Sunday, August9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Noxen, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:12PM Sunday August 9, 2020 4:53 PM EDT (20:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:22PMMoonset 10:49AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noxen, PA
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location: 41.46, -76     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 091934 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 334 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. Warmer and more humid weather returns to the region Monday through Thursday. The unstable air mass will bring mainly afternoon and evening scattered showers and thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. 320 pm update .

For the remainder of today, a weak short wave crosses across Northern NY this evening and could see a few showers, most likely in Northern Oneida County. The southern half of the forecast area will likely see valley fog develop once again through the early morning hours on Monday, but there is some uncertainty on how widespread fog will become. As mentioned earlier, that weak short wave will bring an increase in clouds and depending on how far south we see the clouds push will determine how much fog we will see. Otherwise, fog will dissipate tomorrow morning to clearing skies and warm/humid conditions. High pressure that has provided us with the decent weekend shift eastward tomorrow and allows warm sw flow to overtake the area. Dew points should climb into the upper 60s to possibly low 70s by tomorrow afternoon and heat indices will likely climb into the mid 90s, and possibly upper 90s in urban areas. Areas of central NY may need a Heat Advisory tomorrow afternoon, but there is also a threat for some isolated thunderstorms which may help reduce the heat in some areas. After collaborating with neighboring offices, have decided to hold off on issuing an advisory at this time, due to 95+ indices appear they will be isolated and with that threat for storms confidence is low at this time that advisory criteria will be met.

Surface CAPE values above 1000 J/kg and steep low level lapse rates above 8C/km around the time of peak heating should produce a few pulse thunderstorms. PWATs also climb to 1.75" and any thunderstorms that do develop will be slow moving as upper level flow is weak, so will have to watch out for localized flash flooding, as rainfall rates should be quite intense. Good news is that thunderstorms should diminish with the loss of heating tomorrow evening. Temperatures will stay warm overnight with lows only in the upper 60s to low 70s by Tuesday morning.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. 300 pm Update .

Tuesday is looking like a hot day across central NY and NE PA. Highs are expected to get into the upper 80s and low 90s with dew points in the upper 60s with a few pockets near bodies of water to get into the low 70s. Heat indexes will be in the low 90s with urban areas nearing the mid 90. Afternoon clouds may keep temperatures a little cooler across the Finger Lakes region, depending on how fast a cold front approaches the area.

This front has continued to slow down as it begins to stall. The front is not expected to reach the region until late Tuesday afternoon, and with the loss of daytime heating, there will not be much instability to get widespread showers and thunderstorms.

With the slow movement of the front, showers and thunderstorms are looking more likely Wednesday afternoon as instability builds with daytime heating. As the front drifts south into central PA, it stalls with NE PA keeping chances of precipitation through Wednesday night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. 300 pm Update . The stalling frontal boundary is going to be hanging around for a while. South of the front will have hot and humid with greater instability leading to consistent showers and thunderstorms. North of the front is warm and stable so as the front meanders north and south, it will have impacts on our forecast.

Some guidance is having a surface low form in the midwest towards late week helping push the front back north into Central NY with increased clouds and instability. PoPs have been increased Friday into Saturday but not too much since the formation of that surface low is very uncertain.

Previous Discussion . The above mentioned frontal boundary very slowly drifts southward during during the mid-late week, but remains nearly stationary. With this boundary around, diurnally- driven showers and thunderstorms are possible each day, especially across the southern half of the area (Twin Tiers into Northeast PA). That being said, no particular day looks to be a washout at this time since coverage will be isolated to scattered and mainly concentrated during the afternoon.

Temperatures remain above normal during much of the long term period, with highs mainly in the 80s. By next weekend, a slightly cooler airmass moves in, likely bringing temperatures back closer to normal for this time of the year.

AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure with VFR conditions expected for the remainder of today and into this evening. A weak disturbance passes to our north tonight and may clip RME with some MVFR ceilings and possibly a light rain shower as well. There is also a chance of more valley fog again tonight with restrictions possible at ELM.

Outlook .

Monday . Mainly VFR with a small chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm Monday afternoon.

Tuesday through Friday . Chances for restrictions in showers and thunderstorms especially during the afternoon hours.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPK NEAR TERM . MPK SHORT TERM . AJG/BJG LONG TERM . AJG/BJG AVIATION . MPK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilkes-Barre - Scranton, Wilkes-Barre / Scranton International Airport, PA17 mi60 minW 1210.00 miFair87°F57°F37%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAVP

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Last 24hrW4NW6NW4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmE3SE3SE3E4E3CalmW5W6SW7W10SW10
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1 day agoNE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3E4E4E4E5E4E4E4E4E3CalmCalmW5SW5Calm36W4
2 days agoSE3CalmCalmSE4CalmE3E3E3NE5NE3CalmCalmE3E4CalmNE53E46Calm45Calm6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.