Sunday, May31, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Newburgh, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:24PM Sunday May 31, 2020 11:37 AM EDT (15:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:20PMMoonset 2:33AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1035 Am Edt Sun May 31 2020
Today..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1035 Am Edt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds into the forecast waters through early next week. A frontal system affects the waters for mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newburgh, NY
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location: 41.5, -74.01     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 311452 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1052 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the Ohio River Valley then south of the area on Monday. Weak low pressure and its associated warm front affects the region Tuesday into Tuesday night. A cold front will be nearby late Wednesday into Thursday, with a potential return to high pressure for Friday and into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Made some slight adjustments with dewpoints, temperatures and cloud coverage. Max temperatures forecast similar to before but distinguished the coast more with NW gusty flow allowing for more downslope and less maritime influence. Coastal areas have forecast highs in the lower 70s while the interior areas have forecast highs in the mid to upper 60s.

With the cold front continuing its push to the south throughout the day today we'll see dry conditions. The 12Z upper air OKX sounding showed a lot of dry air between 950 and 500mb so the sunny sky conditions remain this morning. However, with some cyclonic flow aloft in the mid levels with a lingering trough, some stratocumulus development is expected during the afternoon, especially north and west of NYC. Model soundings in BUFKIT show some cloud development at the top of the boundary layer around 800mb and some clouds are also projected to move southeast into the region from RAP and HRRR forecast cloud parameters. Already there is scattered to broken cloud coverage across interior parts of the northeast and these will move into the local forecast region this afternoon. However, do expect some decrease in coverage as they move in due to more dry air being present over the local region. Clouds were increased in the forecast but still few to scattered coverage.

The tight pressure gradient between the low over the Canadian Maritime and the high entering the Ohio River valley will provide steady northwest winds today around 10-15 mph. There will be some gusts from 20 to 25 mph.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches through this evening.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/. The trough axis over New England extending from the quasi stationary upper level trough in eastern Quebec pivots east tonight allowing the aforementioned high to shift south into the mid Atlantic. The near cloudless sky will set up cool overnight temperatures. Min temps will be in the low 50s and 40s prior to sunrise.

A weak short wave disturbance riding the northern edge of the high moves south into New York State. The wave brings with it enough moisture to return cloud cover to the region for the day Monday. The additional coverage will hold temperatures in the low 70s and upper 60s during the day.

As the first wave exits to the south overnight Monday into Tuesday, a second weak wave moves southeast from the Great Lakes into the forecast area. The 120kt upper level jet driving this wave advects more moisture for Tuesday. Precipitable water values still only hover around an inch. This means any scattered showers that may form will likely be light in nature. Little change for temperature as areas no impacted by showers will see temperatures in the low 70s.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches Monday due to an increasing southeast swell.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Temperatures will warm up significantly in the lower to mid levels Tuesday evening into Wednesday. Cannot rule out a few thundershowers as instability overall will increase into the day on Wednesday, with coverage questionable at this time. Another quick moving system then likely passes just north of the region with its associated cold front slated to come into the region late Wednesday into Wednesday night. Then questions arise into Thursday as to how far south the front will get. Clouds and a shower or thundershower chance could linger through the day on Thursday. By Friday into Friday night some of the global model guidance were attempting to get gradual height rises into the region from the southwest. The degree to which this occurs is even more in doubt now. Weak high pressure will attempt to settle in, but a weak boundary may attempt to get close from the north with the chance of an upper level trough lingering just north of the area. Much of the global guidance now sends another round of height falls into the northeast Friday night into early on Saturday. More substantial upper level ridging thus could get delayed into the latter portion of next weekend or later the following week, resulting in a series of cold fronts to potentially contend with for the late week period. Forecast uncertainty thus increases for late in the period.

AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. High pressure builds into the terminals through tonight, and to the southwest Monday.

VFR through the TAF period.

NW winds 10-15 kt with gusts around 20 kt will gradually diminish this afternoon, and back to around 310 magnetic. Gusts subside during this evening. Late tonight NW winds will be under 10 kt.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Monday-Tuesday Afternoon. Mainly VFR. Tuesday Night-Wednesday. MVFR possible. A chance of showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon. Thursday. MVFR possible. A chance of showers.

MARINE. Marine forecast mainly on track.

High pressure will be building toward the waters today and tonight, and to the southwest and south Monday. Winds and seas remain below SCA levels through Monday. However, occasional near shore gusts may be near 25 kt this morning on the ocean waters west of Fire Island Inlet, and across the south shore bays.

Sub-SCA continue across the forecast waters Monday night through Wednesday. Ahead of a cold front late Wednesday into Wednesday night seas may build close to 5 feet across the eastern ocean waters, and remain near 5 feet into Thursday night. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast waters remain below SCA levels Wednesday night through Thursday night.

FIRE WEATHER. The region will be relatively dry with minimum RH values near 25-30%. Lower RH values will likely be along Long Island, northeast New Jersey and the NYC metro. The limiting factor for fire spread is winds which will could gusts 20-25 mph but overall remain below 25 mph.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts expected through Saturday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . DJ NEAR TERM . DJ/JM SHORT TERM . DJ LONG TERM . JE AVIATION . MARINE . MET FIRE WEATHER . HYDROLOGY . EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 23 mi68 min N 4.1 57°F 1020 hPa40°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 36 mi68 min S 1.9 59°F 1018 hPa38°F
TKPN6 36 mi56 min N 17 G 21 61°F 70°F1019 hPa41°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi38 min N 9.7 G 14 62°F 1 ft39°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 45 mi53 min NW 12 G 18 61°F 32°F42°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi50 min N 12 G 17 62°F 60°F1017.5 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 49 mi50 min NE 13 G 15 60°F 1019.2 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newburgh / Stewart, NY5 mi53 minN 1220.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F39°F45%1018.6 hPa
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY12 mi45 minWNW 610.00 miFair62°F37°F41%1018.1 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY13 mi44 minNW 1210.00 miFair61°F36°F39%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSWF

Wind History from SWF (wind in knots)
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W12S8CalmCalmCalm3SW7W3W6W7W6W10NW10W7NW9
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Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:01 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:16 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:34 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.60.50.71.42.22.732.92.62.11.40.90.50.20.20.71.62.42.93.132.72

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:28 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:31 AM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:19 PM EDT     -1.28 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:57 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:05 PM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:10 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-1-0.7-0.30.30.70.80.50.2-0.3-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.500.60.90.80.50.1-0.4-0.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.