Vermilion, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vermilion, OH

February 20, 2024 5:49 PM EST (22:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:15 AM   Sunset 6:09 PM
Moonrise 2:15 PM   Moonset 5:32 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Expires:202402210315;;651563 Fzus51 Kcle 202036 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 336 pm est Tue feb 20 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez144>148-210315- the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh- avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh- 336 pm est Tue feb 20 2024

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.

Thursday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday.
the water temperature off toledo is 38 degrees, off cleveland 36 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vermilion, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 202111 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 411 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain over the New England states through Wednesday before moving offshore as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley by Thursday, dragging a cold front across the region Thursday night. A trough will remain across the Great Lakes Friday into Saturday before high pressure builds in the second half of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Spectacular weather for late February continues this afternoon with wall to wall sunshine and temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s.
This is courtesy of a mild, Pacific-based quasi-zonal mid/upper flow across the CONUS and a strong 1030-1035 mb surface high over the Northeast U.S. promoting light southerly low-level flow and associated warm air advection. This will set up a milder night as the southerly flow gradually deepens. Lows tonight will range from the low 30s in NW and north central Ohio to the upper 20s to around 30 in NE Ohio and NW PA.

Clouds will gradually thicken Wednesday ahead of surface cyclogenesis taking place over the southern Plains in response to a southern stream mid/upper shortwave progressing out of the 4 corners region. The intensifying warm air advection, with the surface high moving offshore of the Northeast U.S. coast by late in the day, will lead to a very mild day. Went a little above NBM guidance for highs based on the stronger southerly flow and increasing sun angle which supports highs in the mid/upper 50s in NW and north central Ohio and low 50s in NE Ohio and NW PA. The stronger S to SW low-level flow averaging 10-15 knots with occasional gusts to 15-20 knots should offset a lake breeze, so the lakefront should share in the mild temperatures too. The surface low will start to deepen as it moves into Missouri Wednesday night, extending a warm front northward into the southern Great Lakes region. Warm/moist advection and isentropic ascent as the boundary lifts north aided by a weak mid-level vort max will lead to a few light rain showers Wednesday night, but most of the rain will hold off until Thursday. Lows Wednesday night will stay in the low 40s in most areas, with 35-40 in NE Ohio and NW PA.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Moisture and showers will return to the area on Thursday as a shortwave trough moving out of the Plains merges with a stronger trough dropping south out of Canada. At the surface, a wave of low pressure will move out of the Mid Mississippi Valley across central and southern Ohio. The 12Z GFS is an outlier from several of the other models and it's own ensemble members in deepening the low to 995mb over eastern Lake Erie by Thursday evening. Will favor the better consensus for now but keep a northern track/deeper solution in mind. Precipitation will develop with isentropic ascent along the elevated warm front. Most of the area can expect between 0.25-0.75 inch of rain with this system. Temperatures will be mild again on Thursday with highs in the upper 40s to near 50 degrees. Depending on the track of the low, a low level jet of 40+ knots could be overhead in the warm sector. Generally expecting a near surface inversion to keep stronger winds aloft from mixing down but could see a few stronger gusts if the GFS tracks verifies. Precipitation will be exiting from west to east on Thursday night as a cold front settles south across the area. Highs on Friday will likely occur on Friday morning with temperatures holding steady or falling during the afternoon with 850m temperatures dipping to -15C by late Friday night.

Although the airmass behind the front is much drier, a trough settling south across the eastern Great Lakes Friday afternoon and evening may kick of at least scattered snow showers. Models are not in great agreement with low level flow and how quickly the ridge may start to build in so will need to adjust with time. The airmass will be cold enough for snow although moisture may be a limiting factor so will need to monitor model trends and make adjustments for the end of week forecast.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Although snow showers may be ongoing to start Saturday, a ridge quickly builds into the Ohio Valley and expecting moisture to diminish quickly. The extended period will start cool with highs only in the low 30s on Saturday before a strong warming trend gets underway for the remainder of the long term. The longwave trough axis moves off the East Coast by Sunday with a quasi zonal flow transitioning to ridging aloft. Forecast highs warm from the 50s for most areas on Monday to the 60s by Tuesday and these could be conservative. Southwesterly flow also brings chances of showers and potentially even thunderstorms by Tuesday.

AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/
VFR will continue through the TAF cycle as high pressure over the Northeast U.S. gradually moves off the coast by late Wednesday. Cirrus will gradually increase in the 20,000 to 25,000 foot layer Wednesday, but no impactful cigs are expected.

Generally S to SE winds will average 5-10 knots through tonight, but a lake breeze will impact KERI for a few hours this afternoon and evening turning winds to the NE, and this lake breeze may reach KCLE at times before winds turn back around to the S to SE after 00Z. Winds will turn SW and increase to 10-15 knots by late Wednesday morning and could gust to 15-20 knots during the afternoon, especially in NW Ohio and near the lakeshore.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in showers Wednesday night through Thursday and with lake effect snow showers Friday into early Saturday.

MARINE
Southerly winds increase into the 10-20 knot range Wednesday into Wednesday night as low pressure tracks northeast through the Upper Great Lakes. A secondary low will move northeast across Lake Erie on Thursday but winds will trend downward as conditions become increasingly stable. A cold front will be pulled south across Lake Erie Thursday night with northwest winds increasing to 15 to 25 knots later Friday. Small Craft Advisories look likely for eastern portions of the nearshore waters on Friday afternoon and night.
Conditions will improve Saturday as high pressure builds southeast across the Midwest. Southerly winds will be on the increase again to start next week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 8 mi65 min SSW 1.9 51°F 30.2426°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 10 mi50 min ENE 13G13 38°F 30.17
LORO1 10 mi80 min ENE 9.9G11 37°F
OWMO1 12 mi50 min S 6 51°F 23°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi50 min E 5.1G8 37°F 30.2125°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 30 mi50 min ENE 9.9G13 37°F 30.26
CMPO1 36 mi80 min E 9.9G9.9 39°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 39 mi50 min ENE 6G8 38°F 42°F30.21


Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KLPR LORAIN COUNTY RGNL,OH 11 sm56 minS 0610 smClear48°F25°F40%30.25
Link to 5 minute data for KLPR


Wind History from LPR
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Cleveland, OH,



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