Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wappingers Falls, NY

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 959 pm EDT...Minor adjustments to the forecast this evening with high pressure building in from southeast Canada with the GOES IR/Night fog satellite imagery showing the back of the cloud edge as far south as the Mohawk Valley and the Saratoga Region. We lowered the skycover to mostly clear to partly cloudy for tonight. We added some patchy fog (i.e. Lake George Region) for the areas that are clearer and kept mostly cloudy skies south and east with low temps in the 50 and some upper 40s over the higher terrain.

Previous Discussion...
High pressure will build across the region from the north tonight and through the day Sunday with west-northwesterly zonal flow continuing aloft. While a few isolated showers could develop in some locations, most areas will remain dry through Sunday night. Mostly cloudy conditions will continue tonight along with some patchy fog, then break for more sun by Sunday afternoon, Father's Day. Temperatures will fall back into the 50s tonight then rise into the upper 60s to mid-70s on Sunday.
Nighttime temperatures Sunday night drop into the 50s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Zonal flow continues through early next week as high pressure slowly shifts to the east by Tuesday. An upper level shortwave will approach the region from the Ohio Valley later Tuesday into Tuesday night. Isolated to widely scattered showers may develop both Monday and Tuesday, especially for areas north and west of Albany but neither day is expected to be a washout.
Highs both days will reach the 70s with some upper 60s across the elevations.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Weak ridging builds overhead on Wednesday ahead of an approaching upper level trough on Thursday. Warmer and more humid conditions develop with highs reaching the 70s and 80s with dewpoints increasing to the 60s to lower 70s. Feels-like temperatures could reach the lower to mid-90s in some valley areas. Increasing instability across the region and forcing for ascent with the approaching trough, embedded shortwaves and approaching cold front will increase chances for showers and thunderstorms with Thursday likely the day with the greatest coverage. Will continue to monitor trends for some stronger thunderstorms on Thursday.

There is some uncertainty on how quickly the trough departs by the end of the week into the start of next weekend. If the trough lingers, some showers may linger. Otherwise, drier weather returns as high pressure builds into the region. It will not be as warm nor humid on Friday and Saturday with highs right around seasonable normals.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions at KGFL/KALB/KPOU at the beginning of the TAF cycle with MVFR cigs 1.0-2.0 kft AGL at KPSF. The VFR conditions will begin to lower to MVFR levels at KALB/KGFL/KPOU between 03Z-06Z/SUN with cigs 1.5-3.0 kft AGL. Some IFR cigs and MVFR cigs may materialize at KGFL/POU/KPSF 08Z-12Z/SUN with some patchy drizzle. TEMPO groups were used to address IFR conditions. KALB may hold as MVFR, but may need a TEMPO group later. As high pressure builds in from the north, some improvement to VFR cigs may occur 16Z-19Z/SUN for KALB/KGFL with lingering MVFR cigs 1.5-3.0 kft AGL for the end of the TAF cycle at KPOU/KPSF at 00Z/MON. The winds will vary from northeast to southeast at 5 KT or less tonight, and will be east/southeast 4-7 KT in the late morning through the afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact. Breezy
Likely SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.