Beverly Shores, IN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beverly Shores, IN

April 16, 2024 5:00 AM CDT (10:00 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:03 AM   Sunset 7:31 PM
Moonrise 12:23 PM   Moonset 3:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ745 Expires:202404161515;;831562 Fzus53 Klot 160912 Nshlot
nearshore marine forecast national weather service chicago/romeoville il 412 am cdt Tue apr 16 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the average height of the highest 10 percent of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
lmz743>745-161515- calumet harbor il to gary in-gary to burns harbor in- burns harbor to michigan city in- 412 am cdt Tue apr 16 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm cdt this afternoon through Wednesday evening - .

Today - East winds around 15 kt becoming southeast and increasing to 30 kt. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 ft building to 3 to 5 ft.

Tonight - Southeast winds to 30 kt becoming south 20 to 25 kt. Showers and scattered Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.

Wednesday - South winds to 30 kt becoming southwest and increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Occasional gale force gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 ft building to 3 to 5 ft.

Wednesday night - West winds to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 ft.

LMZ700
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly Shores, IN
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Area Discussion for - Chicago, IL
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FXUS63 KLOT 160936 CCA AFDLOT

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 436 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe thunderstorm threat late this afternoon and evening, greatest threat area west of I-39.

- Windy this afternoon, and again Wednesday with peak gusts 40+ mph.

- Next round of rain/showers on Thursday-Thursday evening

- Much cooler over the weekend with frost/freeze concerns, particularly on Saturday night

DISCUSSION
Issued at 330 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Through Wednesday:

A well pronounced warm conveyor belt downstream of deepening low pressure over western NE this morning will continue to foster the development and eastward movement of an arc of strong convection across NE into KS early this morning. Thereafter, subsequent east-northeastward movement into the Corn Belt is expected through the day as the conveyor belt shifts eastward in advance of the occluding surface low shifting towards the Mid-Missouri Valley. It is this activity that will be our main potential severe weather maker later this afternoon (after 4 pm) into the evening.

All eyes will certainly be on the evolution of this arc of convection to our west through the day. However, prior to it's arrival, it remains plausible that some widely scattered elevated storms may develop later this morning across parts of northern IL to the north of the northward shifting warm front. This activity is expected to be largely non-severe, though steepening mid- level lapse rates could support an instance or two of hail with any stronger and longer lived updrafts. Otherwise, east- southeasterly surface winds will be ramping-up through the day in response to strong pressure falls in advance of the occluding surface low over the Mid-Missouri Valley. This will thus result in a rather windy afternoon across the area, with the strongest wind gusts (perhaps at times up to 45 mph) likely to the south of the surface warm front (areas generally along and south of I-80). These strong gusty winds will preceded the late day severe convection.

The primary timeline for our severe storm potential will be after 4 PM west of the Fox Valley and Upper Illinois basin, then likely after 7 PM into eastern IL and northwestern IN. However, the severe weather threat may tend to wane with eastward extent across IL through the evening due to the potential for this initial line of storms to begin to outrun the better instability.
Nevertheless, strong low-level and deep-layer shear will be concerning for the potential for organized storms, which will be capable of producing strong winds and some tornadoes.

Perhaps the most concerning area for significant severe weather later today, including significant hail and tornadoes, appears to be west of the I-39 corridor, particularly across IA, northeastern MO and far northwest IL. Redeveloping late day storms are plausible in this area in the wake of the first line of storms. Assuming this second area of storms does fire over IA, shear profiles there will support supercells with an attendant very large hail and significant tornado risk. Fortunately, it appears this second area of convection will begin to diurnally weaken as it approaches the western parts of the NWS LOT forecast this evening on the heals of the initial arc of storms. However, we will have to keep a close eye on the eastward extent of these storms prior to weakening.

We will remain in the storm's warm sector tonight, though a lack of forcing and a revitalized capping inversion does look to put us in a general convective lull for a period overnight. While this is the case, there still is a chance for another round of strong to severe storms late tonight (after 4 am) through Wednesday morning. This in response to the approach of the surface cold front, which will move across the area Wednesday morning. At this time, the threat for these severe early morning storms remains largely conditional. The greatest chance of these storms into Wednesday morning is looking to largely be east of I-55.

In the wake of the cold front, expect a windy afternoon on Wednesday with westerly winds gusting 40-45 mph.

