Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Ridgeville, OH

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Ridgeville, OH

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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 290136 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 936 PM EDT Sun May 28 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will build southeast through Quebec tonight and Monday extending a ridge southwest over the local area. The ridge is expected to persist through mid-week as the high pressure center moves off the East Coast.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
935 PM Update...
Only minor temperature edits to the overnight lows. Continued tranquil.

Previous Discussion...
Amplification of the upper level ridge over the western Great Lakes is expected to take place tonight as upper level low pressure lifts northwest into the Tennessee Valley region. A ridge of high pressure at the surface extends south from a large area of high pressure over northern Ontario, Canada overnight. This ridge is expected to pivot and become oriented northeast to southwest as the surface high moves though Quebec and then off the New England Coast by Monday night. As this transition takes place, expecting a gradual warm air advection pattern to set-up across the area in return southeasterly flow Monday night. Although, a weak trough or lake induced cold front will slide south across the area during the day tomorrow afternoon.
This should impact the lakeshore once again with cooler onshore flow from the lake. As mentioned above, warm air advection returns Monday night and we should actually see temperatures rising during the night into the 60s by morning. Dry forecast continues.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Ridging at the surface and aloft affects our region through this period as the parent high pressure center aloft persists near Lake Ontario and the attendant surface high pressure center lingers near the Gulf of Maine. A stabilizing subsidence inversion accompanying this ridge will contribute to fair weather in our CWA.
Simultaneously, a vertically-stacked low pressure center should meander near the NC and Delmarva coasts. The associated precip is expected to remain well southeast of our CWA. Sufficient daytime heating of land surrounding ~56F Lake Erie and a weak synoptic scale MSLP gradient will permit daily lake breeze development each late morning through early evening. Daily late afternoon highs will primarily reach the 80's, but 70's are forecast within several miles of Lake Erie. Overnight lows are expected to reach mainly the mid 50's to lower 60's Tuesday and Wednesday nights, respectively.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The core of the ridge aloft should retrograde gradually from near Lake Ontario and toward the north-central U.S. during this time period as the aforementioned coastal low pressure system drifts E'ward and devolves into a trough over the Atlantic. This should allow a predominantly N'erly flow aloft to become established over our CWA on Friday through the upcoming weekend.
Net surface high pressure ridging should persist in our region, but shortwave troughs embedded in the flow aloft will be accompanied by subtle surface trough axes sweeping S'ward through our CWA; one of which will be associated with the passage of a very weak cold front on Friday. Odds favor fair weather persisting through the long-term period since a lack of appreciable low-level moisture and atmospheric instability should preclude the development of showers and thunderstorms along each surface trough axis and along an expected daily lake breeze front. Speaking of this lake breeze front, a relatively- weak synoptic scale MSLP gradient should contribute to lake breeze circulation development each late morning through early evening. High temperatures are forecast to reach mainly the 80's to lower 90's on Thursday and Friday as synoptic scale low- level WAA persists ahead of the very weak cold front. Slightly cooler highs, mainly in the 80's, are expected this upcoming weekend due to very weak low-level CAA following the front.
Daily high temperatures will be slightly cooler within several miles of Lake Erie. Overnight lows should reach the mid 50's to lower 60's each night.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
VFR. Generally NE winds prevailing under 12kts. Lake breeze boundary expected to form again during the afternoon Monday and push inland providing a modest enhancement to the NE winds.
FEW-BKN high level clouds FL150-250.

Outlook...VFR.

MARINE
High pressure continues to affect Lake Erie through Thursday.
Predominantly northeasterly to southeasterly winds are expected.
Winds will tend to be onshore each late morning through early evening due to lake breeze development. On Friday, winds should become primarily northeasterly to northerly following the southward passage of a very weak cold front. Wind speeds of 5 to 15 knots and waves of 3 feet or less are forecast through the whole period.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

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