Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Branford Center, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 7:35PM Monday August 26, 2019 3:45 AM EDT (07:45 UTC) Moonrise 1:32AMMoonset 4:56PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 332 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Today..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 332 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will remain over new england through tonight and then drift offshore on Tuesday. A cold front gradually approaches Tuesday night into Wednesday and passes through the waters Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure briefly returns on Friday before the next cold front Friday night into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Branford Center, CT
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location: 41.26, -72.79     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 260540
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
140 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over new england through tonight and
then drift offshore on Tuesday. A cold front gradually
approaches Tuesday night into Wednesday and passes through the
region Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure
returns briefly Friday before another cold front passes through
late Friday into Saturday. High pressure builds over the
northeast Saturday and Sunday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
High pressure continues to build over new england early this
morning. Stratus clouds are moving to the west on an onshore
flow. There may be some expansion of these low level clouds
especially near the coast through day break.

Dry conditions are expected with temperatures in the lower 50s
inland and in the mid 50s to around 60 along the coast.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
Low level moisture will linger into Monday morning as an
easterly flow continues with high pressure remaining north of
the region. This will result in mostly cloudy conditions along
the coast Monday morning with conditions improving by Monday
afternoon.

Temperatures on Monday will be in the mid 70s.

There is a high risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches through Monday evening.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
The extended period Tuesday through Saturday is fairly consistent
with the previous forecast. Ridging from northern new england and
along the mid atlantic seaboard will drift into the western atlantic
early Tuesday as a longwave trough from near alaska digs into the
northern plains and upper midwest. This longwave trough will send a
couple of cold fronts through the region late Wednesday night into
early Thursday and then Friday into Saturday. The strongest front
will be the first one.

The changes with this front, is a quicker passage, and less forcing
along the front as the upper trough is now lifting farther to the
north and retrograding slowly. So, will still have chance
probabilities. With the longwave upper trough weakening Thursday and
Friday and the flow more zonal the next front will be even weaker
than earlier expected, with little moisture. As a result, this front
is now forecast to come through dry.

With the front Wednesday into early Thursday both CAPE and
instability will be limited, so will have showers with only slight
chances of thunder, and mainly across the inland, until later across
the marine areas, right with the frontal passage.

Higher pressure then builds in for the upcoming labor day weekend.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
High pressure will remain over new england through Monday night
before departing to the east on Tuesday.

Forecast challenge is how far west MVFR ceilings over SE new
england work overnight. For the time, have confined it to kgon
and kisp after 06z. The best chance would be at kgon (which
briefly had a period of MVFR ceilings prior to 06z). Winds do
become more northerly overnight which may keep the lower
ceilings to the east of the terminals.

This pattern will keep the area under a ne-e flow during the
time period with backing to the NE tonight and then veering more
to the E as the day progresses on Monday. Outside of a few
gusts into the teens this evening winds will be 10-15 kt at the
coastal terminals and 5-10 kt at the inland terminals.

Outlook for 06z Tuesday through Friday
Mon night-tue Vfr.

Wed MVFR or lower possible in showers and thunderstorms.

Thu MainlyVFR. Morning showers possible.

Fri Vfr.

Marine
Gusty northeast to east winds remain across the ocean waters,
with seas up to 5 to 8 ft on average overnight. Winds and gusts
will only subside a couple of knots overnight. SCA remains in
effect on the ocean and GOES through Monday night.

Winds should gradually diminish on Monday, but seas will remain
above small craft advisory conditions through Monday night.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the end of the
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will gradually increase tide
levels into mid week. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday evening high tides along the south shore back bays of
queens and nassau counties, with the threat of at least isolated
minor coastal flooding continuing during the evening high tide
cycles through the mid week period.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk through this evening for nyz075-080-081-
178-179.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz350-353-355.

Synopsis... Fig met
near term... Fig jm met
short term... Fig
long term... Fig met
aviation... Jp
marine... Fig met
hydrology... Fig met
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 6 mi46 min NE 8 G 14 58°F 72°F1023.1 hPa (-0.9)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 22 mi52 min NNE 6 G 13 58°F 74°F1022.8 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 38 mi16 min N 13 G 16 58°F 54°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 38 mi46 min N 2.9 G 8 58°F 69°F1023.5 hPa (-0.6)
44069 42 mi61 min NNE 9.7 G 14 63°F 74°F59°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 46 mi46 min 63°F 69°F1023.1 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT5 mi2.9 hrsNNE 510.00 miFair61°F52°F72%1024.2 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT17 mi2.9 hrsN 510.00 miFair58°F48°F70%1024.6 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT17 mi4.8 hrsNE 610.00 miFair59°F50°F72%1024.7 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT19 mi2.9 hrsNNE 910.00 miFair61°F50°F67%1024 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT24 mi4.9 hrsENE 910.00 miFair58°F52°F81%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHVN

Wind History from HVN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7N8--N7N11--NE14NE13
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NE9NE9E6E6NE7NE5NE7NE7--NE5--N9
1 day agoN11N9N9N6N9N9
G17
N9N9NE10E6Calm3S5S6S7S3CalmNE43----NE5----
2 days ago--N9N6N6N4--CalmNW33W33NW4NW4NW4N4N4NW4N4N6--------N11

Tide / Current Tables for Money Island, Connecticut
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Money Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:33 AM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:49 AM EDT     5.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:47 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:12 PM EDT     6.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.70.71.22.33.44.45.15.34.93.92.71.710.81.32.33.64.85.76.25.953.6

Tide / Current Tables for New Haven Harbor entrance, Connecticut
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New Haven Harbor entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:42 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:52 AM EDT     5.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:56 PM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     6.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.60.80.71.22.43.74.85.75.95.44.43.121.20.91.32.43.85.26.36.86.65.64.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.