early Saturday morning. N winds continue into Saturday, and gradually diminish later in the day.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Gusts could be only occasional at times through tonight. Some uncertainty on Saturday as to how late in the day any gusts will persist.

OUTLOOK FOR 0Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Saturday Night. VFR, N-NE winds up to 10kt. Sunday and Monday. VFR. NE winds gusts around 20kt, mainly during the daytime, and highest along the coast. Tuesday and Wednesday. VFR. NW winds gusts 20-25 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. A persistent NE flow and swells from Teddy will result in building seas on the ocean and gusts near SCA criteria from Saturday through Tuesday. Seas will begin to slowly subside mid week.

FIRE WEATHER. Northerly wind gusts up to 20 to 25 mph on Saturday morning combined with low RH values approaching 30% in the afternoon will allow for the enhanced spread of any fire.

Similar conditions will be possible Sunday, though the winds will be lighter.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrological concerns are anticipated through the entire forecast period.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Widespread dune erosion and scattered overwashes expected for the ocean beachfront Sunday into Monday . Numerous tidal cycles of minor coastal flooding expected for the south shore bays of W LI, Lower NY/NJ harbor, SW CT, and S Westchester Tonight through Sunday, possibly though early next week .

Astronomical tides continue to run high associated with a recent new moon, with a persistent NNE flow through Monday and tidal piling allowing for 1/2 to 1 1/2 ft of surge.

Primary concern is the combination of elevated water levels and incoming energetic swells from Teddy building to our shores Saturday Night into Monday. This is expected to develop high surf of 8-12 ft Sunday into Monday, which combined with elevated water levels during the times of high tide will likely result in significant and widespread erosion and damage to dune structures. In addition, scattered overwashes are likely, resulting in minor to moderate flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. This is depicted in the NOAA/USGS Coastal Change Forecast Viewer, which is showing potential for an erosion and overwash event close to what was seen the October 10th 2019 Nor'easter and possibly during Hurricane Jose swell event.

In terms of the coastal flood threat, minor coastal flooding is expected along the south shore back bays of Nassau and Queens for this evening's high tide cycle. The widespread minor coastal flooding threat will expand during the Saturday morning/afternoon high tides into the lower NY/NJ harbor and SW CT, S Westchester as well. A similar threat likely for Sunday morning high tides. Brief and localized minor flooding likely for the night time high tides Sat Night and Sun Night.

A similar coastal flood threat is likely to at least continue into the Monday and Tuesday daytime high tidal cycles as Hurricane Teddy makes it closest approach, with potential for moderate coastal flood impacts along vulnerable Great South Bay and areas as energetic swells from Teddy restrict tidal drainage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Coastal Flood Advisory from noon to 2 PM EDT Saturday for CTZ009. Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 PM to 3 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ009. NY . Coastal Flood Advisory from noon to 2 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ071. Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 PM to 3 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ071. High Surf Advisory from 8 PM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Monday for NYZ080-081-178-179. Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ178- 179. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 AM to 1 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ074-075-178-179. Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ074- 075-178-179. NJ . Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 AM to 1 PM EDT Saturday for NJZ006-106-108. Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ006- 106-108. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ330-335- 338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . DW/MW NEAR TERM . DW/MW SHORT TERM . MW LONG TERM . DW AVIATION . JE MARINE . DW/MW FIRE WEATHER . HYDROLOGY . DW/MW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 4 mi56 min N 6 G 11 64°F 71°F1015.9 hPa (+2.1)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 12 mi56 min N 14 G 22 65°F 70°F1015.2 hPa (+1.6)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 30 mi56 min N 16 G 21 67°F 45°F
44069 35 mi56 min N 5.8 G 9.7 66°F 54°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 39 mi71 min NNE 16 G 19 67°F 49°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 44 mi56 min ENE 14 G 18 66°F 1016.9 hPa (+1.8)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT2 mi64 minN 1310.00 miFair64°F37°F37%1016.1 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT13 mi63 minN 710.00 miOvercast66°F51°F59%1015.8 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT19 mi65 minN 1210.00 miFair58°F34°F41%1018.1 hPa
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT23 mi63 minN 810.00 miFair60°F39°F46%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBDR

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S3S3CalmN5N5N7N8N13NE9N8N10N13
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1 day agoS11S13SW14SW13SW13SW12SW13SW10NW6CalmCalmW3W5SW5SW6SW7SW9SW10SW7SW7S7S4SE3SE4
2 days agoS4S6SW8S9SW83N4NW3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmW3W6SW8SW7SW7SW13SW13SW12SW12SW11SW11

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Stratford
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:28 AM EDT     6.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:18 AM EDT     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:51 PM EDT     6.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:45 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.56.55.74.32.71.20-0.6-0.31356.46.86.353.41.80.4-0.5-0.70.21.93.9

Tide / Current Tables for Black Rock Harbor entrance, Connecticut
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Black Rock Harbor entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:14 AM EDT     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:21 PM EDT     8.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 PM EDT     -1.00 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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8.37.663.81.70.1-0.8-0.413.25.57.48.48.26.94.82.50.6-0.7-0.90.124.36.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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