Lakewood, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lakewood, OH

June 18, 2024 2:51 AM EDT (06:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 9:05 PM
Moonrise 5:03 PM   Moonset 2:08 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 957 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Rest of today - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming variable 10 knots or less. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms late this morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday.
the water temperature off toledo is 72 degrees, off cleveland 67 degrees, and off erie 68 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lakewood, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 180536 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 136 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper level ridge will persist over the region through this week, resulting in widespread near-record temperatures across the area. The next system won't arrive until the end of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
930 PM Update...
Slight adjustments were made to the temperatures to reflect current observations, but not big changes were needed with this update.

630 PM Update...
The biggest update/change with this forecast was lowering temperatures in areas that have seen precipitation between 15-20 degrees in the hourly forecast. Across NW OH, temperatures continue to linger in the 90s, but some areas out east have fallen into the 70s do to evaporative cooling. This should not impact overnight lows much with them still expected to drop near 70. Opted to introduce patchy fog across the southeastern tier of counties primarily due to these cooling temperatures but dewpoints remaining high. Cannot rule out patchy fog occurring elsewhere in areas that it rained this evening. A similar situation may occur tomorrow with afternoon thunderstorms locally lowering temperatures, but will need to continue to monitor that potential.

Previous Discussion...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing across the forecast area this afternoon, as convective temperatures are being reached in the mid 90s and surface dew points start broaching the 70 degree mark across northern Ohio. However, with no real forcing other than the diurnal forcing, coverage is just scattered across the region. However, the environment for these storms is generally supportive for strong to severe convection with SBCAPE values reaching over 3500 J/kg, DCAPE values exceeding 1000 J/kg, and low level lapse rates in excess of 8 C/km, which will support robust, quickly growing updrafts that will support severe sized hail and tall enough cores that could descend as downbursts with winds over 60 MPH. Several Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Special Weather Statements are ongoing and the environment appears favorable for strong to severe storms through early evening. Convection will move east of the area later this evening and subside with a more stable environment with the loss of diurnal heating. Residual cloud cover across the region from this afternoon's storms could remain for some portion of tonight and help keep temperatures slightly elevated with lows likely not escaping the 70s for most of the forecast area.

Tuesday appears to be a rinse and repeat of today. An abnormally warm summer air mass will allow for temperatures to exceed 90 degrees and dew point values will once again approach the 70 degree mark. This will allow for heat index values to exceed 100 degrees and the Heat Advisory will remain valid. Temperatures should hit convective temperatures again with the diurnal cycle and scattered showers and storms will be present again. Storms could once again have a bite with an generally unstable environment to support some strong to severe wind and hail. Any convection will also taper off temperatures and heat index values from hitting the Heat Advisory values. Residual clouds and abnormally warm air mass will have another dry, but warm Tuesday night with lows likely staying above 70 degrees.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Strong upper high will maintain itself over the eastern CONUS through the short term period with southerly flow, deep moisture advection, and steamy temperatures continuing through mid to late week. As stated in the previous discussion from last night, the main challenge is how much convection occurs during this time and how much that will impact the temperatures and dew points. Regardless, temperatures will likely climb well into the 90s each day with spots in NW OH most likely reaching the upper 90s to around 100 degrees. There won't be a ton of respite overnight; overnight lows will be in the 70s with the warmest temps expected in urban areas and dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s. In locations that don't receive rainfall, heat indices will likely climb into the upper 90s to lower 100s and the Heat Advisory remains in place through the entirety of the long term period.

As far as precip chances go, maintained slight chance PoPs during peak diurnal heating/instability; shower and thunderstorm placement will rely on the exact placement of the upper ridging over the area in addition to any boundaries from daily lake breezes since there won't be much lift otherwise. Similar to today, there will be quite a bit of buoyancy and moisture in the atmosphere so any storms that develop could produce gusty downbursts and locally torrential rainfall.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
By Friday, the upper ridge will largely weaken and flatten out, but deep southerly flow and warm air advection will persist through Saturday so still expect highs in the 90s with heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s on Friday. Dew points may begin to decline slightly Saturday, so heat indices will likely remain in the 90s. As with previous days, there may be diurnal convection so there are slight chance PoPs during each afternoon.

Still some uncertainty in the time of arrival of the next system, but a cold front will likely slowly advance east towards the area late in the week and into the weekend with a cold front likely sweeping across the area at some point Sunday or Sunday night. This will deliver the next widespread chance of showers and thunderstorms and finally some relief from the heat to the CWA By Sunday, highs will be back into the upper 80s to lower 90s with much cooler highs in the 80s (even 70s in NW PA!) likely by Monday.

AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/
Went with a lesser used route of PROB30 groups in the TAFs for expected isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity that will peak with heating Tuesday. Some of this is a persistence forecast, based on the amount of storms that occurred Monday, but still, terminals themselves not guaranteed to get affected directly. This may be switched to TEMPOs or VCTS/CB in upcoming issuances, but feel the this setup is ideal for the PROB30 usage. Otherwise, mainly southerly wind components 5-10kts away from storms and cumulus clouds developing with heating after 15Z.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon.



MARINE
Outside of the potential for isolated showers and thunderstorms (best chance this afternoon/evening and Tuesday), quiet marine conditions with offshore winds under 10 knots and brief periods of light onshore flow with daily lake breezes are expected through Saturday. Do not expect any marine headlines this week.

CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45205 1 mi32 min9.7G14 78°F 69°F0 ft30.0366°F
45176 3 mi42 minS 7.8G9.7 76°F 71°F1 ft30.0568°F
45196 6 mi52 minS 9.7G14 76°F 71°F1 ft30.0470°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 7 mi52 min0G8 78°F 68°F30.04
45206 11 mi32 minS 12G16 79°F 70°F1 ft30.0167°F
45164 17 mi52 minWSW 12G14 74°F 69°F1 ft
45204 19 mi32 minSSW 14G18 70°F1 ft
LORO1 23 mi22 minS 9.9G13 78°F
45207 25 mi32 minS 9.7G14 78°F 68°F1 ft30.0468°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 31 mi52 minSSE 14G18 80°F 69°F30.0370°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi42 minS 9.7G12 74°F 71°F30.0570°F
45203 41 mi32 minSW 9.7G16 78°F 71°F0 ft69°F
OWMO1 41 mi52 minS 5.1 76°F 66°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 41 mi67 min0 77°F 30.0668°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 42 mi52 minSSW 7G9.9 79°F 30.03
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 48 mi82 minS 6G11


Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Cleveland, OH,




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