KJB

Wednesday Night through Monday:

The blustery west wind regime in cold air advection (CAA) in the wake of Wednesday afternoon's cold front passage will persist during the early evening hours. Expect gusts up to 35 mph during this time. Winds will then quickly ease the rest of the night as a weak surface high pressure shifts overhead. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s, still above normal for mid April, but much cooler than tonight.

Quiet, precipitation free conditions will be short-lived as our next rain producing system arrives Thursday morning. An unseasonably deep/cold upper low over south central Canada will tighten the baroclinic zone/thermal gradient across the region.
Modest large scale forcing but fairly robust progged low-mid level frontogenetical circulation will likely bring an area of rain/showers shifting eastward across the area through the afternoon, evening, and early overnight period. Chance for any embedded thunderstorms appears minimal and confined to south of the Kankakee River. Highs on Thursday will be in the upper 50s to 60s inland, and cooler near the lake.

Initial surge of dry and cold advection on Friday will result in a partly cloudy, breezy and dry, seasonably cool day with highs in the mid to upper 50s. There has been appreciable run to run variance regarding the magnitude of the colder air mass aloft arriving this weekend. In the most recent model cycle (00z 4/16), the pendulum swung back to colder, particularly in the foreign (ECMWF and CMC) suites, which indicate 850 mb temps plunging to near -10C Saturday morning.

If the colder solutions pan out, breezy CAA driven lows may flirt with the freezing mark across parts of interior northern Illinois Saturday morning, with mid 30s to around 40F elsewhere.
Saturday's highs are currently forecast to reach the lower to mid 50s, but the colder side of the spectrum points toward downside potential being 40s for many locales. High pressure building overhead amidst forecast sub-freezing dew points Saturday night looks synoptically favorable for elevated frost/freeze concerns outside of Chicago if skies clear out enough. Following Sunday's chilly start, afternoon temps should recover some vs. Saturday but still likely below normal. Near normal temps (lower to perhaps mid 60s highs) will then return to start next work week, with the next precip. chances probably holding off until just beyond the current day 7 (Monday).

Castro

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 100 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Main Concerns:

- A few rounds of SHRA and TS, highest confidence in the PM when strong to severe TS remain possible

- Gusty east to southeast winds today and tonight

- Lower CIGs possible overnight into early Wednesday

A large and strong system will affect the Midwest through Wednesday morning. Confidence remains on the lower side for the potential first round of scattered SHRA and TSRA in the late morning through early afternoon. That said, forecast soundings suggest that if convection gets going, it will likely be capable of producing lightning. Converted the VCSH over to VCTS for this and maintained the PROB30 TS groups with this issuance.

Confidence continues to be high in SHRA/TSRA moving across the terminals late this afternoon through this evening, with only small timing tweaks vs. the previous issuance. The next possible round after the evening activity exits east will arrive from the west early Wednesday morning.

Steady east winds will increase and become gusty by the mid to late morning. East-southeast to southeast wind gusts peaking in the 30-35 kt range appear probable this afternoon through this evening outside of TS. Finally, most of the guidance indicates the development of lower CIGs overnight, so indicated prevailing lower MVFR in the ORD and MDW TAFs and hinted at IFR potential with scattered IFR cloud mention.

Castro

LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Wednesday for the IL nearshore waters.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CDT Wednesday for the IN nearshore waters.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 5 mi30 min E 13G15 56°F 30.0032°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 9 mi30 min ESE 8G9.9 57°F 30.04
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 29 mi48 min E 4.1G6 50°F 30.0043°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 35 mi30 min E 13G13 51°F 44°F
CNII2 35 mi15 min ENE 1.9G9.9 48°F 40°F
OKSI2 37 mi120 min SSE 2.9G7 52°F


Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMGC MICHIGAN CITY MUNIPHILLIPS FIELD,IN 9 sm25 minESE 0410 smClear52°F32°F47%30.05
KPPO LA PORTE MUNI,IN 16 sm25 minE 0710 smClear48°F34°F57%30.05
KVPZ PORTER COUNTY RGNL,IN 17 sm64 minE 0610 smClear46°F36°F66%30.04
KGYY GARY/CHICAGO INTL,IN 23 sm45 minESE 0610 smClear52°F37°F58%30.02
Link to 5 minute data for KMGC


Wind History from MGC
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Northern Indiana, IN,



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